基于QSAR关系预测PCBs和部分PAHs在LDPE中的扩散系数

分子扩散系数（D）是获得污染物与环境介质之间的平衡分配系数（K）的重要前提,然而通过实验测定获取污染物的扩散系数的过程过于繁琐,因此需开发一种更为简单、高效、准确的预测模型来定量预测扩散系数.为此,本文搜集了一些多环芳香烃（PAHs）和多氯联苯（PCBs）在低密度聚乙烯膜（LDPE）上扩散系数（log D）的实测值,基于定量结构-活性关系（QSAR）,利用逐步多元线性回归（MLR）构建了预测D值的模型.模型的决定系数R_adj²为0.941,交叉验证系数Q_LOO²为0.934,外部系数Q_ext²为0.895.结果表明,该QSAR模型具有良好的拟合优度、稳健性和预测能力,其可用来预测应用域内有机污染物在LDPE膜上的扩散系数.     

Removal of hydrophobic volatile organic compounds with sodium hypochlorite and surfactant in a co-current rotating packed bed

A co-current flow rotating packed bed was applied to remove volatile organic compounds(VOCs) by sodium hypochlorite(Na Cl O) and surfactant(sodium dodecyl benzene sulfonate,SDBS) from air stream. Xylene was used as a model VOC herein. The effect of p H,concentration of Na Cl O and SDBS solution, liquid flow rate, gas flow rate and rotational speed on xylene removal efficiency and overall mass transfer coefficient(KGa) were discussed. Then, a correlation for KGa of the co-current rotating packed bed was proposed by fitting the experimental data of KGa and independent variables of liquid/gas ratio,rotational speed, p H, Na Cl O concentration and treatment time, which was in good agreement with the experimental data(the deviation ≤± 30%).     

Seasonal and spatial distributions of euphotic zone and long-term variations in water transparency in a clear oligotrophic Lake Fuxian, China

To assess the seasonal and spatial variations and long-term trends in water optical properties in Lake Fuxian, investigations based on field work in four seasons and a long-term analysis of data from 1980 to 2014 were conducted. The results show that there was no significant variation in the euphotic depth(Z_(eu)) across the four seasons, and no significant correlations between Z_(eu) and potential influencing factors in seasons other than summer, suggesting that the water itself may be a major factor regulating the Z_(eu)in general. Nevertheless, significant differences in Z_(eu) between the north region(NR) and the south region(SR) were observed in all seasonal tests except spring. This finding relates to a higher abundance of chromophoric dissolved organic matter(CDOM) in the NR due to runoff, especially in the rainy seasons(summer and autumn).CDOM and its terrigenous component had an important impact on Z_(eu)in summer, with the highest precipitation, and impacts from suspended solids and non-algal particles were also found in the NR in summer. The Secchi disk depth in the lake decreased clearly over the years,with significantly negative correlations with the increasing permanganate index and air temperature, implying that organic contaminants(CDOM and/or phytoplankton) are important regulators of water transparency. We estimate that the combined effects of climate warming and changes in land use and land cover are also indirect regulating factors. These findings should be considered in the protection of Lake Fuxian, owing to the importance of light penetration in aquatic ecosystems.     

基于情景模拟的上海土地利用变化预测及其水文效应

论文基于2000、2003和2006年土地利用数据,借助Terrset CA-Markov模型模拟预测2030年上海市土地利用结构,采用SCS模型探究土地利用结构变化的水文效应。结果显示：1）Terrset CA-Markov模型的模拟精度为0.85,可用于模拟2030年上海土地利用格局。2）预测结果表明,2000—2030年间,工商业用地、居住用地与道路广场组成的城市不透水地面比重由2000年的26.54%激增至2030年的59.19%。3）上海不同区域的平均径流深度整体呈增加趋势,但也存在一定的时空差异性,而这种时空差异是由上海城市化过程中的土地利用转化造成的;2000—2030年间,上海中心城区不透水地面比重较高且变化较小,而郊区不透水地面面积大幅提升,导致郊区地表径流深度增幅大于中心城区。研究结果可为完善城市风险管理与城市规划提供参考。     

北方农牧交错带干旱脆弱性时空格局演变

干旱脆弱性研究为北方农牧交错带人地系统的“整合”研究提供了新思路与分析框架。论文运用VSD脆弱性评估框架,将系统脆弱性分解为暴露度、敏感性、适应能力3个维度,以北方农牧交错带112个县域为研究单元,以2000、2008、2015年社会经济统计数据、气象数据、遥感影像数据为研究基础,运用模糊层次分析、空间热点探测分析和变异系数分析等方法,对各县域干旱脆弱性时空演变特征进行分析与总结。研究结论：1）研究区干旱脆弱性指数逐步降低,整体呈现东北地区低脆弱、西南地区高脆弱的空间格局。2）研究区暴露度指数先上升、后下降,且由东北向西南逐渐增高;敏感性指数先下降、后上升,呈现空间碎片化特征;适应能力指数逐步提高,呈现中部高度适应、东部中度适应、西部低度适应的格局。3）研究区干旱脆弱性差异度先增大、后减小,且呈现西、南部差异度大,东、北部差异度小的格局。4）研究区干旱脆弱性冷、热点个数增加明显,2000—2008年冷热点个数增加最明显;空间上,热点先由中部向西部蔓延,冷点由东部边界区向西部、南部扩展,形成了东部边界冷点集聚带和中、西部热点集聚区。     

气候变化下汉中盆地水稻产量变化研究

深入分析气候变化下汉中盆地水稻产量变化响应,可在进一步探究影响研究区水稻产量主要气象要素的同时,为地方水稻生长期内气象灾害的防控提供科学依据。为了解研究区水稻生长季主要的气象影响因子,文章基于1951—2014年汉中盆地多测站日气温、降水量、积温及气温日较差数据和水稻单产资料分离的气象单产数据,综合运用线性趋势、趋势系数、HP滤波法、Morlet小波分析等方法,在分析汉中盆地水稻气象产量和生长季各气象要素变化趋势的同时,推求了水稻气象产量和各主要气象要素序列的显著周期。研究结果表明：1）近64 a汉中盆地4—9月水稻生长季平均气温和≥10 ℃活动积温变化均呈上升趋势,气温日较差呈下降趋势,降水量变化趋势不明显;2）汉中盆地各气象要素与水稻气象单产的显著周期分析结果显示水稻气象单产第一主周期与各气象要素的第二主周期相对应,均存在13~14 a时间尺度的主周期变化;3）各气象要素对水稻气象产量的影响各异,不同气候背景下影响水稻气象产量的主导气象因素不同。论文研究结果可为汉中盆地水稻生产的优化布局及地方经济社会发展提供参考依据。     

基于小波和 EMD 的电阻探针监测信号自适应去噪

目的从监测信号中恢复有效腐蚀信息(长期变化趋势、周期性窄带尖峰),提出一种基于经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)和小波阈值去噪(Wavelet Threshold Denoised,WTD)相结合的自适应去噪算法(EMD-WTD)。方法先将信号进行EMD分解,利用最大信息系数(Max Information Coefficient,MIC)判断噪声主导和有效信号主导信号分量的分界点,然后将噪声主导的信号分量进行自适应小波阈值去噪。最后以人工模拟信号和电阻探针监测信号进行验证。结果 EMD-WTD算法能有效去除噪声,信噪比可提升10 d B以上。结论与多个去噪算法相比,EMD-WTD算法能够更好地保留信号中周期性窄带尖峰信息,为后续准确建立电阻探针监测信号与环境之间的数学模型奠定了基础。     

HEAD LOSS AT MANHOLES IN SURCHARGED SEWER SYSTEMS1

ABSTRACT: A laboratory investigation was conducted to determine the head losses at sewer pipe junctions (manholes) under surcharged conditions. A physical model of a manhole/pipeline system was constructed for head-loss measurements. Head-loss coefficients were determined for a variety of outlet-flow Reynolds numbers, surcharge levels, pipe sizes, flow configurations, and inlet-flow rates. Empirical formulas were also developed to estimate head-loss coefficients. The results indicate that head loss is insensitive to the amount of surcharge, but depends heavily on the flow configuration, relative flow rate, and the change of pipe diameter within the pipelines.     

分形理论在松嫩平原西部生态环境胁迫研究中的应用

以松嫩平原西部为例,在构建生态环境胁迫评价指标体系的基础上,运用分形理论对生态环境胁迫进行量化研究.结果表明,1989-2004年15 a间,除松原市和扶余县以外,其他县市生态环境胁迫系数都呈增大趋势,特别是大安市、长岭县、乾安县等地胁迫系数较大.采用相对指标法,运用GIS-EIS集成技术,对松嫩平原西部生态环境胁迫度进行分级.最后,分析了影响生态环境胁迫变化的驱动因子,并提出减缓生态环境胁迫的措施.     

Bioavailability of hydrophobic organic contaminants and quality of organic carbon

U.S. laws require that contaminant bioaccumulation potential be evaluated before dredged material can be recycled. Simple fugacity models, e.g. organic contaminant aqueous partition coefficient (K _oc)-derived theoretical bioaccumulation potential, are commonly used to estimate the partitioning of hydrophobic organic contaminants between sediment organic matter and organism lipid. K _oc-derived models, with or without the addition of a soot carbon term, did not accurately or consistently predict total polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and polychlorobiphenyls partitioning of eight sediments from ongoing dredging operations onto C₁₈-coated filter paper. These models also failed to predict the partitioning of individual PAHs from these eight sediments. These data underscore the trade-offs between the ease of using simple models and the uncertainty of predicted partitioning values.