区域历史地理研究与国土规划

人口与资源和环境之间的相互关系是一个历史过程。从发生学观点研究特写区域这种关系及其变化规律是区域历史地理研究的核心内容，探索历史上人口与资源和环境之间相互关系的规律及其演化机制，可为区域国土规划与整治中人口、资源与环境发展提供必要的历史借鉴和客观依据。同时，国土规划与整治的现实任务亦为区域历史地理研究提供了发展机遇。     

我国三大地带经济发展不平衡性动态分析

本文采用人均GDP指标,对1978-2002年我国三大地带经济发展的不平衡性及驱动机制进行了动态时序分析,剖析了三大地带经济差距产生的原因.结果表明:近20多年来无论是绝对差距、相对差距还是综合差距，三大地带经济区域差异均呈现扩大趋势，尤其是以20世纪90年代初期最为显著。究其原因，除了自然环境和历史背景的影响外，产业结构、所有制结构，投资强度，对外开放程度和社会文化环境等因素均具有重要影响。为缩小三大地带的经济差距，除加强对中西部的投资建设外，应加快对中西部改革开放的步伐，增强了中西部的自我发展能力。     

Overview of case studies on recovery of aquatic systems from disturbance

An extensive review of the published literature identified more than 150 case studies in which some aspect of resilience in freshwater systems was reported. Approximately 79% of systems studied were lotic and the remainder lentic. Most of the stressor types were chemical with DDT (N=29) and rotenone (N=15) the most common. The most common nonchemical stressors were logging activity (N=16), flooding (N=8), dredging (N=3), and drought (N=7). The variety of endpoints to which recovery could be measured ranged from sparse data for phytoplankton (N=13), periphyton (N=6), and macrophytes (N=8) to relatively more data for fish (N=412) and macroinvertebrates (N=698). Unfortunately the same characteristics were rarely measured consistently among sites. For example, with respect to fish, more than 30 different species were studied and recovery was measured in many ways, most commonly on the basis of: (1) first reappearance of the species, (2) return time of predisturbance densities, and (3) return time of predisturbance average individual size. Based on these criteria, all systems in these studies seem to be resilient to most disturbances with most recovery times being less than three years. Exceptions included when (1) the disturbance resulted in physical alteration of the existing habitat, (2) residual pollutants remained in the system, or (3) the system was isolated and recolonization was suppressed.     

西藏措勤地区年波组岩石地球化学特征

林子宗群年波组为始新世火山岩地层,岩性主要为一套中-酸性火山熔岩、火山碎屑岩,局部夹淡水灰岩.野外地质调查和室内岩石学、岩石地球化学等综合研究成果显示这些岩石属钙碱性系列岩石,不相容元素K、Rb、Ba、Th强烈富集和Nb、Sr、P、Ti等元素明显亏损等特征,且明显受区域断裂构造控制,与区域构造演化有密切的内在联系.研究这一地史时期的火山岩的分布、产状、岩石学、岩石地球化学和同位素年代学,对于进一步认识青藏高原的形成和隆升不仅具有重要的科学意义,而且将为探寻与火山活动有关的矿产资源提供基础地质资料.     

Climate Change Projections for the United States Midwest

Environmental and societal factors such asair quality, water quality andavailability, land use changes andexpanding urbanization are alreadyaffecting human health and welfare,agriculture, and natural ecosystems in theMidwestern United States. Over thiscentury, these existing stresses willlikely be exacerbated by climate changesresulting from human activities. It isessential that policy decisions aimed atpreserving the well-being of a region beinformed by a good understanding of theregion's climate, how climate might change,and the uncertainties inherent in futureprojections. Recent updates in climatemodeling expertise and an expanded view ofpossible non-intervention emissionscenarios have narrowed the range of changethat can be expected over the Midwestthroughout the next century in some ways,while broadening it in others. In contrastto previous studies, which generallyconsider a mid-range scenario for futureemissions, this study presents the range ofchange that would result from low to highscenarios for climate change. In this waywe account for uncertainties inanthropogenic forcing on climate change inthe region and quantify the potentialeffects of human actions on future climate.This analysis also combines the latestclimate model projections with historicalrecords of observed climate over the pastcentury, effectively placing potentialchanges in extreme event frequencies suchas heavy rainfall events and temperaturethreshold exceedances within the context ofobserved variability over the past century.The purpose of this study is to provide anupdated picture of the potential impacts ofclimate change on the Midwest to inform theimpact assessment and policy developmentcommunity. From the magnitude of thechanges projected by this study, it isclear that these must be included in futurepolicy decisions in order to ensure thesuccessful adaptation and survival ofexisting human and natural systems in theMidwest.     

内蒙古河套灌区面源污染防治初步设想

本文分析了内蒙古河套灌区面源污染现状及其成因，并从政策、管理、技术上提出了相应的防治初步设想。     

Estimating baseline carbon emissions for the Eastern Panama Canal watershed

To participate in the potential market for carbon credits based on changes in the use and management of the land, one needs to identify opportunities and implement land-use based emissions reductions or sequestration projects. A key requirement of land-based carbon (C) projects is that any activity developed for generating C benefits must be additional to business-as-usual. A rule-based model was developed and used that estimates changes in land-use and subsequent carbon emissions over the next twenty years using the Eastern Panama Canal Watershed (EPCW) as a case study. These projections of changes in C stocks serve as a baseline to identify where opportunities exist for implementing projects to generate potential C credits and to position Panama to be able to participate in the emerging C market by developing a baseline under scenarios of business-as-usual and new-road development. The projections show that the highest percent change in land use for the new-road scenario compared to the business-as-usual scenario is for urban areas, and the greatest cause of C emission is from deforestation. Thus, the most effective way to reduce C emissions to the atmosphere in the EPCW is by reducing deforestation. In addition to affecting C emissions, reducing deforestation would also protect the soil and water resources of the EPCW. Yet, under the current framework of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), only credits arising from reforestation are allowed, which after 20 years of plantation establishment are not enough to offset the C emissions from the ongoing, albeit small, rate of deforestation in the EPCW. The study demonstrates the value of spatial regional projections of changes in land cover and C stocks: The approach helps a country identify its potential greenhouse gas (GHG) emission liabilities into the future and provides opportunity for the country to plan alternative development pathways. It could be used by potential project developers to identify which types of projects will generate the largest C benefits and provide the needed baseline against which a project is then evaluated. Spatial baselines, such as those presented here, can be used by governments to help identify development goals. The development of such a baseline, and its expansion to other vulnerable areas, well positions Panama to respond to the future market demand for C offsets. It is useful to compare the projected change in land cover under the business-as-usual scenario to the goals set by Law 21 for the year 2020. Suggested next steps for analysis includeusing the modeling approach to exploreland-use, C dynamics and management ofsecondary forests and plantations, soilC gains or losses, sources ofvariability in the land use and Cstock projections, and other ecologicalimplications and feedbacks resulting fromprojected changes in land cover.     

水资源开发利用与区域经济协调管理的一种交互式模式

本文据大系统多级递阶优化控制理论，将水资源系统分解成地面水资源系统与地下水资源系统。在地面水系统中，给出了多目标开发利用管理模型；在地下水系统中，提出了地下水资源开发利用经济管理模型。区域经济涉及区域内的各种工农业和城镇生活用水部门──用水系统。对该用水系统提出了分解──协调优化管理模型。据水资源开发利用和用水系统的特点，在最高级设置总协调器来协调水资源开发利用系统与用水系统，进而提出了水资源开发利用与区域经济协调管理的一种交互式模式。     

我国食用海洋生物资源的开发及其对策

在概述我国海域主要的资源生物及其开发现状的基础上,指出在70年代中期以前,随捕捞力量的增加,我国海洋总渔获量增长较快;但此后,尽管捕捞力量仍继续增加,总渔获量增长缓慢。作者认为,过度捕捞、污染以及其他不利的环境因素变化是导致总渔获量缓慢增长的主要原因。为合理利用资源,提高渔获量,应在加强海洋生态系研究的基础上,积极开发外海(包括远洋)资源,并着重发展海洋农牧化。