后重建时代汶川大地震极重灾区旅游发展策略探析

2008年汶川大地震给四川省旅游业发展在短期内造成了极大困难,但也给当地遗留了大量的地震遗存,拥有重要的科学考查、科普教育和纪念价值。后重建时代极重灾区面临的旅游发展问题大同小异,虽然开发了许多新项目,但问题并没有从根本上解决。从当地自然环境禀赋各异、少数民族文化开发程度低、旅游商品外来化严重、旅游安全等方面分析了面临的各种问题,提出了具有针对性的对策和建议。     

适宜性评价视角下的煤矿土地复垦技术措施研究——以白山市道清沟煤矿为例

基于土地适宜性评价方法,着重选取极限值条件法、AHP层次分析法、加权指数和法对白山市道清沟煤矿区的土地适宜类和土地质量等进行系统综合的分析,判定道清沟煤矿待复垦土地的类型、数量和质量。基于土地破坏现状和适宜性评价结果,提出以工程措施为主、生物化学措施为辅助的土地生态重构对策。     

Incidence of thyroid disease following exposure to polybrominated biphenyls and polychlorinated biphenyls, Michigan, 1974-2006

Thyroid hormones, which influence body metabolism and development, could be affected by persistent organic pollutants. We sought to examine the relationship between polybrominated biphenyls (PBBs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and thyroid disease. We employed incidence density sampling to perform a nested case control analysis of the Michigan Long-Term PBB Cohort. Cohort members (n = 3333) were exposed to PBBs through contaminated cattle feed in 1973-1974 and to PCBs through daily life. Those with detectable serum PBB and PCB concentrations at enrollment were categorized into tertiles of PBB and PCB exposure. Case-patients were cohort members answering “Yes” to “Has a healthcare provider ever told you that you had a thyroid problem?” during follow-up interviews; control-patients were cohort members answering “No”. We used odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to compare odds of thyroid disease by PBB and PCB exposure and by various risk factors. Total cumulative thyroid disease incidence after 33 years was 13.9% among women and 2.6% among men. After adjusting for body mass index, we found no statistically significant differences in odds of any type of thyroid disease among women or men with elevated PBB or PCB exposure. Compared to control-patients, women with thyroid disease had increased odds of being overweight/obese (OR = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.94-4.11) and developing infertility (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.08-2.69), diabetes (OR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.04-2.51), or arthritis (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.18-2.50) during follow-up. Additional research should explore potential associations between PBBs/PCBs and thyroid disease among children exposed in utero.     

新型汽封在超临界600MW机组的应用

介绍了一种新型汽封在国产600 MW机组节能改造中的应用。改造方案为将汽轮机组原通流部分及轴端的梳齿型汽封改为新型接触式密封齿＋蜂窝汽封＋铁素体齿的组合汽封,改造后漏汽量大幅减少,高、中、低压缸效率和机组运行的经济性明显提高,对同类型汽轮机通流部分节能改造具有较好的借鉴意义。     

Retrospective exposure assessment in a chemical research and development facility

The objective of this exposure assessment was to reconstruct cumulative historical exposures for workers who have been exposed to multiple chemicals and chemical groups to better understand a cluster of brain cancers within a research and development lab. Chemicals of interest, including acrylates, bis-chloromethyl ether (BCME), chloromethyl methyl ether (CMME), isothiazolones and nitrosoamines, were selected on the basis of the plausibility of penetrating the blood-brain barrier and the uniqueness of the chemical's biological activity.In a complicated exposure setting such as a chemical R&D facility, multiple exposure estimation methods were needed. First, similarly exposure groups (SEGs) were created for these materials based on department group, time period of the department's existence and function associated with job titles. A probabilistic framework for assessing exposures was developed using Bayesian analysis of historical monitoring data, mathematical exposure modeling and professional judgments of current and former industrial hygienists at the facility were used to reconstruct the exposure history for acrylates, BCME and CMME for each SEG over the time period of interest. Since sufficient measurement data for isothiazolones and nitrosoamines were not available, the exposure histories for each SEG for these chemicals were estimated. This was done using objective formaldehyde levels and subjective employee interviews. The interviews assessed workplace determinants of exposure as distinct surrogates for estimating inhalation and dermal exposures. The exposure assessments by these methods were compared against each other to estimate the potential for exposure misclassification. A job exposure matrix (JEM) was constructed that contained the exposures obtained from above multiple approaches for each of these chemical groups for each SEG for each year of interest. The combination of methods used in this work is a unique and potentially helpful framework that can be used in analogous workplace settings involving multiple exposures with incomplete objective measurement information.     

混沌理论在河流溶解氧预测中的应用初探

基于混沌理论、相空间重构思想和嵌入理论分析涟水流域溶解氧的时间序列，计算吸引子维数和最大的Lyapunov指数，研究河流水质系统的复杂性特征。结果表明，河流溶解氧时间序列具有混沌特性，其外在表现为貌似随机的无规则特点；但系统本身内在的、固有的规律(表现在最大的Lyapunov指数)，表明短期预测河流水质变化是可行的，并应用混沌相空间模线性回归模型进行了预测，其预测结果对涟水流域的水质管理和控制具有一定的参考价值。     

蒙古高原东部和南部气候要素变化特征及其生态环境影响分析

使用线性回归、趋势倾向性和空间相关等方法对比分析内蒙古辖区蒙古高原东部呼伦 贝尔与南部额济纳旗地区器测时段气候变化特征。结果表明,呼伦贝尔与额济纳旗两地器测时 段全年和生长季（6—9 月）平均温度增温显著,降水无显著共同变化,区域暖干化趋势明显。 年径流总量变化、空间相关结果和周期分析显示,两地气候干湿变化具有同步趋势。全球变暖 背景条件下,内蒙古东部沙地樟子松和西部胡杨面临着相近的气候环境与人类活动双重压力。     

平顶山市煤矿矿区土地复垦煤灰充填后土壤的污染性分析

从粉煤灰的污染潜势分析入手,通过复垦土壤的测试分析、淋溶试验和种植试验,揭示了粉煤灰充填复垦土壤的污染性.研究表明,粉煤灰中重金属的水溶性差,同时因pH值高,抑制了作物对高含量污染重金属的吸收;淋溶试验也表明重金属元素的淋溶性弱;温室盆栽与大田作物籽实样品分析表明,样品中重金属含量符合国家有关标准,说明尽管复垦土壤存在重金属污染,仍然可以种植某些作物.     

城市废弃工矿区土地再利用研究

加快城市废弃工矿区土地再利用,已成为发展矿区循环经济、提高城市土地利用效率有效途径之一。在对城市废弃工矿区土地再利用的相关概念界定的基础上．对城市废弃工矿区土地再利用理论和技术进行了综述,并提出存在的问题及建议。     

水是西北地区生态系统重建的根本

我国以植树造林为核心的生态环境建设取得了很大成绩,到1997年全国已累计造林4627万hm²,其中“三北地区”3024万hm²。但也存在着很大问题,主要表现在平均造林成活率仅25%,保存率仅13%。经分析,西北地区少雨干旱,缺土壤水是“年年造林不见林”的主要原因。分析表明,水是西北地区生态系统重建的根本,而跨流域调水、加强水资源管理、雨水资源化、发展节水农业、普及节水意识等,是解决西北地区水资源短缺的根本途径。