柳州地区酸沉降临界负荷的确定

为了对目标沉降量的制定提供定量依据,根据现场调查和实验测量获得柳州红壤的物理化学特性,地表水化学行性及降水化学背景和现状的数据,应用改进的ＭＡＧＩＣ模型计算不同酸沉降量下土壤的酸化过程。结果表明：柳州土壤已处于酸化状态并呈现继续酸化趋势,表层土壤敏感性较强,而底层土壤和地表水缓冲能力较强。     

外源Ni在干旱区绿洲土壤-小麦系统中的迁移及其生物有效性

以西北干旱区绿洲灌淤土为供试土壤,采用盆栽模拟试验和室内分析研究了Ni对小麦的生物效应及其在土壤-小麦系统中的迁移规律.结果表明:Ni在低添加质量分数下能促进小麦生长,但达到临界值240 mg·kg-1后,就会出现明显的毒害作用.随着Ni添加质量分数的增加,各器官中Ni含量也呈增长趋势.小麦根对Ni的富集能力最强,籽粒对Ni的富集能力最弱.随着Ni添加质量分数的增加,土壤中可交换态Ni和碳酸盐结合态Ni所占比例呈增加趋势.对小麦而言,可交换态Ni是生物有效态.     

膜序批式间歇反应器的膜污染特性及控制

采取厌-好氧交替运行、实验室人工配水的方式,连续运行300 d,研究膜序批式间歇反应器运行过程的膜污染特性及其控制.结果表明,在运行初期的75 d内,污泥处于絮体状,SVI值64.6～110.6 　mL·g^-1,膜污染呈快速指数增长趋势,TMP平均增长速率为0.309　kPa·d^-1,膜阻力变化在0.393×10¹¹～1.298×10¹¹ m^-1·d^-1之间,比膜通量从4.4 　L·(m²·h·kPa)^-1下降为0.52 　L·(m²·h·kPa)^-1,75　d时的临界膜通量为20 　L·(m²·h)^-1.从75～120　d对系统进行了调控,反应器培养出好氧颗粒污泥,SVI值逐渐下降,从170　d开始,SVI一直保持在40 　mL·g^-1左右,污泥粒径逐渐增大,220　d时污泥粒径分布大多在500～1 000　μm.120～300　d运行过程中的膜污染呈缓慢增长趋势,TMP平均增长率仅为0.062 　kPa·d^-1,膜阻力变化率在0.291×10¹¹～0.404×10¹¹m^-1·d^-1,比膜通量从4.4 　L·(m²·h·kPa)^-1下降为1.4 　L·(m²·h·kPa)^-1,220 d时的临界膜通量为40 　L·(m²·h)^-1.这些数据表明好氧颗粒污泥的培养对减缓膜污染发生具有极大作用.曝气强度为100 m³·(m²·h)^-1时,比膜通量最大,曝气强度为69 m³·(m²·h)^-1时,膜污染速率最小.     

四川省泥石流预报的区域临界雨量指标研究

本文在讨论四川泥石流分区的基础上,论述了区域泥石流临界雨量指标的确定方法及应用问题。并制定了四川泥石流预报的区域临界日雨量和临界小时雨强指标。     

半轴花键在挤压过程中的稳定性研究

从临界力的角度入手分析花键半轴在挤压成形时的稳定性及失稳后可增加约束的计算,研究表明半轴花键实现精密挤压成形不稳定时可增加约束来解决失稳问题。     

Local‐Scale Dynamics and Local Drivers of Bushmeat Trade

Bushmeat management policies are often developed outside the communities in which they are to be implemented. These policies are also routinely designed to be applied uniformly across communities with little regard for variation in social or ecological conditions. We used fuzzy‐logic cognitive mapping, a form of participatory modeling, to compare the assumptions driving externally generated bushmeat management policies with perceptions of bushmeat trade dynamics collected from local community members who admitted to being recently engaged in bushmeat trading (e.g., hunters, sellers, consumers). Data were collected during 9 workshops in 4 Tanzanian villages bordering Serengeti National Park. Specifically, we evaluated 9 community‐generated models for the presence of the central factors that comprise and drive the bushmeat trade and whether or not models included the same core concepts, relationships, and logical chains of reasoning on which bushmeat conservation policies are commonly based. Across local communities, there was agreement about the most central factors important to understanding the bushmeat trade (e.g., animal recruitment, low income, and scarcity of food crops). These matched policy assumptions. However, the factors perceived to drive social‐ecological bushmeat trade dynamics were more diverse and varied considerably across communities (e.g., presence or absence of collaborative law enforcement, increasing human population, market demand, cultural preference). Sensitive conservation issues, such as the bushmeat trade, that require cooperation between communities and outside conservation organizations can benefit from participatory modeling approaches that make local‐scale dynamics and conservation policy assumptions explicit. Further, communities’ and conservation organizations’ perceptions need to be aligned. This can improve success by allowing context appropriate policies to be developed, monitored, and appropriately adapted as new evidence is generated. Dinámicas a Escala Local y Conductores Locales del Mercado de Carne de Caza     

Effectiveness of Community Forestry in Prey Long Forest,Cambodia

Cambodia has 57% forest cover, the second highest in the Greater Mekong region, and a high deforestation rate (1.2%/year, 2005–2010). Community forestry (CF) has been proposed as a way to reduce deforestation and support livelihoods through local management of forests. CF is expanding rapidly in Cambodia. The National Forests Program aims to designate one million hectares of forest to CF by 2030. However, the effectiveness of CF in conservation is not clear due to a global lack of controlled comparisons, multiple meanings of CF, and the context‐specific nature of CF implementation. We assessed the effectiveness of CF by comparing 9 CF sites with paired controls in state production forest in the area of Prey Long forest, Cambodia. We assessed forest condition in 18–20 randomly placed variable‐radius plots and fixed‐area regeneration plots. We surveyed 10% of households in each of the 9 CF villages to determine the proportion that used forest products, as a measure of household dependence on the forest. CF sites had fewer signs of anthropogenic damage (cut stems, stumps, and burned trees), higher aboveground biomass, more regenerating stems, and reduced canopy openness than control areas. Abundance of economically valuable species, however, was higher in control sites. We used survey results and geographic parameters to model factors affecting CF outcomes. Interaction between management type, CF or control, and forest dependence indicated that CF was more effective in cases where the community relied on forest products for subsistence use and income. Efectividad de la Silvicultura Comunal en el Bosque Prey Long, Camboya     

Thermal Physiology,Disease, and Amphibian Declines on the Eastern Slopes of the Andes

Rising temperatures, a widespread consequence of climate change, have been implicated in enigmatic amphibian declines from habitats with little apparent human impact. The pathogenic fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), now widespread in Neotropical mountains, may act in synergy with climate change causing collapse in thermally stressed hosts. We measured the thermal tolerance of frogs along a wide elevational gradient in the Tropical Andes, where frog populations have collapsed. We used the difference between critical thermal maximum and the temperature a frog experiences in nature as a measure of tolerance to high temperatures. Temperature tolerance increased as elevation increased, suggesting that frogs at higher elevations may be less sensitive to rising temperatures. We tested the alternative pathogen optimal growth hypothesis that prevalence of the pathogen should decrease as temperatures fall outside the optimal range of pathogen growth. Our infection‐prevalence data supported the pathogen optimal growth hypothesis because we found that prevalence of Bd increased when host temperatures matched its optimal growth range. These findings suggest that rising temperatures may not be the driver of amphibian declines in the eastern slopes of the Andes. Zoonotic outbreaks of Bd are the most parsimonious hypothesis to explain the collapse of montane amphibian faunas; but our results also reveal that lowland tropical amphibians, despite being shielded from Bd by higher temperatures, are vulnerable to climate‐warming stress. Fisiología Termal, Enfermedades y Disminuciones de Anfibios en las Laderas Orientales de los Andes     

Understanding and enhancing future infrastructure resiliency: a socio‐ecological approach

The resilience of any system, human or natural, centres on its capacity to adapt its structure, but not necessarily its function, to a new configuration in response to long‐term socio‐ecological change. In the long term, therefore, enhancing resilience involves more than simply improving a system's ability to resist an immediate threat or to recover to a stable past state. However, despite the prevalence of adaptive notions of resilience in academic discourse, it is apparent that infrastructure planners and policies largely continue to struggle to comprehend longer‐term system adaptation in their understanding of resilience. Instead, a short‐term, stable system (STSS) perspective on resilience is prevalent. This paper seeks to identify and problematise this perspective, presenting research based on the development of a heuristic ‘scenario–episode’ tool to address, and challenge, it in the context of United Kingdom infrastructure resilience. The aim is to help resilience practitioners to understand better the capacities of future infrastructure systems to respond to natural, malicious threats.