山西省自然灾害的区域经济评价

以区域经济学为基础，灾害学为主导，应用层次分析原理，分析了山西省自然灾害对区域经济发展的影响，评价了不同区域的灾害严重程度及主要灾种，将全省划分为五大灾害经济区，为区域生产力布局提供了一些科学理论依据．     

1995年江西省特大水灾分析

在调查分析的基础上，依次阐述了1995年江西省3次严重洪涝灾害的灾情、致灾原因等，并与1954年、1983年两次特大洪涝灾害的雨情、水情及灾情进行比较，最后探讨了今后进一步提高防汛减灾效益的对策。     

灾害等级的灰色聚类分析

灰色聚类分析是灾害等级研究的一种简单易行的方法。本文利用灰色聚类分析的原理和方法来确定灾害的等级归属问题，避免了人为判断中的主观任意性，从而使等级归属问题由定性判断推进到定量计算     

EVALUATION OF NINE MODELS FOR UNGAUGED URBAN BASINS IN LOUISIANA1

ABSTRACT: Nine flood-estimation models used for ungauged urban watersheds in Louisiana were evaluated. Flood-quantile predictions from simple regression models calibrated by local data were found to be more reliable than those more complicated models or models with many parameters that may not be accurately estimated. Flood prediction from models developed by using regionalization techniques were found to be reasonably good. Finally, application of a model outside of its limitations or domain may lead to substantial prediction error.     

ESTIMATING PROBABLE MAXIMUM FLOOD PROBABILITIES1

ABSTRACT: Methods of computing probabilities of extreme events that affect the design of major engineering structures have been developed for most failure causes, but not for design floods such as the probable maximum flood (PMF). Probabilities for PMF estimates would be useful for economic studies and risk assessments. Reasons for the reluctance of some hydrologists to assign a probability to a PMF are discussed, and alternative methods of assigning a probability are reviewed. Currently, the extrapolation of a frequency curve appears to be the most practical alternative. Using 46 stations in the Mid-Atlantic region, the log-gamma, log-normal, and log-Gumbel distributions were used to estimate PMF probabilities. A 600,000-year return period appears to be a reasonable probability to use for PMFs in the Mid-Atlantic region. The coefficient of skew accounts for much of the variation in computed probabilities.     

1981年宝成铁路沿线的洪水和泥砂灾害

１９８１年川西盆地的“８·２１”暴雨和陕南的“７·２１”暴雨，造成宝成铁路沿线江河横溢、泥砂俱下。全线发生洪水、泥石流、崩坍、滑坡和落石等灾害７１３处，严重破坏铁路的有２８０余处。本文通过对成灾的地质和暴雨等自然条件的分析，提出了对灾害成因以及铁路设计和管理在防灾方面的一些看法。     

建筑装饰材料的防火分级与评估原理

随着建材工业的发展,新型复合材料日益增多,如何科学地确定复合材料的燃烧性能等级,是应予解决的问题。本文作为该论题的第一部分工作,首先从理论上阐述了分级的依据及今后工作的方向。     

城市防灾救灾组织机构设置的研究

本文首先阐明了合理的组织机构在城市防灾工作中的作用，然后通过对典型城市防灾救灾组织机构现状和问题的分析，提出防灾救灾组织机构设置的原则，构造了城市防灾救灾组织机构的改进型矩阵模式，并分析了该模式的特点和实施步骤。