基于多层次模型的农户土地利用决策影响因素分析——以陕西省米脂县高西沟村为例

土地利用变化驱动力研究一直是学者们关注的热点问题之一,土地利用驱动力在不同尺度的变化也越来越受学者们关注。论文以陕西省米脂县高西沟村为研究区域,在地形图、航片解译数据及2009年实际测量数据和农户调查数据的基础上,基于多层次模型的理论,借助HLM6.07(student)软件工具,构建从地块(微观尺度)到农户(中观尺度)的二层土地利用决策影响因素模型,试图揭示微观层面土地利用决策的影响因素在不同尺度上的变化机制。研究结果表明:①农户选择种植土豆、谷子作物的土地利用决策与地块的自然因素和农户的社会经济因素有关;②农户种植土豆、谷子行为决策的影响因素存在差异;③将多层次模型应用到从微观尺度到中观尺度分析农户土地利用决策影响因素是符合实际情况的,这为进一步构建影响农户土地利用决策的因素——微观尺度(地块)、中观尺度(农户)、宏观尺度(村庄)的三层模型奠定了基础,同时为研究土地利用决策机制提供了一种方法。     

多层次模糊综合评判法在生态农业评价中的应用

本文运用多层次模糊综合评判法对山东省五莲县芙蓉庄村生态农业试点进行评价。结果表明,该方法具有简便易行、精确度高的特点,它把不同性质的因素(指标)有机地结合起来,为解决多因素综合评判权重与分配找到了一个有效途径。     

电特大舰船电磁环境的并行多层快速多极子研究

针对舰船目标尺寸巨大、形状复杂、电磁设备繁多的特点,选取并行多层快速多极子技术来模拟仿真其电磁环境.讨论了多层快速多极子技术并行化的难点及其解决方案.在北京理工大学电磁仿真中心的并行计算平台上,成功模拟仿真了尺寸达到540个电波长的舰船模型的电磁环境.计算了复杂结构舰船上任意激励源对舰船电磁环境的影响.以两个金属槽间的相互作用为例,分析了存在任意激励时源场的相互作用.     

多层级系统安全状态量化及动态评价方法

为及时、合理评价生产系统安全状况,促进现场安全管理工作的持续改进,依据生产现场日常隐患排查的安全管理机制,将反映生产现场系统安全属性的安全要素集,根据行业特点进行归类来提取评价指标,形成一个表达系统安全状态的逻辑结构,研究以诸多安全要素风险值来量化评价指标的方法,用以刻画系统安全逻辑结构中指标层的安全状态。采用适用于多样本关联分析的熵权法,客观、动态地确定指标权重;采用加权灰色关联分析法,描述评价样本接近于系统安全目标的程度来确定评价等级,实现了生产现场系统安全动态、定量评价。实例分析表明,通过系统安全状态量化与动态评价能及时甄别反映系统薄弱环节的系统安全主控因素,为现场安全管理提供决策依据。     

The use of regulatory taxation as a policy instrument for sustainability transitions: old wine in new bottles or unexplored potential?

The burgeoning literature on sustainable transitions links persistent environmental problems to the functioning of socio-technical systems. Conventional policy instruments, such as environmental taxation, are often rejected by transition scholars but in-depth studies on their potential are scarce. This paper explores the potential of the instrument of environmental taxation for influencing sustainability transitions. The multi-level perspective and the multi-phase perspective from transition thinking and the social practices approach are combined with the environmental economics theories of Pigou and Coase. Our analysis shows that the highest impact of regulatory taxation will be realised at the end of the take-off phase and in the acceleration phase of a transition. Although important barriers exist and many conditions apply, regulatory environmental taxation, especially as part of a smart policy mix, has more potential for contributing to sustainability transitions than hitherto assumed.     

Harnessing community energy: the keys to climate mitigation policy adoption in US municipalities

Many US municipalities are engaged in climate change mitigation planning or efforts to reduce their communities' greenhouse gas emissions. However, most have adopted very few policies to implement their climate change mitigation goals, and many others are not pursuing climate change mitigation at all. This study examines municipalities' approaches to energy and climate issues and identifies the “keys to success” that influence the extent to which they adopt climate change mitigation policies.

Prior researchers have characterised climate change mitigation efforts as an example of multi-level governance, in which policies are formulated through a variety of networks and interactions between government actors and civil society. I find that municipalities that engage community interests and coordinate with neighbouring jurisdictions in their energy and climate planning processes are far more likely to adopt meaningful policies and conclude that such multi-level governance approaches are actually critical to the success of climate change mitigation planning.     

Formulating and implementing climate change laws and policies in the Philippines,Mexico (Chiapas), and South Africa: a local government perspective

Faced with the prospects of a changing climate, a small but increasing number of countries are developing legal and regulatory frameworks that explicitly address climate change. Moreover at least some of these laws and policies carve out substantial roles for local governments. The present paper surveys three countries from different regions in the Global South that have developed or are developing such laws and policies: the Philippines (Asia-Pacific), Mexico and more specifically its State of Chiapas (Latin America), and South Africa (Africa). It examines those experiences through two different lenses. The paper first reviews the steps by which those laws or policies were developed. For this review, criteria for effective consultative processes are proposed. The study then examines the three climate change laws or policies per se. To this end, a framework including four modes of multi-level urban climate governance (governing by regulation, governing through enabling, governing by provision, governing with representation and consultation) is utilised. The paper ends with synthetic conclusions as to which experiences represent promising practices, and what other lessons are relevant for countries embarking on such processes.     

Gaming across scale in peri-urban water management: contribution from two experiences in Bolivia and Brazil

Natural resource governance is by nature multi-level, mobilizing various multi-stakeholder arenas in which a social learning approach may play a role. An approach using simulation tools such as role-playing games was tested in metropolitan areas of two South American cities: (1) in the periphery of Cochabamba, to facilitate conflict resolution stemming from the impact of urbanization on the irrigation infrastructure, and (2) in peri-urban areas of São Paulo, to assist in negotiations on land and water management in a protected catchment. Both interventions were designed to broaden the stakeholders' perspectives and facilitate the exchange of the views of different actors on water and land management using role-playing games. This paper discusses how the scale strategy embedded in the tools and in the mode of participation in fact constrained the possibility of bridging the gap between organisational levels in both situations. This calls for both the crafting of multi-level approaches able to take different levels into account, and finding adequate bridging mechanisms to enhance the integration of learning within organisations and communities.     

基于群组决策和模糊层次分析法的城市公共安全评价

为科学地评估城市公共安全现状,根据我国城市公共安全的特点及国家城市安全规划的相关要求,从能力和脆弱性两方面构建了多层次多指标的城市公共安全评价指标体系。通过群组决策和模糊层次分析法,针对不同的指标考虑专家的个体权威和专家群体意见的一致性,引入综合重要度将专家个体判断矩阵集结成群体关于指标权重的判断矩阵,通过群体判断矩阵计算各评价指标的权重。最后根据可拓学理论构建多级可拓评价模型对某市公共安全灾害要素子系统进行评价,得出其安全状况属较安全等级,同时也证明该方法在城市公共安全评价中有较好的适用性。     

Recentralisation through regionalisation in the implementation of Rural Development Policy in Scotland

In environmental policy, good governance is pertinent when inclusive decision making is recurrently associated with effective outcomes. This paper explores the European Union's good governance principles and the extent to which these have been adopted in the Rural Development Policy in Scotland. For the programme period 2007–2013 Scotland's Rural Priorities scheme has moved towards decentralisation by introducing regional decision-making committees. This study assesses the impact of this scheme on multi-level stakeholder relationships and the implications on policy outcomes. To do so, the study adopts a mixed method approach, applying a stakeholder mapping technique, to quantify perceptions of influence and interest and triangulate with data from in-depth semi-structured interviews. Results indicate that the attempts to widen decision making has resulted in a number of stakeholders perceiving themselves as less empowered. This analytical approach can provide the baseline against which governance improvements can be measured in the formulation of future policies.