可燃气体空间置换限值研究

在全面解析三元组分图构成要素和含义的基础上,分析可燃物质设备投用和停用过程中惰化置换的机理和浓度限值。可燃气体空间置换限值包括设备投用惰化置换时氧气的最高容许浓度(ISOC)和设备停用惰化置换时可燃气体的最高容许浓度(OSFC),二者可由试验和公式计算2种方式获得。与目前惰化置换时通常参照的限制氧浓度(LOC)、燃烧下限(LFL)等参数相比,ISOC和OSFC值可以更准确地表征惰化置换时临界浓度的意义。通过对部分可燃物质的ISOC和OSFC试验值及计算值进行对比分析,证明以LOC为依据计算出的ISOC和OSFC值与试验值具有更高的符合性;指出目前国内惰化置换浓度控制值采用统一规定值这一方式的不足;证明合理利用LFL,LOCI,SOC,OSFC等参数开展可燃气体密闭空间置换限值研究的科学合理性。     

长江三角洲农牧系统结构的区域差异及空间位移研究

调整农业结构,实现农业增效、农民增收农业可持续发展,以确保中国中长期食物安全,是中国目前和未来农业和农村工作的重点。农业结构的调整,必须建立在对系统整体认识的基础上,必须符合系统结构本身的演变规律。为此,作者于1996－1999年,以中国经济发达的长江三角洲农区为例,通过资料调研、专家咨询、农户调查、实地考察和试验等手段。对该区1980－1997年以来71个县市的农业生产进行了全面的调查。利用基于GIS的农牧系统综合评价系统,对长江三角洲农牧系统结构的区域差异和空间布局变化进行了全面分析。结果显示,长江三角洲农牧系统结构存在显著的空间梯度差异,布局上出现了明显的空间位移,农业重心开始向南北推移。棉花、小麦和玉米均向北部集中,生猪和家禽向北部和中部的东北部集中,农业生产呈现出显著的区域性专业化布局格式。     

围岩位移自动监测记录系统

以往围岩位移监测的位移数据是先埋设好位移监测的设备后由工作人员定时采集。这种方式不能准确记录岩体发生变形的时间,数据量也较少,不利于对危险情况及时发现处理以及数据的后期研究分析。自动化监测系统采用短时间间隔的数据采集可以很好的克服以上的缺点。系统采用USB存储方式,将监测数据以文本文件的格式直接存储到U盘上,可以更方便的应用计算机处理数据。     

综掘巷道超前支护装备双组支撑支护特性实验研究

为提高综掘巷道的掘进效率、改善支护工艺,设计一种用于综掘巷道迎头顶板支护的迈步式超前支护装备。通过对装备工作原理的分析,建立其三维模型。为检验装备的支护效果,设计了支护特性实验方案,构建实验平台,基于实验平台进行了双组支撑状态下的支护实验。实验结果表明:顶板上离固支边越远处动态位移变形量越大,接触力波动也越大; 在双组支撑状态下,顶板变形量最大达到9 mm,接触力最大幅值达到5.84 kN,位置均为顶板纵向中线位置处,在被支护后,该位置最迟趋于稳定; 在双组支撑状态下,顶板变形及接触力经历2~3 s波动后都将趋于平稳; 超前支护装备对顶板的稳定性能起到良好的控制作用,能提高顶板的安全性,为后续产品研发及工业实验提供依据。     

顾及模型误差的基坑位移监测数据处理方法

由于基坑地质及观测环境的多样性和复杂性,基坑位移监测数据处理的理论模型与实际模型之间存在着模型误差。若模型误差显著,则所得位移拟合模型的精度较差,将影响后继变形分析的准确性。针对这一问题进行了深入研究,提出了顾及模型误差的最小二乘配置法,并指出在考虑观测值中可能存在粗差的情况下应进一步采用稳健估计法改善基坑监测面的拟合精度。推导了顾及基坑位移模型误差的最小二乘配置法的计算公式,说明了计算步骤。通过对多个实例的计算分析可知,该方法对基坑监测面拟合模型的精度增益能达到35%~48%,是一种比较实用的基坑位移监测数据处理方法。     

Looking forward: Disasters at 40

This paper reflects on contemporary studies of and responses to disasters, highlighting the importance of historical, spatial, and intersectional modes of analysis, and draws on the author's ongoing research on Southern‐led and local community responses to displacement in the Middle East. Acknowledging the plurality of ‘international communities of response’, it begins by critiquing the depiction of selected responses to disasters as ‘positive’ ‘paradigm shifts’, including in reference to the ‘localisation of aid, and the United Nations’ Regional Refugee and Resilience Plan for Syria. Next it turns to three key themes that are central to disasters studies: migration; forced displacement; and Southern‐led responses to disasters. Among other things, the paper argues that exploring the principles and modalities of South–South cooperation, rather than promoting the incorporation of Southern actors into the ‘international humanitarian system’ via the localisation agenda, presents a critical opportunity for studies of and responses to disasters.     

地震作用下滑坡永久位移预测

在地震区滑坡防治结构的抗震设计中,滑坡体自身的稳定安全性可利用其地震作用下产生的永久位移直接判断,可见对其地震永久变形的预测至关重要。因此,以极限分析上限定理为基础,分别针对平移式和旋转式两种滑坡滑移形式,推导出这两种滑移形式下滑坡体产生永久位移的临界加速度,考虑地震输入能量及结构能量耗散之间的平衡关系并建立预测地震作用下滑坡永久位移的计算方法。最后,通过算例表明其合理性。     

用监测资料确定滑坡滑动面的新方法

研究表明，滑坡位移斜率与滑坡滑动面形状有密切关系。在本文，笔者根据位移斜率提出了一种确定滑坡滑动面的新方法。     

Human vulnerability, dislocation and resettlement: adaptation processes of river-bank erosion-induced displacees in Bangladesh

The purpose of this research was to identify and analyse patterns of economic and social adaptation among river-bank erosion-induced displacees in Bangladesh. It was hypothesised that the role of social demographic and socio-economic variables in determining the coping ability and recovery of the river-bank erosion-induced displacees is quite significant. The findings of the research reveal that displacees experience substantial socio-economic impoverishment and marginalisation as a consequence of involuntary migration. This in part is a socially constructed process, reflecting inequitable access to land and other resources. Vulnerability to disasters is further heightened by a number of identifiable social and demographic factors including gender, education and age, although extreme poverty and marginalisation create complexity to isolate the relative influence of these variables. The need to integrate hazard analysis and mitigation with the broader economic and social context is discussed. It is argued that the capacity of people to respond to environmental threats is a function of not only the physical forces which affect them, but also of underlying economic and social relationships which increase human vulnerability to risk. Hazard analysis and mitigation can be more effective when it takes into account such social and demographic and socio-economic dimensions of disasters.     

A systematic review of snake translocations to identify potential tactics for reducing postrelease effects

Advancements in the field of reintroduction biology are needed, but understanding of how to effectively conduct translocations, particularly with snakes, is lacking. We conducted a systematic review of snake translocation studies to identify potential tactics for reducing postrelease effects. We included studies on intentional, human-mediated, wild–wild, or captive–wild translocations to any location, regardless of motive or number of snakes translocated. Only studies that presented results for at least 1 of 4 outcomes (movement behavior, site fidelity, survival, or population establishment) were included. We systematically searched 4 databases for published studies and used 5 methods to search the gray literature. Our search and screening criteria yielded 121 data sources, representing 130 translocation cases. We quantified the association between 15 translocation tactics and short-term translocation outcomes by calculating odds ratios and used forest plots to display results. Snake translocations involved 47 species (from mainly 2 families), and most were motivated by research, were monitored for at least 6 months, occurred in North America, and took place from the 1990s onward. The odds of a positive snake translocation outcome were highest with release of captive reared or juvenile snakes, release of social groups together, delayed release, provision of environmental enrichment or social housing before release, or minimization of distance translocated. The odds of a positive outcome were lowest when snakes were released early in their active season. Our results do not demonstrate causation, but outcomes of snake translocation were associated with 8 tactics (4 of which were strongly correlated). In addition to targeted comparative studies, we recommend practitioners consider the possible influence of these tactics when planning snake translocations.