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121.
122.
喀斯特石山地区社会经济与生态环境可持续发展系统研究:以桂西北为例 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
本建立了广西西北部喀斯特石山地区可持续发展的系统动力学模型。并用DYNAMO程序预测了未来20年桂西北地区的人口、工业、农业、第三产业,生态环境,土地资源,社会总产值,人均国民收人等的动态变化趋势,结果显示,该地区由于人口,工业资产增加使物质和能源消耗增长太快,而对污染治理的投入又太少,导致桂西北地区的生存环境质量下降,因此应当加大对污染治理的投入力度,改善区域环境质量,这是实现息烽县区域可持续发展的关键,根据区域特点探讨了桂西北喀斯特贫困山区的形成演化,提出了可持续发展的途径。 相似文献
123.
For about 50 years the desertion of areas by traditional activities has led to an important evolution of landscapes and environments
on the island of Ouessant. The study of this evolution has been undertaken at different spatial and temporal scales. On one
part of the island, a scientific investigation carried out at the scale of the parcel enabled the form of the landscape in
1850 to be compared with that of 1985. On the whole island, the evolution of spatial organization and land use was compared
between 1950 and 1985. For each of three main ecological environments, vegetational successions after the decrease of agriculture
have been studied along with their future potential changes. This work highlights some considerations about the present management
of the environment in relation to the major objectives of island environmental policies. 相似文献
124.
大气中SO2的液相氧化研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
大气中SO2液相氧化是形成酸雨的重要途径,降雨中含有各种无机离子和有机物质,它们可能催化或抑制液相氧化反应的进行。本文根据四川酸雨样品组成,进行了SO2在模拟雨水及实际雨水中的氧化实验,考查了V,Fe,Mn等离子对SO2氧化的催化作用,H2O2对SO2的氧化以及降水中有机物质甲醛对各反应的影响。实验结果为了解酸雨的成固,研究酸雨控制对策提供了科学依据。 相似文献
125.
Numerous analyses of the possible impacts of future climatic changes on tree species composition have been published for
both lowland and high-elevation forests. Most of these studies were based on the application of forest "gap" models, and the
vast majority of them considered only changes in the average of climatic parameters over time. In this study, we use a unique
data set on reconstructed past climatic variations to analyse forest dynamics simulated by the forest gap model ForClim. This
analysis forms the basis for a systematic exploration of the ecological effects of changing means vs. changing variability
of climate on central European forests. A reconstruction of historical climate covering the last 470 years in the Swiss lowlands
(ClimIndex) is extrapolated to a transect across the alpine (cold) treeline and used to simulate the influence of climate
variations on the time scale of decades on forest biomass and tree species composition at both sites. While the simulation
at the low-elevation site shows little sensitivity to climate variations, the results from upper subalpine forests suggest
that two major dieback events would have occurred at elevations above the current but below the climatic tree line, induced
by clusters of exceptionally cold summers. The results are in agreement with available dendrochronological data and with documentary
evidence on massive negative impacts on flora and fauna at high elevations during these periods. We conclude that ForClim
is capable of capturing the effects on tree population dynamics of climate variability at these sites as reconstructed from
the ClimIndex record. A factorial design is used to address the sensitivity of ForClim to changes of the long-term averages
vs. changes of the variability of monthly temperature and precipitation data. To this end, the simulated tree species composition
of near-natural forests is examined along a climate gradient in Europe. The results indicate that there are three types of
forest response: (1) little sensitivity to both kinds of change, (2) strong sensitivity to changes in the means, but little
sensitivity to changing variability, and (3) strong sensitivity to changing variability at least in parts of the examined
climate space. Half of the cases investigated fall under the third category, suggesting that emphasis should be placed on
also assessing the sensitivity of ecosystems to future changes in climate variability rather than on changes of average values
alone.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
126.
道路交通事故再现不仅是交通事故责任鉴定和原因分析的重要方法,也是交通事故防治的重要内容。在详细介绍国内外事故再现计算机仿真技术的基础上,分析目前事故再现系统开发中事故现场数据采集技术、碰撞前后速度估算的技术、碰撞过程进行模拟的虚拟现实技术的研究现状与存在的问题,提出进一步优化的方向,进而达到完善交通事故模拟再现的目的。最后指出我国交通事故再现技术进一步研究的内容和发展趋势。 相似文献
127.
我国的海洋污染日益严重,政府加大海洋环境保护力度势在必行。科学、有效的海洋环境管理对保护环境、提高资源利用效率起着非常重要的作用。但海洋环境并不是一维线性的系统,涉及系统的多维耦合,而海岸带又是与人类活动息息相关的重要部分。本文尝试以青岛市胶州湾海岸带环境管理模式为例,构建包含有"经济-人口-资源-环境-安全-行政(EPRESA)"六个子系统的多维耦合系统模型,并绘制出总流图,然后以此为管理模式的优化提供前提性分析,提出海岸带综合管理模式优化的对策建议。本研究认为,要改善现有的海岸带环境管理体系,应该制定综合性管理政策,建立可持续的融资机制,推进海岸带灾害与风险管理以及引导利益相关者参与管理。 相似文献
128.
Donald J. Epp C. Edwin Young 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1981,17(2):215-224
ABSTRACT: Varying treatment levels to meet seasonal variation in assimilative capacity of streams can reduce total costs of treatment. A mathematical model of a Pennsylvania stream based on a theoretically sound approximation of the physical relationships underlying the distribution of DO in a river system was used to determine discharge constraints for an economic optimization model which produced estimates of sewage treatment cost savings. Increasing the number of flow periods during the year enhances cost reducing opportunities even when land application processes are considered. Also, the least cost treatment process for year around operation may not be the least costly under multiple flow period management. 相似文献
129.
130.
Madeleine Beekman Stephen J. Martin Falko Drijfhout Benjamin P. Oldroyd 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2007,61(12):1847-1853
Anarchy, where honeybee workers produce males in the presence of a queen, is extremely rare in natural honeybee populations,
suggesting that there are colony-level costs associated with being anarchistic. Yet, no significant costs have yet been identified.
A possible reason for this may be that researchers have only focused on the behaviour of anarchistic workers, which have been
shown to perform worker-tasks as do wild-type workers. Possibly, therefore, costs associated with anarchy should be sought
in anarchistic queens and not workers. A potential cost could be a lower survival rate of eggs laid by anarchistic queens
perhaps because their egg-marking signal is not as clear as that of a wild-type queen. In this paper, we determined the removal
rate of eggs laid by anarchistic queens in standard worker-policing bioassays. Our results show that eggs laid by anarchistic
queens are removed at a higher rate than eggs laid by wild-type queens. This does not seem to be due to differences in hydrocarbons
found on the surface of eggs, as both egg types showed the same alkanes and alkenes in similar proportions. We postulate that
higher removal rates of queen-laid eggs due to recognition errors may be one reason that anarchy is rare in natural honeybee
populations. 相似文献