近20年兰西城市群生态系统服务价值对土地利用转型的时空响应

快速城市化和人类活动加剧了对现代城市群中各种生态系统服务退化的威胁,探索城市群尺度下的生态安全状况具有重要意义.以兰西城市群为研究区,选择2000、2005、2010、2015和2020年土地利用数据,引入景观生态风险指数,运用土地利用转移矩阵、单位面积价值当量因子法和双变量空间自相关分析法,分析兰西城市群土地利用变化特征,阐明土地利用转型引起的生态风险变化对生态系统服务价值的影响.结果表明:①2000~2020年间兰西城市群土地利用类型主要以草地、耕地和林地为主.建设用地面积扩张明显,主要来源于耕地和草地;6种土地利用类型交叉转化较强,土地利用变化总面积为6646.05 km²;②从空间变化上来看,兰西城市群生态系统服务价值空间格局未发生明显转变,但区域差异性显著,总体呈现西北高、东南低的分布特征;③从时间变化上来看,兰西城市群生态系统服务价值呈逐年增长的趋势,总价值流向从1864.59亿元增长为1921.56亿元,总增值56.97亿元;④兰西城市群近20年生态风险指数整体呈上升的趋势,生态风险区以低生态风险区和较低生态风险区占主导地位;生态系统服务价值与生态风险指数有显著的正向空间相关性.本文旨在揭示土地利用方式对生态系统服务价值和生态风险影响的认识,为区域生态风险管理和土地利用政策制定提供重要参考,进而促进黄河流域生态环境高质量发展.     

公路桥梁施工总体安全风险评估方法研究

为有效控制公路桥梁施工安全风险,提出一种可量化的公路桥梁施工安全风险评估方法。先构建我国公路桥梁施工总体安全风险评估指标体系,并基于蒙特卡洛抽样技术,运用k-s法对该评估指标体系总体分布进行有效检验。在此基础上,在给定的置信区间下对总体安全风险等级阈值进行界定划分,并通过实例进行验证。研究结果表明:该评估方法具有方便、实用、可靠性强的特点。     

煤矿安全预评价的可变模糊识别方法

煤矿安全预评价涉及诸多不确定信息,用传统评价方法难以获得可靠的评价结果。为此,将可变模糊模式识别模型与方法引入煤矿安全领域,提出了煤矿安全预评价的可变模糊识别方法。可变模糊识别方法首先根据指标特征值与指标标准特征值矩阵确定样本的级别上下限,然后利用可变模糊模式识别模型对样本进行识别,得到样本在各级别下的相对隶属度,进而计算级别特征值,并以此为依据进行评价。将该方法应用于黄陵双龙煤矿,得出该矿井的安全等级。结果表明:可变模糊识别方法较文献中方法可更准确地给出安全性等级评价结果,为煤矿安全预评价提供一条新的途径。     

产品结构造型设计的可回收性分析

可回收性设计作为绿色设计的核心内容之一,是一种再生设计。以产品的可回收性为切入点,着重分析产品的回收成本与回收价值、回收结构造型的设计特点以及回收设计的时机周期,为优化产品的结构造型设计,提升产品的回收价值提供支持。     

Air Quality Management: Participatory Ranking of Control Measures and Conflict Analysis

The ranking of air quality control measures according to a number of evaluation criteria and with the participation of a large number of interested publics is demonstrated. A pilot study for the South Coast Air Quality Management District of California serves as the reference point. Several methodological considerations are addressed, such as: (a) the enhancement of criterion priorities to account for the variability among the performance of the control measures when incommensurable impact levels are applied: (b) the derivation of alternative rankings according to the priorities of potential coalitions; (c) the assessment of the potential acceptability of a collective ranking given the degree of solidarity among participants with similar interest affiliations; and (b) the assessment of the extent to which the performance of specific control measures may override priority differences and lead to insignificant ranking differences.     

再论科学安全观

以科学发展观,辩证唯物主义与历史唯物主义为指导,以国际、国家社会发展为背景,综合各个领域提出的安全观,将安全观归纳为:宿命安全观、知命安全观、系统安全观和大安全观4种基本模式;提出以安全的社会价值和经济价值的认定为主体的安全价值观是安全观确立的基础,而构成安全观的人生价值观及人命价值观等是人生观乃至世界观的重要组成部分,是每个人实现人生价值观的保障。笔者试图以安全科学的基本理论统一人们对安全观的认识,旨在进一步充实完善安全学的学术内容。     

Valuing Water Rights in Douglas County,Oregon, Using the Hedonic Price Method1

Abstract: This paper uses the hedonic price method to estimate the value of an acre‐foot of irrigation water in Douglas County, Oregon. The analysis uses detailed information from 113 arms‐length transactions of farmland for 2000 and 2001. The estimated willingness‐to‐accept of $261 to sell an acre‐foot of irrigation water is consistent with other studies and recent transactions in the study area. Estimates for the value of leasing water are provided using a range of discount rates and leasing periods.     

浅谈地价评估和管理中的几个问题

土地价格是土地价值和权益的具体表现，是调节土地利用的重要手段。地价管理在推进土地有偿使用、优化配置土地资源、促进土地市场建设等方面发挥着重要作用。而现行地价体系比较成熟的只有作为国有土地使用权出让标准的一种基准地价，为适应其它土地权利流转的需要，应建立以土地权利为核心的新型地价体系。     

Human Dignity and the Dignity of Creatures

In their report for the Swiss government onthe notion of the dignity of creatures, PhilippBalzer, Klaus-Peter Rippe, and Peter Schaber analyzethe relationship between human dignity and the dignityof creatures, taking them as two categoricallydifferent concepts. Human dignity is defined as the``moral right not to be humiliated,' whereas thedignity of creatures is taken to be ``the inherentvalue of nonhuman living beings.' To my mind there isno need to draw a categorical distinction between thetwo concepts. Both notions could be brought togetherunder an all-encompassing concept of the inherentvalue of living beings, humans and non-humans alike,a concept one could name ``the dignity of livingbeings.' Indeed, this very notion underlies theposition taken in the report, although this is notmade explicit by the authors themselves.As the aim of the paper is only to clarify theconcepts used, I do not go beyond this ``internal'critique of their position, i.e., I don't assess howthe claims articulated via these concepts – theclaim that humans and/or creatures have an inherentvalue consisting in a supposed intrinsic good – areto be justified, although I myself would be ratherskeptical that this might be successfully done.     

Genetic Engineering and the Dignity of Creatures

The Swiss expert report suggests thatthe inherent dignity of a living being be identifiedwith its inherent value. But the phrase ``inherentvalue of a living being' seems to connote two conceptsof inherent value. One has a morally obligatingcharacter but is counterintuitive because of itsegalitarianism. The other is one of non-moral value.It is more compatible with considered intuitions butinsufficient for substantiating the expert report'sclaim that human beings have moral duties towardsanimals and plants. The paper discusses theseconcepts. Consideration is then given to the problemof how discursive support can be generated for theexpert report's claim that human beings have the moralduty to abstain from impairing those functions andabilities of a nonuman being that members of itsspecies as a rule can practice.