Acid rain in Asia

Acid rain has been an issue of great concern in North America and Europe during the past several decades. However, due to the passage of a number of recent regulations, most notably the Clean Air Act in the United States in 1990, there is an emerging perception that the problem in these Western nations is nearing solution. The situation in the developing world, particularly in Asia, is much bleaker. Given the policies of many Asian nations to achieve levels of development comparable with the industrialized world—which necessitate a significant expansion of energy consumption (most derived from indigenous coal reserves)—the potential for the formation of, and damage from, acid deposition in these developing countries is very high. This article delineates and assesses the emissions patterns, meteorology, physical geology, and biological and cultural resources present in various Asian nations. Based on this analysis and the risk factors to acidification, it is concluded that a number of areas in Asia are currently vulnerable to acid rain. These regions include Japan, North and South Korea, southern China, and the mountainous portions of Southeast Asia and southwestern India. Furthermore, with accelerated development (and its attendant increase in energy use and production of emissions of acid deposition precursors) in many nations of Asia, it is likely that other regions will also be affected by acidification in the near future. Based on the results of this overview, it is clear that acid deposition has significant potential to impact the Asian region. However, empirical evidence is urgently needed to confirm this and to provide early warning of increases in the magnitude and spread of acid deposition and its effects throughout this part of the world.     

A GAME-THEORETIC APPROACH TO ACID RAIN ABATEMENT: CONFLICT ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL LOAD ALLOCATION1

ABSTRACT: The detrimental impacts of acid rain have become widely publicized, but effective and equitable methods to mitigate the acid rain problem remain to be found. This paper focuses on conflicts involved in allocation of the total emission loads to be reduced to respective pollution sources of acid rain, and proposes a game-theory approach to the resolution of the conflict. With an example abstracted from a hypothetical case study in the United States of America and Canada, a systematic analysis is performed and policy implications of the results examined to assess the applicability of the proposed model.     

大气中SO2的液相氧化研究

大气中ＳＯ２液相氧化是形成酸雨的重要途径，降雨中含有各种无机离子和有机物质，它们可能催化或抑制液相氧化反应的进行。本文根据四川酸雨样品组成，进行了ＳＯ２在模拟雨水及实际雨水中的氧化实验，考查了Ｖ，Ｆｅ，Ｍｎ等离子对ＳＯ２氧化的催化作用，Ｈ２Ｏ２对ＳＯ２的氧化以及降水中有机物质甲醛对各反应的影响。实验结果为了解酸雨的成固，研究酸雨控制对策提供了科学依据。     

Physiological and Biochemical Effects of Simulated Acid Rain on Phaseolus Vulgaris Var. HUR-15

Pot experiments were performed to determine the effects of simulated acid rain on Phaseolus vulgaris var. HUR-15. Seeds of Phaseolus vulgaris var. HUR-15 were exposed to simulated acid rain at pH values of 5.1, 4.1, 3.1, 2.1 and 1.1 and a control level of pH 6.8. Plants were harvested at three stages, i.e. pre, peak and post-flowering stages. Seedlings succumbed at pH 1.1. Necrosis developed on the leaves of plants treated with water of pH 2.1, resulting in adverse effect on chlorophyll content. They died after peak-flowering. Root and shoot length and dry weight were reduced with the lowering in pH. Carbohydrate, nitrogen and protein contents decreased with the decrease in pH level, adversely affecting their nutrient value.     

春季连阴雨对江苏省夏收作物产量的影响

分析了江苏省40年(1960～1999)春季连阴雨的发生概率、发展趋势及其时空分布规律。研究发现,春季连阴雨累计日数、总雨量与夏粮产量呈显著负相关关系,且累计日数≥30d时,夏粮减产非常明显,这种情况的发生概率达59．1％。     

The Impact of Uncertainty on Banking Behavior: Evidence from the US Sulfur Dioxide Emissions Allowance Trading Program

In this paper, we study empirically whether uncertainty has an influence on trade in the US sulfur dioxide allowances market. In particular, we investigate the role of uncertainty on banking behavior. To do this, we introduce a tractable, structural model of trading permits under uncertainty. The model establishes a relation between banking behavior and risk preferences, especially prudence in the Kimball (1990) sense. We then test this model using data on allowances, for utilities submitted to the US Environmental Protection Agency’s Acid Rain Program, carried over from one year to the next. Evidence is found of imprudence, namely, utilities bank permits in order to favor higher profits. Another finding is that larger utilities do not adopt behavior significantly different from that of smaller ones. This paper was presented at the “International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Verification, Compliance & Trading” in Warsaw, Poland, September 2004, under the title “Portfolio Management of Emissions Permits and Prudence Behavior.”     

地铁运营突发事件应急响应模式的马尔科夫链分析

为研究城市轨道交通网络化运营线路的风险传导规律和耦合关系,构建基于随机Petri网的同构马尔科夫链模型。通过模型分析突发事件应急响应模式中线路之间的相互影响,以及各线路启动突发事件应急响应模式对整个系统稳态的影响。结果表明,用该模型可从数学上研究城市轨道交通运营线路之间的传导规律和耦合关系,找出影响整个应急指挥系统效率的关键因素,最终提高地铁应对突发事件的能力。     

Comparing Green and Grey Infrastructure Using Life Cycle Cost and Environmental Impact: A Rain Garden Case Study in Cincinnati,OH

Green infrastructure (GI) is quickly gaining ground as a less costly, greener alternative to traditional methods of stormwater management. One popular form of GI is the use of rain gardens to capture and treat stormwater. We used life cycle assessment (LCA) to compare environmental impacts of residential rain gardens constructed in the Shepherd's Creek watershed of Cincinnati, Ohio to those from a typical detain and treat system. LCA is an internationally standardized framework for analyzing the potential environmental performance of a product or service by including all stages in its life cycle, including material extraction, manufacturing, use, and disposal. Complementary to the life cycle environmental impact assessment, the life cycle costing approach was adopted to compare the equivalent annual costs of each of these systems. These analyses were supplemented by modeling alternative scenarios to capture the variability in implementing a GI strategy. Our LCA models suggest rain garden costs and impacts are determined by labor requirement; the traditional alternative's impacts are determined largely by the efficiency of wastewater treatment, while costs are determined by the expense of tunnel construction. Gardens were found to be the favorable option, both financially (~42% cost reduction) and environmentally (62‐98% impact reduction). Wastewater utilities may find significant life cycle cost and environmental impact reductions in implementing a rain garden plan.     

城市河网区河流沉积物磷形态分布特征及释放贡献

以嘉兴城市河网区为研究区域,在调查区域水质和沉积物磷空间变化特征的基础上,分析沉积物中各形态磷的垂直与空间赋存状态,通过吸附释放参数计算EPC₀值,明确了沉积物-水界面磷迁移影响因素和沉积物中活跃磷素的释放风险和贡献.结果表明,研究区域水质氮磷污染较为严重,沉积物TP含量均值呈北部河网区>西部河网区>南部河网区,基于单因子指数法的生态风险评价为Ⅱ、Ⅲ和Ⅳ级的样本比例分别为10.91%、25.45%和63.64%.沉积物各形态磷整体呈现TP>IP>HCl-P>NaOH-P>OP,沉积物生物有效磷（BAP）整体呈现Olsen-P>AAP>WSP>RDP;在沉积物垂直剖面中,部分位点受到外界因素的强烈影响垂向波动较大,整体上是随深度的递增而减小,这与近年来研究区域接收的外源磷积累过程在加重有关.相关性分析表明,沉积物磷吸附容量（Q_max）与铁铝氧化物呈显著相关性 （p<0.05）;释放参数EPC₀与TP、IP与HCl-P呈显著相关性 （p<0.05）.结合BAP形态,研究区域河流沉积物NaOH-P、HCl-P、AAP、Olsen-P及WSP存在较高的释放潜力.南部河网区沉积物主要呈现磷“源”角色,西部和北部河网区部分区域沉积物充当磷“源”角色.南部河网区在长短时间尺度下的磷主要释放形态为NaOH-P、HCl-P和OP,北部河网区在长时间尺度下主要释放磷形态为NaOH-P、HCl-P,西部河网区在短时间尺度下主要释放形态以HCl-P为主,在长时间尺度下3种磷形态的释放风险仍然较高.     

基于空间尺度效应的西南地区植被NPP影响因子探测

植被净初级生产力(NPP)是评价陆地生态系统质量的重要参数,研究植被NPP时空演变特征及其驱动力对区域生态环境保护和可持续发展具有重大意义.基于MODIS NPP数据、气象数据、 DEM数据、人口密度数据、 GDP数据和土地利用类型数据,采用一元线性回归分析、 R/S分析和地理探测器模型,分析西南地区及其六大地貌单元植被NPP时空演变特征及未来变化趋势,探究植被NPP空间分异的影响因子.结果表明,2000～2020年西南地区植被NPP整体呈极显著上升趋势.地貌单元中,除青藏高原南部外,其余地貌单元植被NPP均表现为改善态势,其中四川盆地和云贵高原表现为极显著改善.西南地区的植被NPP变化斜率整体呈现“东高西低”的分布格局.西南地区及各地貌单元植被NPP呈上升趋势的区域面积均大于呈下降趋势的区域面积,但未来植被NPP变化趋势均以下降为主.地理探测器结果表明,除云贵高原植被NPP空间分异主要受气温影响外,海拔是西南地区及各地貌单元植被NPP空间分异的主导因子.交互探测结果表明,影响因子之间的交互作用均表现为双因子增强或非线性增强,其中,海拔∩温度对西南地区植被NPP空间分异的解释力最大.地...