震灾保险新制式与国内外现行制式的比较研究

本文概括分析了国外震灾保险制式的形成思路、实施准则及其局限性；指出国内大多数研究模式受传统观念的制约，只能是对国外制式的效仿和沿袭；进而介绍了一种能够有效克服一般模式弊病的新型震灾保险制式，并对其实质与科学蕴涵作了简略阐述。     

兼顾环保的压力容器超压防护装置

本不仅从安全的角度分析了常用压力容器超压保护装置－安全阀与爆破片的动作性能,而且从减少排放总量的角度出发分析了它们由于安全泄放与泄漏对环境带来的不利影响。依据上述分析,对安全阀与爆破片的各种性能和优缺点进行了对比。针对安全阀密封面容易泄漏和爆破片一次性安全排放都存在向环境排放介质过多的问题,提出两种安全阀与爆破片的组合结构,并从安全的角度出发,依据国内有关标准和规范,对这两种结构设置的安全阀,爆破片及相关附件的型式、压力参数、技术要求等有关安全设计的问题进行了讨论。     

城市震后救灾系统救灾决策研究

论述了震后救灾系统模型及评估方法,采用Ｍｏｎｔｅ Ｃａｒｌｏ模拟和最优化技术理论,建立了城市震后救灾、救护、运输网络系统的可靠性分析方法和以失效概率为控制参数的最佳路径优化方法,并以某城市网络系统为例通过分析研究,给出了震后救灾决策方法。     

1991年世界地震灾情及地震活动特征

为适应“国际减灾十年活动”的需要,系统整理了1991年世界地震灾情及重要地震。统计结果表明:全世界1991年全年因地震死亡人数为2084人,中国只有一人;受伤人数约6500人,中国将近700人;倒塌房屋约62万间。全年直接经济损失粗略估算,国外2.7～3.2亿美元,国内约3.3亿人民币。对1991年度地震活动特点进行了简要分析。     

OPTIMAL MANAGEMENT OF RELIEF WELLS NEAR WATERTON RESERVOIR1

ABSTRACT: This study considers the design and analysis of nonpumped well systems to provide pressure relief in the Cochrane aquifer, which is hydraulically connected to the Waterton Reservoir, Analyses of the relief well management problem are performed with a management model formulated by the combined simulation-optimization approach. The model determines active relief well sites and their optimal discharge schedules. The existing relief wells are inadequate to provide the desirable pressure relief. The locations and design capacities of two new relief well systems are determined by the management model. The relationships between reservoir level and well discharge are estimated for these two well systems.     

聚醋酸乙烯储罐氮封系统失效原因分析与对策

聚乙烯醇是一种用途相当广泛的水溶性高分子聚合物,某企业采用醋酸乙烯溶液聚合生产聚醋酸乙烯溶液,聚醋酸乙烯溶液再经过醇解反应生产聚乙烯醇。在聚乙烯醇装置醇解罐区共有12个储罐用于储存聚醋酸乙烯,分析储罐氮封系统现状,存在尾气管道积液不畅、呼吸阀频繁开启、供氮阀不按设定值开闭等问题,从本质安全的角度,提出了解决措施,确保储罐安全运行。     

化工园区防范救援救灾一体化建设思考

以化工园区安全生产、事故防范、救援救灾为大背景,通过智慧监管、大数据分析、一体化指挥体系、救援圈建立、跨区域资源配置等方法理念,提出了推行化工园区防范救援救灾一体化建设思路。     

被保护层双重卸压特性研究

为探索复合煤层群保护层开采时在双重卸压条件下被保护层的不同卸压特性,采用物理相似模拟试验和计算机数值模拟来研究其双重卸压规律。对比分析被保护层的膨胀率和卸压率后发现:在双重卸压条件下,被保护层的膨胀变形呈现"M"形态,膨胀率在不同时空下表现出叠加特性;另外,煤岩体的弹性势能因受首采保护层的影响而释放,被保护层卸压率表现出卸压区域边缘不连续而卸压程度和范围均增加的特点。最后,现场测试计算得到被保护层的透气性系数,其变化规律证实双重卸压效果明显。     

三硬条件下孤岛区域大直径钻孔防冲方案优化

忻州窑矿是典型的冲击地压矿井,为确保忻州窑矿8939三硬条件孤岛工作面安全高效回采,采用理论计算的方法,得出在该地质条件下卸压钻孔参数的合理范围,并采用数值模拟方法对理论计算得出的参数范围进行深入研究,得出适合该地质条件下的大直径卸压钻孔优化方案。采用KBD5电磁辐射仪对卸压效果进行了检验,结果表明,经过优化,煤体内电磁辐射强度较原卸压方案降低了15.7%,累计脉冲数降低了16.6%。方案优化后不但提升了卸压效果,而且节省了约690个钻孔和30%的工作量。     

The African food crisis of 1982-1986*

The crisis cannot be attributed to any one cause, but rather it was the product of a number of interacting factors whose precise combination varied between countries. Drought, internal political and economic factors and an unfavourable external economic environment were significant contributory factors. Civil war and externally financed insurgency were primarily responsible for propelling a food crisis into a famine in four out of the six worst affected countries. Within the literature, there is a tendency for writers to emphasize the relative contribution of factors within their own disciplines. So far the literature on the responses, both within country and internationally, is comprised of eye witness accounts by journalists and evaluations by aid agencies of their performance. The international response by governments and the public was massive and unprecedented, but the response by governments, indigenous NGO's and the public within affected countries is often overlooked by the journalistic literature. Generalizations about "the African food crisis" have obscured the considerable diversity amongst countries. This is well illustrated by the experiences of Ethiopia, Kenya and Botswana. This diversity indicates the biased perspectives that arise from focussing on the extreme famines, as in Ethiopia. Research priorities should include studies of systems that coped during the crisis, historical analysis of the crisis, the way early warning information is processed within bureaucratic institutions, environmental degradation and fully integrated analysis of food production and consumption systems.