中国西北地区东部沙尘暴区划研究

利用西北地区东部98个气象站的沙尘暴日数、持续时间资料,采用经验正交分解(EOF、REOF)、滑动t检验、Mann-Kendall突变检验及小波变换,对其时空分布规律进行了诊断分析。结果表明:整个区域沙尘暴日数大致呈北多南少型分布;受大尺度气候异常的影响,全区一致的沙尘暴异常是该区域最主要的表现形式。西北地区东部沙尘暴日数空间异常可分为4个沙尘暴气候区:河西走廊—阿拉善区、鄂尔多斯—乌兰布和区、柴达木—茶卡寒旱区、陕甘宁黄土高原区。河西走廊—阿拉善区沙尘暴频次最高,陕甘宁黄土高原区频次最少;近40多年来西北地区东部沙尘暴日数呈减少的态势;沙尘暴日数在20世纪80年代中期到末期发生气候突变,突变起源于沙漠及相邻地区,并由外围沙漠区向中间地带传播。沙尘暴持续时间最长的不是高频区河西走廊—阿拉善区,而是鄂尔多斯—乌兰布和区,最短的也不在频次最低的陕甘宁黄土高原区,而在柴达木—茶卡寒旱区;沙尘暴高发的河西走廊—阿拉善区、鄂尔多斯—乌兰布和区,持续时间没有发生明显的突变,这两个区域20世纪80年代中期以后沙尘暴持续时间变率增大;90年代以后沙尘暴持续时间有增长的趋势。     

广州市上空SO2垂直分布

通过对广州市上空SO₂垂直分布数据的分析,揭示了广州市上空SO₂垂直分布特征及垂直扩散规律。国内目前低空(１０００ｍ以下)污染物垂直分布观测较少,该文可作为一个研究实例。      

低压下近熄灭极限区域纸火蔓延实验研究

对低压下的近熄灭极限区域水平纸火蔓延进行了实验研究。通过降低环境压力和氧气浓度,确定了水平纸火蔓延的着火极限,并得出了在极限氧气浓度条件下的火蔓延速度变化规律。在相同氧气浓度下(43%)进行了不同压力的水平纸火蔓延实验。结果表明,火蔓延速度在近熄灭极限区域内非线性增加,通过比较分析前人火蔓延速度实验结果,确定了火蔓延近熄灭极限区域和线性增长区域的分界压力值。此外,得出了压力分界处的火焰变化特征,并根据火焰图像与理论分析,得出了不同区域内的火蔓延传热机制。     

Simulation and application of a disaster spread model in Chemical Disaster Network

In the research field of chemical safety, the computer-aided simulation for occurrence and process of disasters has become a major trend in current research, in which the establishment of evolution system for chemical multi disasters is the key point. In the paper, the study lays emphasis on the simulation and application of a spread model for chemical multi disasters. After establishing a disaster network, we defined microcosmic elements of spread model specifically. Combined with guideline of chemical disaster (e.g. guideline of heat flux for damages or injure, guideline of evaluation for buildings based explosion and overpressure, and guideline of evaluation for human exposure to toxic gases), the weight of impact can be computed using new comprehensive algorithms. Simultaneously, the paper also uses an approach on simulating multiple failure events to describe random factors of triggering disasters. At last, the experimental case of alkyl aluminum leakage in a polypropylene plant shows the result of simulation with table of 5 major series of disasters and distribution diagram of nodes (disasters) in disaster network. This proves the validity and practicability of the simulation system in the establishment and feedback of contingency plan of large-scale petrochemical enterprises.     

Evaporating liquid flow in a channel (An integral model based on shallow water flow approximation)

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) storage facilities generally include channels to convey potential spills of the liquid to an impoundment. There is increasing concern that dispersion of vapors generated by flow of LNG in a channel may lead to higher than limit vapor concentrations for safety at site boundary from channels that may be close to the dike walls. This issue is of recent concern to regulatory agencies, because the calculation of vapor hazard distance(s) from LNG flow in a channel is not required under existing LNG facility siting standards or regulations.An important parameter that directly affects the calculated LNG vapor dispersion distance is the source strength (i.e., the rate of vaporization of LNG flow from the wetted channel surfaces, as a function of spatial position and time). In this paper a model is presented which considers the variation of the depth of the flowing LNG with spatial location and time, and calculates the spatial and temporal dependence of the mass rate of vapor generation. Self similar profiles for the spatial variation of the thermal boundary layer in the liquid wetted wall and liquid depth variation are assumed. The variation with time of the location of the liquid spread front and the evaporation rate are calculated for the case of a constant LNG spill rate into a rectangular channel. The effects of two different channel slopes are evaluated. Details of the results and their impact on dispersion distances are discussed.     

Invasion with stage-structured coupled map lattices: Application to the spread of scentless chamomile

Two fundamental aspects of invasion dynamics are population growth and population spread. These quantities have been subject of study in biological invasions and can be used to study management and control of organisms. In this paper we derive formulae to calculate wave speed and rates of spread for coupled map lattices. Coupled map lattice models are dynamical models where space and time are discrete. We also show how wave speed and rate of spread can be calculated for structured population coupled map lattices in deterministic, stochastic environments and heterogeneous landscapes. Coupled map lattices are simple mathematical models that can be easily linked to landscape data to study invading organisms control strategies.     

盾构铁路隧道坡度对火灾烟气蔓延的影响研究*

为研究坡度隧道内列车阻滞后的火灾烟气蔓延行为，利用火灾动力学模拟软件（FDS）建立盾构铁路隧道火灾模型和CRH6高速列车阻滞模型，隧道坡度分别为0%、1.0%、1.5%、2.0%、2.5%、3.0%、3.5%和4.0%，通过分析隧道内烟气、温度、能见度等特征参数的变化规律，研究坡度隧道内高温烟气的受力情况，探讨坡度变化对火灾烟气蔓延的作用机理。结果表明，坡度隧道内发生火灾，随着烟气的蔓延，隧道内形成沿坡度方向的烟囱效应力，使得烟气在火源两侧呈不对称分布。火源下游区域的高温烟气在火风压和烟囱效应的协同作用下蔓延速度比上游更快，下游烟气层分界中性面与隧道轴线平行，上游烟气层分界中性面呈现水平状态。有坡度的铁路隧道内发生火灾，建议向火源下游方向施加纵向机械通风，人员向火源的上游方向疏散逃生更安全。     

凹型建筑外立面火灾烟气蔓延特性研究

为了研究凹型建筑外立面火灾烟气蔓延特性，对高层建筑凹槽内火灾烟气“三场”数值模拟。研究表明:结构因子α（进深与槽宽之比）的变化导致凹型建筑结构内呈现不同的火灾烟气蔓延规律；当α为0~0.4时，建筑凹槽内的火灾烟气无烟囱效应；当α为0.6~1.2时，建筑凹槽内的火灾烟气呈现一定的烟囱效应，其火灾烟气温度场、CO浓度场、扩散速度场变化显著；当α>1.2的，建筑凹槽内的火灾烟气烟囱效应显著。     

Environmental management of oak wilt disease in central texas

Oak wilt disease, for which there is no known cure, is one of the most destructive tree killers in the United States today. This analysis reports on the patterns of disease transmission, along with the methods of treatment used to suppress the severity of the pathogen's attack on trees in central Texas. The practical problems inherent in the linkage between people and their relationship with this environmental disorder are addressed. The environmental controls implemented have application to other areas of the United States and western Europe, where tree species are subject to infections.     

千乡万村环境保护科普行动的实践和探索

开展"千乡万村环保科普行动"对提高农民的环保意识,控制农村面源污染,改善农村生态环境,改变农民的生活方式将起到积极的促进作用。概述了这项活动在云南的开展情况,分析了整个活动的成功和不足之处,探讨了确保这项活动全面实施的具体思路、方法和措施。