江苏省春季连阴雨和太平洋海温的响应关系研究

对太平洋海温和江苏省春季连阴雨进行相关普查,通过非线性最优化因子处理方法对太平洋海温因子进行变换,确定高相关区。结果表明:江苏春季连阴雨的发生与太平洋海温的变化显著相关,从相关区域的大小看,下半年各海区温度变化与江苏次年春季连阴雨的相互关系更为密切,苏南和江淮地区的显著性要优于淮北;而从海区的位置上看,淮北连阴雨的相关海区在冬春季主要集中在高纬地区,夏季在低纬地区;其它地区的相关海区则从春季开始由高纬度向低纬度地区过渡。通过t检验分析了ENSO现象对当年和次年的江苏省春季连阴雨发生的次数的影响,发现EI Nino事件对当年和次年的江苏春季连阴雨发生次数均呈正效应,La Nina事件对当年江苏春季连阴雨无显著影响,与次年的春季连阴雨呈负效应。     

FOREST HYDROLOGY IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST: ADDITIONAL RESEARCH NEEDS1

ABSTRACT: While much is known about the hydrology of forested mountain catchments in the Pacific Northwest, important research questions remain. For example, the dynamics of storm precipitation amounts and the modeling of catchment outflows represent a continuing research need. Without an improved understanding of the spatial and temporal aspects of storm precipitation patterns, our ability to evaluate and improve physically-based hydrologic models is limited. From a practical perspective, tens of thousands of kilometers of access roads have been constructed across forested catchments of the Pacific Northwest. Yet, few forestry research programs focus on road drainage (e.g., ditches, culverts, fords). The few studies that address this issue indicate road drainage systems need to function effectively over a wide range of flow events and terrain conditions. In addition, historical forest practices associated with hillslopes and riparian systems have altered the character of many Pacific Northwest aquatic ecosystems. If restoration of these systems is to be effective, research efforts are needed to better understand the linkages between riparian forests, geomorphic processes, and hydrologic disturbance regimes.     

Sensitivity of soils to acid rain in South China

This paper deals with the sensitivity of soils to acid rain in 5 provinces, South China. Based on field work and literature, and taking soil pH, CEC, and the types of residua into account, the authors classified the sensitivity into 4 categories: highly sensitive, sensitive, slightly sensitive, and non-sensitive. By overlapping the maps of soil pH, CEC, and types of residua, the map of soil sensitivity in South China has finally resulted.The authors try to summarize the regularity of soil sensitivity to acid rain in this area. The sensitivity of different soil types in the studied area has also discussed.The seriousness and its prospects of acid rain in this area have been pointed out in order to draw the attention of relevant authorities.     

西南极南设得兰群岛纳尔逊岛冰雪的氢氧同位素组成

作者采集了西南极南设得兰群岛纳尔逊岛冰盖的冰雪样,并测得其δD和δO~(18)值分别为-67.8～-75.0‰和-8.72～-8.93‰,进而拟合出δD和δ~(18)O关系大致为δD=8δ~(18)O-1.5。本文从“大陆效应”、“温度效应”、“纬度效应”及降雪过程的同位素动力分馏等方面对所获资料作了讨论。     

陆上物质的远距离输送对西太平洋热带海域降水化学组成的影响

１９８８年９－１０月在西太平洋热带海域收集了４６个雨水样品和３８８份雨水样品和３８８份雨滴谱。分析结果表明，３个ｐＨ值范围下的平均两滴谱的分布基本上满足指数递减律。在风系作用下，远距离输送来的陆上物质对该海域雨水的平均ｐＨ值为５．７３，而“陆地性”降雨的平均ｐＨ值只有４．８０。ｐＨ５．７３可认为是ＴＷＰＡ上未受陆地源直接影响的天然降雨的平均ｐＨ值。最后还给出了观测期间该海域非海化学组分的湿沉降通量     

闽南地区自然资源开发利用初探

福建省闽南地区处于南亚热带,为全省纬度最低的一个区。本区自然资源丰富,气候条件优越,是我国东南沿海自然资源尚需深度开发的区域。本区资源开发利用过程中,存在着水土流失严重、生态环境日趋恶化的状况。为了探索本区自然资源的合理利用途径,通过近两年来的调查研究,我们提出了四方面的合理利用途径,对于闽南经济开放区的国土整治和资源开发,具有十分重要的意义。     

赣南─粤西中生代岩浆杂岩与W、Sn、Nb、Ta的成矿

赣南-粤西地区的地壳自早元古代晚期开始形成，地壳成熟度较低。该区是我国华南重要的W、Sn、Nb、Ta等矿的重要产地，与中生代岩浆活动有关。成矿的岩浆杂岩具有高硅、富铝、富钾、高F／C1和Rb／Sr值，稀土配分具“海鸥型”模式，以及高Isr、b18O值和低εNd值的同位素特征，岩石成因属S型系列。矿石铅和长石铅同位素组成相似，反映成矿物质与成岩物质的原区相同，都由地壳物质衍生为主。矿床的形成与地壳演化历史，岩浆成因和岩浆源区物质组成等深部地质作用有关。     

Reside0ntial solar water heating as a potential Clean Development Mechanism project: A South African case study

A community-based Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) project – asolar water heating project in a low-income community in South Africa –is analysed to illustrate the methodological and policy challenges that faceimplementation of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations FrameworkConvention on Climate Change. We evaluate four baseline options, andthree potential CDM interventions. The emissions reductions range from –670 to +5 929 Mg CO₂ per year, with all option but oneshowing positive emission reductions. Using metered solar water heatingwith liquefied petroleum gas back-up as the CDM intervention, and electricstorage geysers as the baseline, the annual emissions reductions are 5686 Mg CO₂. The cost-effectiveness from the national perspective,which is the incremental life cycle costs divided by the lifetime emissionsreductions, is –$18 per Mg CO₂ From the perspective of theCDM investor, however, the cost-effectiveness is $5.2 per mgCO₂, assuming that the investor receives all of the carbon credits forproviding the incremental capital investment. From our analysis, weconclude that using the current technology (kerosene stoves) as a baselineis probably not appropriate because it does not reflect likely future trendsand also penalises the community for their poverty and current lack ofinfrastructure. We also highlight the importance of credit sharing, and howit affects the cost-effectiveness of the project from the CDM investor'sperspective. The lessons from this analysis are important for the currentinternational policy debate on how to preferentially treat small-scale CDMprojects.     

Baseline Standardisation with Optimising Energy-System Models

Determining adequate baselinesis a major methodological problem whenquantifying emissions reductions achievedwith the project-based flexibilitymechanisms. Possible methodologies forbaseline setting may be classified intomulti-project and project-specificapproaches. While multi-project approachesprovide baselines for a series of typicalprojects within a certain geographicregion, a sector, or a load range,project-specific (orproject-by-project/single-project)approaches only cover one specific project.Project-by-project baseline approaches havebeen tested extensively within theActivities Implemented Jointly (AIJ) pilotphase; multi-project methodologies, on theother hand, have only rarely been applieddue to the (perceived) political andeconomic complexity of the issue, whichmakes the process of introducingstandardised baselines a very sensitivetask. In particular, there is a lack ofmulti-project baseline approaches takingadvantage of optimising computer modelswithin the electricity sector, even thoughother fields of research have made use ofsuch models quite successfully in the past.Experiences made in the PROBASE projectwith the calculation of standardised,aggregated multi-project baselines forJI/CDM projects using optimising energysystem models are illustrated in this paperfor South Africa, Russia, and Indonesia.Increased transparency and credibility ofstandardised approaches along withpotentially lower transaction costs areidentified as the main arguments for theiruse and further development. In addition,the text gives recommendations wheremodel-based baseline standardisation canpreferentially be applied.     

南黄海沉积物间隙水中重金属(Fe,Mn,Cu,Co,Ni)的地球化学特征

本文主要研究了南黄海(32°N)沉积物间隙水中的Fe,Mn,Cu,Co,Ni与其硫化物及粘土矿物间的关系,结果表明:间隙水中的Mn~(2+),Cu~(2+)硫化物趋向于沉淀,Co~(2+),Ni~(2+)硫化物趋向于溶解,Fe~(2+)则有其硫化物的溶解-沉淀控制,Mn~(2+),Cu~(2+)还有其他体系和硫化物体系共同控制其浓度,间隙水中的Fe~(2+)可被蒙脱石吸附,Mn~(2+)被绿泥石吸附,Ca~(2+),Ni~(2+)被蒙脱石、绿泥石吸附,Co~(2+)被绿泥石、蒙脱石吸附,Fe~(2+),Mn~(2+)对粘土矿物吸附剂的专属性要求远比Cu~(2+),Co~(2地+),Ni~(2+)高,蒙脱石是南黄海沉积物中最重要的阳离子吸附剂,绿泥石次之。