江苏省种粮补贴区域差异化理论与实证研究

粮食种植补贴是农业补贴的核心内容。从现行种粮补贴政策出发,构建了差异化情景下种粮补贴效率的理论命题,并认为差异化补贴更体现 “效率优先,兼顾公平”原则;在此基础上,构建了种粮补贴区域差异化指标体系及计算方法并对江苏省进行实证研究。结果发现：江苏省种粮补贴应呈现苏北>苏中>苏南的态势,最高值为总额的182%,分布在苏北地区,最低值为总额的117%,分布在苏南地区;各评价指标空间分布差异显著,补贴政策地区间指向应有所不同;最后提出差异控制系数θ,通过对θ的选择,可以较为有效的控制种粮补贴差异波动范围,为政策的制定提供简便的手段     

Spatial Variation and Space Optimization of the Development of China’s Circular Economy

China's circular economy is still at the initial stage, whose development has many difficulties and problems requiring immediate resolution theoretically and practically. Due to the differences of regions on the scale of land, endowment of resources, economic basis and cultural background, the developmental levels and capabilities of circular economy are inevitably different. Based on establishing the indicator system for assessing the developmental level of regional circular economy, spatial variation of China's circular economy is measured by the quantitative measurement using principal component analysis, and the existing problems are also analyzed and discussed. On one hand, the differences of the development capability of the circular economy of different provinces (cities) are profound in China; ①Difference between the first category (strong) and the second category (relatively strong) is 1.1264 points. Difference between the second category and the third category (relatively weak) is 0.3867 points. Difference between the third category and the fourth category (weak) is 1.0238 points. Difference between the first category and the fourth category reaches up to 2.0869 points. Average difference between the area where the developmental level of circular economy is relatively strong and the area where the developmental level of circular economy is relatively weak is 1.3617 points. ②The differences of the distribution of the areas, with different development capability of circular economy, which are located in the three economic regions of China, are also profound. The regions with a relatively strong development capability of circular economy are mainly located in the eastern economic area, which account for 22.58% of the whole regions, while only account for 12.90% in the middle and western economic areas. On the contrary, the regions with a relatively weak development capability of circular economy account for 48.39% in the middle and western area, while account for 16.13% in the eastern area. On the other hand, among regions with different development capability of circular economy, the regions with a relatively weak development capability of circular economy are in a dominant position, which accountfor 64.52% of all the provinces (cities), which indicates that the development of the China's circular economy still has a long way to go. Though certain achievements have been made in the development of China's circular economy, in general, there are still some obstacles to be tacked in the development of China's circular economy which require the economic, legal and administrative methods.     

供水管网系统地震易损性风险评估

供水管网易损性风险评估就是通过识别和分析系统的易损性,找出管网中相对比较薄弱的部分,为确定安全策略和采取控制措施提供理论依据。借鉴网络脆弱性评估理论和方法,基于震后供水管网的连通性分析和水力分析结果,采用分层的分析方法,以管网的拓扑位置和节点服务特性作为影响管网易损性的因素,分配给各节点一定的权值,计算其易损性指标,采用定性与定量相结合的方法评判其易损性程度。对一实际管网进行地震易损性风险评估,说明了该方法的有效性与合理性。     

中国城乡居民食品消费变化趋势分析

基于能值理论,对比动物性荤食和植物性素食重量形态、能量形态和能值形态的数量关系,定量分析我国城乡居民食品消费的变化趋势及特征。研究表明: 2010年我国城乡居民热量、重量和能值形态的动物性荤食分别占食品消费总量的1190%、911%和7029%,一方面我国城乡居民食品消费中动物性荤食的重量形态和能量形态的数值远低于其植物性素食,说明我国城乡居民食品消费仍然以素食消费为主,另一方面其动物性荤食的能值形态数值已经远超其植物性素食,表明其居民食物消费方式已经向营养均衡多样化方向演替,畜牧业的健康发展是保障居民食品消费和国家粮食安全的重要部分。2010年城镇和农村居民荤食消费能值分别为110 E+15和631 E+14 sej,分别是其素食消费的172和079倍,说明我国城乡居民食品消费整体还表现出二元性特征,按城乡居民荤素食品结构变化演变趋势可推断城乡食品消费品质相差约20 a,并且近年来城乡人均食品消费结构差异程度呈逐年增加的趋势,同时农民且有农产品生产者和消费者的双重身份,因此相对而言农村居民对食品消费的增长趋势更加稳定。又由于相同数量的动物性荤食在生产过程中需要占用更多的农业资源,因此我国城乡居民食品消费变化对其农业生产和粮食安全生产必将产生更大的压力     

近50年宁夏极端气温事件的变化研究

随着全球变暖,极端气候事件频繁发生,由此造成气象灾害的数量日益增加。深入研究极端气候的变化特征,能够为预测和预防极端事件灾害提供参考依据。采用线性倾向估计法、反距离加权法和R/S分析法,选取10个极端气温指标研究了宁夏近50年来极端气温事件的时空变化特征,并在此基础上尝试预测了未来该地区极端气温变化的情形。结果发现:全天极端高温天数、白天极端高温天数、夜间极端高温天数、生物生长季和夏季天数分别以0.76、0.48、0.67、0.35和0.29 d/a的趋势明显增加,而全天极端低温天数、白天极端低温天数、夜间极端低温天数和最大连续霜冻天数分别以-0.40、-0.25、-0.66和-0.30 d/a趋势显著减少,极端气温年较差也呈下降趋势(-0.02℃/a),且空间差异明显;除极端气温年较差外,其它各极端气温指标与年平均气温均有很好的相关性;年极端冷指标和极端气温年较差在未来将继续下降,极端暖指标在未来将继续上升;宁夏气象灾害所造成的影响和损失将进一步增大。     

湿热水解处理餐厨垃圾氮素转化规律

为了研究餐厨垃圾湿热水解过程中氮素的变化规律,设计了10、30、60、90和120℃5个温度水平以及30、60、90、120、150和180min6个加热时间水平,进行了30组完全实验,对不同湿热条件下餐厨垃圾粗蛋白、TN、NH4＋-N、NO3-N、有机氮及氨基酸等氮的不同存在形式的变化规律进行实验研究。结果表明,10、30及60℃条件下蛋白质的高级结构不会改变,利于粗蛋白的积累,且在温度120℃,加热时间90min条件下粗蛋白百分含量最高,占干物质的31．34％;随温度的升高和加热时间的延长TN、NHf-N和有机氮含量均上升;当温度达到120℃,由于水解反应,各温度处理下NHf．N浓度超过有机氮浓度,而NO3-N始终维持较低水平。氨基酸总量随温度的升高和水解时间的延长呈上升趋势,当温度达90％,加热时间达180min时,处理后餐厨垃圾总氨基酸百分含量最高,达164％,但温度达到120℃时,随着处理时间的延长,餐厨垃圾总氨基酸含量明显降低。     

Comparison of surface emissions and subsurface distribution of cis- and trans-1,3-dichloropropne and chloropicrin in sandy field beds covered with four different plastic films

The purpose of this study was to conduct a field study at a Florida field site on surface emissions and subsurface distribution of cis-and trans-1,3-dichloropropene (1,3-D) and chloropicrin (CP) in raised beds injected with Telone C35 with four replications. A total of 16 beds were applied with Telone C35 by chisel injection and covered with four different plastic films, 4 beds for each film. Each bed was installed with five 20-cm long soil pore air probes and a surface air collection pan at arbitrarily locations along the length of each bed for sampling soil pore air and surface air, respectively, for analysis of the three biologically active compounds, cis- and trans-1,3-D and CP. We found that average concentrations of the three compounds at 20-cm depth among the beds covered with four different plastic films generally were not statistically different. Among the four beds covered with the same plastic film, average concentrations of the three compounds were statistically different only in the four metallic PE covered beds at 5 and 24 hours after injection. Volatilization rates of the three compounds among the beds covered with four different plastic films, with the exception of CP at 48 hours after injection, were not statistically different. It appeared that initial upward diffusion and volatilization flux were influenced by solar radiation. Initial subsurface concentrations of the three compounds and volatilization flux, especially cis-1,3-D, were greater in the beds on the east side of the field than that in the beds on the west side of the field. Whether or not difference in initial subsurface concentrations of the compounds between east side beds and west side beds may influence fumigant efficacy remains to be determined.     

Spatio-temporal variations of selected pesticide residues in the Kurose River in Higashi-Hiroshima city,Japan

ABSTRACT

This study investigated spatio-temporal variations of selected pesticide residues in the Kurose River in Higashi-Hiroshima city (Hiroshima Prefecture), Japan. Water samples were collected from the river at seven sites every month for 1 year (March 2016 to February 2017). Pesticide residues were extracted from the samples by a solid phase extraction using Sep Pack C₁₈ cartridges. Once extracted, the samples were analyzed for cyanazine, simetryn, fenarimol, isoprothiolane, and diazinon using a reversed-phase high-performance liquid chromatography ultraviolet visible (HPLC-UV Vis) system. The limits of detection were 3.60, 4.10, 2.80, 6.50, and 7.30 ng L^-1 for cyanazine, simetryn, fenarimol, isoprothiolane, and diazinon, respectively. Good recovery rates (88%–102%), and mean percent relative standard deviation range (1.00%–5.70%) (n = 6) were obtained with a spiking at 0.20 µg L^-1. The maximum concentrations of 282, 391, 60, 1086, and 1194 ng L^-1 were obtained for cyanazine, simetryn, isoprothiolane, fenarimol, and diazinon, respectively. Cyanazine was the most frequently detected pesticide (64% of the samples, n = 84), followed by simetryn (58%), and then diazinon (57%). The highest and lowest pesticide concentrations were measured during the periods May–June, and January–February, respectively. Principal component analysis revealed three principal components in which the pesticides were linked to dissolved organic matter and total suspended solids. The major water quality parameters (electrical conductivity, pH, Na⁺, K⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, NH₄⁺, NO₃^?, Cl^?, SO₄^2?, NO₂^?, and temperature) showed no clear trends for these pesticides. The presence of simetryn and isoprothiolane was largely attributed to rice paddy farms, whereas diazinon was associated mostly with vegetable farms and orchards. The diazinon and isoprothiolane patterns were consistent with their use of controlling insects and fungi in the prefecture. The maximum diazinon concentration detected was higher than the human safe level specified by the European Union (100 ng L^-1) in Council Directive 98/83/EC. This is of concern because of the bioconcentration potential of these residues in fish and other marine animals consumed by humans.     

典型危险废物的工程力学特性

掌握填埋废物的工程力学特性是确保危险废物填埋堆体稳定性的重要前提条件,因此,针对6种典型危险废物的工程力学特性开展了调查研究.研究结果表明,污泥类危险废物的含水率和有机质含量远高于非污泥类危险废物,而前者的比重则显著低于后者.污泥类危险废物的渗透系数相对较小,比污染土壤和飞灰炉渣混合物的渗透系数小1个数量级,比滤池填料的渗透系数小2个数量级.不同危险废物的无侧限抗压强度排序为:飞灰炉渣混合物(314.3 kPa)和滤池填料(278.9 kPa)＞污染土壤(124.9 kPa)＞杭州氧气厂污泥(68.6 kPa)、锌铬污泥(71.4 kPa)、油泥(58.4 kPa).不同危险废物的粘聚力排序为:飞灰炉渣混合物(40.8 kPa)、滤池填料(31.1 kPa)＞污染土壤(20.9 kPa)＞杭州氧气厂污泥(1.94kPa)、锌铬污泥(3.10 kPa)、油泥(1.81 kPa).此外,不同危险废物的内摩擦角差异相对较小,其变化范围在18.8°～35.0°之间.综合分析可知,飞灰炉渣混合物和滤池填料的工程力学特性较好,而污泥类危险废物的工程力学特性则较差.     

分散填料曝气塔多相流态分析与传氧性能表征

针对分散填料曝气塔中多相流的流态与传氧过程,实验了布气方式以及海绵和陶粒2种填料对于体系的气含率εg、流态以及气-液传质性能的影响。在表观气速U范围(0.01～0.18 m/s)内观察到81孔布气板(Φ1 mm)体系出现3个明显相区,孔数过少(25孔),或者孔间距较小(225孔)均没有明显过渡区,在湍流区(U>0.118 m/s)3种布气板的气含率没有明显差别。海绵填料体积分数εs<25%时体系的气含率没有明显变化,35%时气含率下降且过渡区提前出现。在非均相区,海绵填料明显提高了体系的传质系数KLa。陶粒填料降低了气含率,固含率对εg的影响差别不明显,同时降低了多相流体系的KLa,且随着固含率的增加KLa降低。对比多种操作条件,单位体积空气传氧能力KLa/εg无明显差别,但在81孔布气板的过渡区KLa/εg出现一个明显的极小区间,说明过渡区传氧效率较低。在特定的实验操作条件下,KLa/εg较为稳定,这为深入理解两种气泡群体的共存体系在传氧性能方面各自的权重,提供了重要的量化参考。