云南金沙江流域主要森林植被类型分布格局

云南金沙江流域具有复杂的地形地貌,从地貌格局及气候系统差异上,可将该区域的森林植被类型分异划分为3个区,即西部高山峡谷区、中部中山峡谷和滇中高原区、东部中山山原峡谷区,不同的区域决定不同的植被类型,而典型的植被类型具有指示特定区域的作用。通过分析,把云南金沙江流域不同区域的植被特点、类型进行了阐述。对于该区域的植被恢复,特别是植被类型,是遵照自然规律的原则,保证恢复效果的重要举措。同时,对不同区域森林植被类型及不同区域森林植被垂直差异的论述,阐明了云南金沙江流域不同区域的顶极和亚顶极植物群落,为人工按“近自然化”的原则恢复森林植被提供了参考依据。     

活性污泥系统生物场-水力场-温度场耦合模型(FCASM3-Hydro-Temp)Ⅲ:水力及温度的影响

建立生物、水力及温度耦合模型模拟预测水流状态以及温度对污水处理效果的影响.利用校验完成的生物场-水力场耦合模型(FCASM3-Hydro)以及生物场-水力场-温度场耦合模型(FCASM3-Hydro-Temp)对德清县狮山污水处理厂的AAO工艺系统进行模拟,分别考察反应池Pe准数值以及温度对污水处理效果的影响.由FCASM3一Hydro模拟厌氧池和好氧池不同Pe值条件下污染物质出水结果分析可知,好氧池中水力推流作用的强弱直接决定着污染物质的出水浓度值,厌氧池的水流作用对污染物质的浓度变化影响并不十分显著,FCASM3-Hydro-Temp对进水温度影响污染物质去除效果的模拟结果表明,低温对NH4+-N的处理明显不利,高温对PO43--P的处理不利,若系统进水温度在10～40℃范围内波动将不会对污水处理效果造成显著的影响.     

中国特色生产者责任延伸制度建设模式初探

概述了生产者责任延伸制度在发达国家的实施模式及其效果;探讨了建立中国PRO机构的可行性;提出了虚拟企业利用规模化资源共享来为群体用户提供信息化服务的设想;论述了“污染源”回收与无害化资源综合利用将成为下一轮投资热点的理由;简述了我国WEEE回收处理网络建设与推广项目的进展情况,以及发起单位下一步工作部署的部分内容。     

The Urbanization Pattern of China in the 21st Century

The 21st century is referred to as a "century for cities"or "era for cities", and China has also speeded up its processof urbanization, which will bring massive influence to theeconomic development of the country and also to theworld. Joseph E. Stiglize, a winner of The Nobel Prize onEconomy, said that (the urbanization in China and thedevelopment of high technologies in the United Stateswill be two major subjects with a profound effect to thedevelopment of all mankind in the 21st century) …     

中国省际水风险评价

选取中国31个省(市、自治区)为研究对象,建立了以行政区域为研究尺度的水风险评价指标体系。运用决策分析模型,通过层次分析法与熵值法确定满足主客观条件的综合权重,在此基础上构建模糊识别模型,对2000—2013年中国31个省(市、自治区)水风险水平进行了评估,并从时间和空间两个维度进行分析。结果表明:1)在研究期间,中国水风险水平不断下降,大部分地区从高值、中高值向中值及中低值靠拢;2)3个子系统中,胁迫性风险一直处于上升状态,中国水资源压力较大并有极大可能继续上升,在现有技术条件下,水风险形势严峻;敏感性风险在3个子系统中贡献较低,各地区抵抗风险能力逐步提高;适应性风险稳步下降,适应风险能力提高,但下降速度减缓,表明治理水问题的难度增大;3)各地区风险来源从单一性演变成复合型,风险来源不同且空间分布不均,治理中国水风险需针对各省(市、自治区)风险来源制定针对性政策。     

气载微塑料的赋存特征、迁移规律与毒性效应研究进展

微塑料作为一种新兴环境污染物,可能会对全球生态圈（水、土壤和空气）和人类健康造成潜在危害.本文综述了气载微塑料的分析方法、赋存特征、迁移规律及其毒性效应与机制等最新研究进展.当前气载微塑料定量表征主要依赖于体视显微镜检,而其定性分析则主要借助傅里叶红外光谱和拉曼光谱技术.气载微塑料遍及全球各大城市、海洋、甚至偏远山区.HYSPLIT4和沉降计算后推气流轨迹分析揭示了气载微塑料的迁移规律.气载微塑料对人体健康风险的影响研究表明,人类（尤其是儿童）能够吸入高丰度微塑料.今后研究应注重开发出适用于气载微塑料的精准、高效和低成本的分析仪器与方法,强化气载微塑料定量数据规范化,并从细胞、组织、器官等层面深入揭示气载微塑料及其复合污染物的毒性效应与机制.     

2013—2015年北京污染频发期细颗粒物重污染成因与天气形势关系的研究

我国重污染呈现愈演愈烈态势,重污染事件在供暖季节（污染频发期）尤为频发.本文利用北京2013—2015年采暖期逐小时PM_2.5浓度数据、再分析资料、气团后向轨迹、气溶胶雷达数据以及探空数据综合分析了北京地区重污染状况,概括了重污染发生时常见的天气形势,探讨了重污染形成原因与天气形势的关系.研究结果表明：2013—2015年采暖期北京发生重污染（日均PM_2.5浓度大于150 μg·m^-3）的天数分别为36、28及35 d,即北京采暖期21.9%的天数受重污染天气影响.2月份重污染事件最为频发,发生频次为27.3%.北京发生重污染事件时,地面被高压控制时,高空500 hPa多东移的槽脊,当位于脊后槽前时,为上升运动,西南风,850 hPa多暖平流,西南风输送暖湿气流,湿度较大,地面偏南风,可能会存在污染物的输送;地面为低压控制时,500 hPa一般为稳定的西风气流或西北气流,低空850 hPa可能存在暖平流,地面常伴随弱的风场辐合,导致污染物累积;当地面为均压场时,高空500 hPa多为脊后槽前的形势,低空无明显冷暖平流,地面等压线稀疏或无等压线,静风天气.这3类结构引发的重污染天数分别占总重污染天数的47.3%、18.2%及34.5%.进一步分析重污染成因与天气形势关系表明：北京地面受高压系统控制时,污染时间持续最长,也最为频发（47.3%）,PM_2.5平均浓度最高可达258.8 μg·m^-3,且常伴随来自西南方向的污染物输送,北京上空1 km附近存在逆温和逆湿.对污染传输路径研究发现：主要存在3条输送通道,①天津-廊坊-北京、②沧州-廊坊-北京、③石家庄-保定-北京.鉴于目前数值模式对天气形势的预报较为成熟,本文对区域重污染过程与天气形势之间的关系研究,有助于为北京地区空气质量的精准预报预警提供科学支持.     

Integrated Use of GLEAMS and GIS to Prevent Groundwater Pollution Caused by Agricultural Disposal of Animal Waste

/ In modern intensive animal farming the disposal of a large amount of waste is of great concern, as, if not properly performed, it can cause the pollution of water, mainly because of the high content of nitrate and phosphate. This paper presents the results of a study intended to assess the environmental sustainability of animal waste disposal on agricultural soils in the alluvial plain of the River Chiana (Tuscany, Italy), a particularly sensitive area because of the high vulnerability of the shallow aquifer and of the intensive agricultural and breeding activities. With this aim, a strategy has been employed, that consists of the integrated use of a management model and GISs. The consequences on groundwater of applying animal waste to different kind of soils and crop arrangements have been simulated by means of the management model GLEAMS (Groundwater Loading Effects of Agricultural Management Systems, ver 2.01). As the huge amount of data required by such a sophisticated model does not allow applications at a scale larger than the field size, IDRISI and GRASS GIS packages have been used to divide the study area into land units, with homogeneous environmental characteristics, and then to generalize on these units the outputs of the model. The main conclusions can be synthesized as follows: The amount of animal waste produced in some of the investigated areas (i.e., municipal territory) is greater than that disposable on their own agricultural soil with no risks to the groundwater; consequently a cooperative approach among municipalities is necessary in order to plan waste disposal in a comprehensive and centralized way.KEY WORDS: Land use; Animal waste disposal; Groundwater protection; GIS, Management models     

Developments in dutch coastline management: Conclusions from the second governmental coastal report

In 1990 the Dutch government decided to stop any further long-term landward retreat of the coastline. This policy choice for a ‘dynamic preservation’ is primarily aimed at safety against flooding and at sustainable preservation of the values and interests concerning the dunes and beaches. Five years later, a first overview of the benefits and bottlenecks of the new coastal defence policy could be presented, which was published in the second governmental coastal report ‘Kustbalans 1995’ (coastal balance 1995). This consists of three elements: (1) evaluation of the implementation of ‘dynamic preservation’, (2) the consequences of several natural and anthropogenic developments in the coastal zone and (3) integrated coastal zone management. The present report describes experiences of Dutch coastline management and summarizes the main conclusions of the second governmental report. The overall conclusion of the evaluation study is that the 1990 choice for ‘dynamic preservation’ was right. Sand supply is an effective method of coastline maintenance, which also serves functional uses in the beach and dune area. However, nearly a doubling of the supply volume is necessary to compensate for sand losses in the coastal zone. A more integrated management of the coastal zone is necessary to find an equilibrium between the interests of socio-economic development and the maintenance of a natural, dynamic system.     

Estimation of the density of a clustered point pattern using a distance method

Distance-based methods use point-to-point distances or random-location-to-point distances in a cloud of points to estimate characteristics of the point pattern. One such characteristics is the density of points. The difficulty with distance-based density estimators is that their distribution depends on the spatial pattern of points. In particular, the distribution of distances is untractable for usual clustered patterns, that are often observed in natural systems. Here, we propose a density estimator for clustered patterns, based on the random-location-to-pth-point distance X _p . An approximate expression for the distribution function, F _p , of X _p was obtained by identifying the first two moments of the count of individuals in disks for a given point process with the first two moments of a negative binomial distribution. The approximate expression of F _p was then used to derive a maximum-likelihood estimator of the intensity of the point process. The quality of the approximation of F _p was assessed for homogeneous Poisson processes (for which the expression of F _p is exact) and for Matérn processes. The intensity estimator based on Matérn processes was then used to estimate tree density in a tree savanna in Mali, and it compared favorably with six robust estimators found in the literature.