美国工业点源排放控制经验对中国的借鉴研究

文章分析了以排放限值为主要手段的美国工业水污染控制体系.美国工业水污染控制体系包括基于水质的排放限值和基于技术的排放限值,两者相辅相成,互为补充,不仅促使工业点源排放量不断降低,而且按照水质标准维护自然水体健康.在此基础上,文章提出了美国经验对中国水污染控制政策的三点启示:一是基于水质的排放限值与基于技术的排放限值分开设置,二是基于技术的排放限值始终保持先进性,三是重视统计学方法在排放限值制定中的应用.     

Image rotation method for identification of NPW signals in the localization of pipeline leakage

Gas and oil are mainly transported through long-distance pipelines on land. Pipeline leaks lead to severe hazards to the environment and economy and even imperil human lives. Negative pressure wave (NPW)-based methods are fast and effective for leak monitoring and localization. The key problem for an NPW-based method is to determine the NPW and its arrival time, which is characterized by the knee point in the time domain signal. In this paper, an image rotation method is proposed based on the shape characteristic of the time domain signal induced by an NPW. Through image rotation, the knee point turns into the highest point, which is easy to detect. To verify the performance of the proposed method, leakage experiments were conducted on liquid and gas pipeline models. Previously developed FBG pipe fixture sensors were used to detect an NPW. These sensors were equidistantly installed on the pipeline, forming a sensor array. Based on the sensing array, a novel leak localization algorithm was used to compute the leakage position. The experimental results indicated that the image rotation method has good performance for identifying an NPW, even though many noise- and pressure-induced fluctuations exist in the signals. This method enables automated real-time monitoring and has potential for practical application.     

双线盾构隧道斜交下穿既有机场高速公路的地表沉降预测模型研究*

为指导隧道盾构下穿既有建构筑物施工的变形控制,考虑隧道收敛模式和复合地层主要影响角的影响,以双线圆形盾构隧道斜交下穿既有机场高速公路为例,构建圆形隧道地层主要影响角计算方法,改进传统Peck公式,分析盾构斜交角、盾构坡角和隆起偏角的共同影响,引入地层损失率几何修正系数,并利用叠加原理建立双线盾构隧道斜交下穿既有机场高速公路的地表沉降预测模型,依托实际工程对预测模型的工程适用性进行验证。研究结果表明:本文预测模型的整体精度相比Suwansawat等预测模型提升44.15％,可预测施工影响范围内任意点的地表沉降值,相比现有模型更适用于解决双线盾构隧道斜交下穿施工的地表沉降预测问题,可为类似工程中的地表沉降变形预测及控制提供指导。     

近20年来淮北市植被变化遥感动态监测与分析

通过遥感技术对淮北市主城区(相山建成区)18年间植被变化进行统计分析,从而得出结论,并对所得结果进行了分析。     

On the Relationship Between Mean and Variance of Soil Moisture Fields1

Abstract: The objective of this work was to explain an apparent contradiction in the literature related to the relationship between mean and variance (or standard deviation) of soil moisture fields. Some studies found an increase in soil moisture variance with decreasing mean soil moisture, while others showed a decrease. The evidence of maximum variance in the mid‐range of mean soil moisture was also reported in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the effects of spatial variability of soil texture on the relationship between variance and mean of soil moisture during soil dry‐down processes. Soil texture influences soil moisture mean and variance through its direct effects on evaporation and drainage, which are two main factors controlling soil drying. A differential equation describing soil moisture dry down is proposed and studied. Our study shows that as mean soil moisture is greater than a threshold, variance increases with decreasing mean soil moisture. If mean soil moisture is less than the threshold, variance decreases with decreasing mean soil moisture. The threshold depends on soil texture and is between the field capacity and the wilting point. The soil moisture dry‐down equation is also applied to explain the apparent contradiction with regard to the relationship between mean and variance of soil moisture fields reported in the literature.     

我国水环境农业非点源污染防治研究简述

概述了我国农业非点源污染的危害、污染影响因素和污染防治措施方面的研究。     

关于废水监测断面及采样点位选择的探讨

通过对不同采样点位的监测数据统计分析,以求找到最优采样点位。     

昆山市人口指标的数学模型

数学模型常用于人口指标变化趋势的拟合, 以昆山市1985～2006年 7种人口指标为研究对象,采用马尔萨斯模型、Logistic模型和Keyfitz模型进行模拟,结合历史资料分析人口指标变化背后的社会经济因素。研究结果表明：从整体拟合效果来看,Logistic模型表现良好,但这很大程度上在于其三参数优势,而不是人口增长面临最大人口上限的压力,即使某一时段反映出人口上限,该值也可能在下一时段被突破;由于人口指标增长转折点的存在,使利用数学模型进行人口预测的可信度降低,但利用转折点分段分析,了解其代表的政治、经济因素的影响,可以为未来的规划决策提供科学参考;昆山的发展历程明显分为3个阶段,而不是以往认为的5个阶段.     

基于“流变-突变”理论的安全投入决策

运用"流变-突变"理论分析煤矿安全投入的效果,发现其随着时间的推移也表现出"安全流变-突变"的特征。笔者指出,安全投入应该是持续的、不断进行的,不能靠期初一次性安全投入解决,而且后续安全投入应该选择在最佳时段(即不安全度加速发展阶段)进行,最晚不能超过安全突变的预警点,这样才能使系统的安全流变阶段能够尽量延长,从而最大限度地发挥所有安全投入的效果,缓解我国煤矿安全投入需求增长与安全投入不足的矛盾。     

工业源重点调查单位分界点的确定

讨论了工业源重点调查单位分界点确定的思路和方法,并基于污染源普查更新调查中河南省的数据(数据时点为2010年)进行了实证研究,研究结果表明,所有污染物产排指标都呈现出高度右偏分布,适宜采用目录抽样法,将工业源区分为重点污染源和非重点污染源,对重点污染源进行全面调查,对非重点污染源进行抽样调查,分界点可以下调到80%。