珠三角2010~2017年主要工业源VOCs排放结构与组分变化

以工业密集的珠江三角洲地区为研究对象,通过建立2010~2017年主要工业源VOCs排放趋势清单和成分谱数据集,识别了VOCs总量排放趋势和组分结构变化特征,并探讨了典型工业行业VOCs排放结构与组分特征变化的原因.结果显示,2010~2013年珠三角主要工业源VOCs排放量从38万t上升至41万t,而后由于VOCs减排政策的落实持续下降,2017年降至32万t.VOCs组分以间对二甲苯、甲苯、乙苯等芳香烃、乙酸乙酯、丁酮等含氧VOCs和异丁烷等烷烃组分为主.水性涂料替代和末端治理设施等控制政策对工业源VOCs排放与组分结构均有一定程度的影响,排放结构上,金属表面涂装、家具制造、橡胶与塑料制品等行业排放贡献有所下降,组分结构上,芳香烃组分总体下降显著,而烷烃和OVOCs组分占比上升.     

Long-term trends in the Real real prices of primary commodities: Inflation bias and the Prebisch–Singer hypothesis

In his recent article on measuring the long-term trends in the real prices of primary commodities, Cuddington (2010) extends in several important respects our earlier efforts (Svedberg and Tilton, 2006) to correct real commodity price trends for biases in the Consumer Price Index and other deflators. First, he argues for a log-linear relationship between prices and time. Second, he proposes a simple and quick method for obtaining corrected price trends from the published but uncorrected estimates. Finally, he illustrates, for the case of copper and presumably for many other commodities as well, the difficulties of obtaining real price trends significantly different from zero when the log values of the price data contain a unit root, requiring the use of difference stationary models.We welcome these insights, which should improve and make easier efforts to estimate correctly real commodity price trends over the long run. We would stress, however, that it is still important to correct for the biases in inflation indices, notwithstanding the failure of difference stationary models to obtain long-run real price trends (both corrected and uncorrected) significantly different from zero.     

Effects of anthropogenic landscapes on population maintenance of waterbirds

Anthropogenic impacts have reduced natural areas but increased the area of anthropogenic landscapes. There is debate about whether anthropogenic landscapes (e.g., farmlands, orchards, and fish ponds) provide alternatives to natural habitat and under what circumstances. We considered whether anthropogenic landscapes can mitigate population declines for waterbirds. We collected data on population trends and biological traits of 1203 populations of 579 species across the planet. Using Bayesian generalized linear mixed models, we tested whether the ability of a species to use an anthropogenic landscape can predict population trends of waterbird globally and of species of conservation concern. Anthropogenic landscapes benefited population maintenance of common but not less-common species. Conversely, the use of anthropogenic landscapes was associated with population declines for threatened species. Our findings delineate some limitations to the ability of anthropogenic landscapes to mitigate population declines, suggesting that the maintenance of global waterbird populations depends on protecting remaining natural areas and improving the habitat quality in anthropogenic landscapes. Article impact statement: Protecting natural areas and improving the quality of anthropogenic landscapes as habitat are both needed to achieve effective conservation.     

北京大气中CFC-11的浓度观测与变化趋势

近几年大气中CFC的浓度在人类活动的影响下发生了迅速变化,考虑到CFC浓度变化对平流层臭氧和全球变暖的影响,采用两步深冷冻浓缩自动进样系统,配以气相色谱/质谱联机对北京大气中的CFC-11进行了连续观测.结果表明,1999～2003年CFC-11的浓度季节变化均呈单峰形态,峰值出现在7～8月,月平均浓度最高值为1149.5±531.9×10^-12(体积分数);谷值出现在春季的3～5月份,月平均浓度最低值为487.5±131.5×10^-12(体积分数);北京大气中CF-11年平均浓度在观测时间段内呈先上升后下降的趋势,其中1995～1998年增长较快,平均增长率为17.9%,1999年后呈缓慢下降趋势,平均下降率为10.7%,平均浓度是Mauna Loa全球基准观测站观测到大气本底CFC-11浓度的3～5倍.     

Socioeconomic development and ecological traits as predictors of human–bird conflicts

Because of the significant impacts on both human interests and bird conservation, it is imperative to identify patterns and anticipate drivers of human–bird conflicts (HBCs) worldwide. Through a global systematic review, following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines, we analyzed the socioeconomic factors and bird ecological traits driving the degree of knowledge and extent of HBCs. We included 166 articles published from 1971 to 2020 in our analyses through which we built a profile of the socioeconomic conditions of 52 countries with reported conflicts and the ecological traits of the 161 bird species involved in HBCs. Although HBC expanded worldwide, it had the greatest impact in less-developed countries (estimate 0. 66 [SE 0.13], p< 0.05), where agriculture is critical for rural livelihoods. Species with a relatively greater conflict extent had a relatively broader diet (estimate 0.80 [SE 0.22], p<0.05) and an increasing population trend (estimate 0.58 [SE 0.15], p<0.05) and affected human interests, such as agriculture and livestock raising. In countries with greater biodiversity, HBCs caused greater socioeconomic impacts than in more developed countries. Our results highlight the importance of understanding and addressing HBCs from multiple perspectives (ecological, sociocultural, and political) to effectively protect both biodiversity and local livelihoods.     

2016-2020年珠海市金湾区集中式饮用水水源地环境质量变化特征

根据2016-2020年珠海市金湾区集中式饮用水水源地的监测数据,采用单因子评价法、综合污染指数法和综合营养状态指数法对金湾区黄绿背水库、爱国水库和木头冲水库环境质量变化趋势及特征进行分析评价.结果表明,2016年3个水库的综合污染指数最高,水质最差,超标因子为总磷,除了 2016年黄绿背水库超出《地表水环境质量标准》...