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Foreword Inglobalview ,droughtdisasterisregardedasthemostserioustypeofnaturaldisasterintheworld ,whichhascausedthewidestrangeofeffectsandthebiggesteconomiclosses .Se veredroughtsmainlyoccurinAfrica ,India ,China ,formerSovietUnion ,NorthAmerica ,andAustralia,accountingforalmosthalfofcountriesintheworld .Droughtdisasteroccursfre quentlyinChina ,withwiderangeofinfluence ,whichisthemostseriousmeteorologicaldisas ter ,causingeconomiclossesinagriculture .Fromthe 50’stothe 80’sinthe 2 0thcent… 相似文献
13.
1978—1994年分省农业旱灾灾情的经验正交函数EOF分析 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
本文利用1978~1994年各省、市、自治区的农业旱灾受灾面积及播种面积的资料,以旱灾受灾率(即旱灾受灾面积与播种面积之比)作为刻划旱灾灾情的指标。对标准化的旱灾受灾率进行经验正交函数分析,发现前五个典型场方差贡献达70.7%,可以概括我国旱灾灾情的空间分布主要类型。其中,前三个典型场的正负区域分界线的大体位置分别为长城一线、秦淮线和江南丘陵北缘 相似文献
14.
森林大火潜在危险和可燃物干旱度研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
介绍了森林大火潜在危险的可燃物干旱度指标研究,以及干旱度指数SDI的计算方法,同时对干旱度指数进行了划分确定,以便在森林大火预报中作参考使用。 相似文献
15.
农业气象干旱指标研究综述 总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16
干旱作为最严重的气象灾害之一,已经对我国社会经济和人民生活造成严重影响。结合农业干旱和气象干旱基本理论,对农业气象干旱的定义及指标作了较为详细的综述与评价,指出了不同指标的优点和缺点,对今后的研究方向进行了展望,为干旱的监测和评估及农业防灾减灾研究提供了方法和依据。 相似文献
16.
农业旱灾监测中土壤水分遥感反演研究进展 总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14
土壤水分是农业干旱监测最重要的指标之一。文章全面回顾了光学遥感和微波遥感土壤水分遥感反演进展,重点讨论了符种反演方法的优点和不足。光学遥感中,热惯量法和作物缺水指数法可分别较好地应用于裸露地和作物覆盖地的土壤水分监测;距平植被指数、植被条件指数采用了植被指数因子实现农业旱情监测,温度植被指数、植被供水指数和条件植被温度指数同时考虑了作物植被指数和地表温度。微波遥感被认为是当前土壤水分监测中最有效的方法。主动微波遥感空间分辨率较高,但对土壤粗糙度和植被敏感;被动微波遥感空间分辨率低,重访周期短,对大尺度农业旱灾监测具有较大潜力。为提高农业旱灾监测巾土壤水分遥感反演的精度和效率,采用光学遥感和微波遥感的结合可能是较为实际的方法。 相似文献
17.
David Brandes Gregory J. Cavallo Michael L. Nilson 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2005,41(6):1377-1391
Rapid land development is raising concern regarding the ability of urbanizing watersheds to sustain adequate base flow during periods of drought. Long term streamflow records from unregulated watersheds of the lower to middle Delaware River basin are examined to evaluate the impact of urbanization and imperviousness on base flow. Trends in annual base flow volumes, seven‐day low flows, and runoff ratios are determined for six urbanizing watersheds and four reference watersheds across three distinct physiographic regions. Hydrograph separation is used to determine annual base flow and stormflow volumes, and nonparametric trend tests are conducted on the resulting time series. Of the watersheds examined, the expected effects of declining base flow volumes and seven‐day low flows and increasing stormflows are seen in only one watershed that is approximately 20 percent impervious and has been subject to a net water export over the past 15 years. Both interbasin transfers and hydrologic mechanisms are invoked to explain these results. The results show that increases in impervious area may not result in measurable reductions in base flow at the watershed scale. 相似文献
18.
MATTHEW W. MCKOWN JOSHUA T. ACKERMAN COLLIN A. EAGLES‐SMITH BERNIE R. TERSHY DONALD A. CROLL 《Conservation biology》2014,28(4):1100-1108
Although wildlife conservation actions have increased globally in number and complexity, the lack of scalable, cost‐effective monitoring methods limits adaptive management and the evaluation of conservation efficacy. Automated sensors and computer‐aided analyses provide a scalable and increasingly cost‐effective tool for conservation monitoring. A key assumption of automated acoustic monitoring of birds is that measures of acoustic activity at colony sites are correlated with the relative abundance of nesting birds. We tested this assumption for nesting Forster's terns (Sterna forsteri) in San Francisco Bay for 2 breeding seasons. Sensors recorded ambient sound at 7 colonies that had 15–111 nests in 2009 and 2010. Colonies were spaced at least 250 m apart and ranged from 36 to 2,571 m2. We used spectrogram cross‐correlation to automate the detection of tern calls from recordings. We calculated mean seasonal call rate and compared it with mean active nest count at each colony. Acoustic activity explained 71% of the variation in nest abundance between breeding sites and 88% of the change in colony size between years. These results validate a primary assumption of acoustic indices; that is, for terns, acoustic activity is correlated to relative abundance, a fundamental step toward designing rigorous and scalable acoustic monitoring programs to measure the effectiveness of conservation actions for colonial birds and other acoustically active wildlife. La Actividad Vocal como un Índice Escalable y de Bajo Costo del Tamaño de Colonia de las Aves Marinas 相似文献
19.
NOËLLE F. KÜMPEL E. J. MILNER‐GULLAND GUY COWLISHAW J. MARCUS ROWCLIFFE 《Conservation biology》2010,24(3):861-871
Abstract: Results of many studies show unsustainable levels of bushmeat hunting across West/Central Africa. Nevertheless, these results are usually derived from snapshot sustainability indices in which critical parameters are often taken from the literature. Simple, more informative tools for assessing sustainability are needed. We evaluated the impact of bushmeat hunting across a range of temporal, spatial, and taxonomic scales in a comparison of different measures of sustainability. Over 15 months in 2002–2004 in and around a village close to Equatorial Guinea's Monte Alén National Park, we collected data via a village offtake survey, hunter‐camp bushmeat‐consumption diaries, hunter interviews, and following hunters during hunts. We compared 2003 data with a previous offtake survey (1998–1999) and interview reports back to 1990. In the past 14 years, average distance from the village at which hunters operated remained constant, with hunters switching back and forth between long‐established camps, although trapping effort increased. In the past 5 years, overall offtake and number of active hunters did not change substantially, although catch per unit effort (CPUE) decreased slightly. Although the proportion of the two most commonly trapped species (Cephalophus monticola and Atherurus africanus) and gun‐hunted primates increased in the offtake, species presumably less robust to trapping decreased slightly. Apparent sustainability in economic terms may be masking gradual local extirpation of more vulnerable species before and during this study. Our results suggest that changes in prey profiles and CPUE may be the most accurate indicators of actual sustainability; these indices can be monitored with simple village‐based offtake surveys and hunter interviews to improve community management of bushmeat hunting. 相似文献
20.
干湿循环对三峡支流消落带沉积物中可转化态氮及其形态分布的影响 总被引:5,自引:3,他引:2
水体富营养化的形成与沉积物中氮素的"源-汇"关系密切,本研究选取三峡典型支流澎溪河消落带上、中、下这3个水文断面,160 m和170 m两个水位高程,0~20、20~40、40~60、60~80、80~100 cm共5个深度的沉积物样品,通过研究其总可转化态氮(TF-N)与各形态可转化态氮含量及分布特征,旨在揭示周期性水位变化对消落带沉积物氮释放的影响.结果表明,澎溪河消落带沉积物总氮含量在313.02~3 255.53 mg·kg-1之间,空间分布上呈上站位(渠口)中站位(高阳)下站位(双江)的趋势;总可转化态氮含量范围为288.54~1 123.27mg·kg-1,均值为639.40 mg·kg-1,空间分布趋势与总氮一致;TF-N中各形态氮的大小顺序为:OSF-N(有机态和硫化物结合态)IMOF-N(铁锰结合态)CF-N(碳酸盐结合态)IEF-N(离子交换态).沉积物中TF-N主要以OSF-N(50.9%)和IMOF-N(33.3%)形态存在.OSF-N很难释放,不易参与氮循环.IMOF-N受水文条件影响显著,表现为在低水位高程和下采样站位沉积物中含量更低.淹水胁迫、水体富营养化等情况下氧含量较低,相对还原条件下有利于其向水体释放.而TF-N及其形态分布在垂直深度上无显著差异.可见,三峡库区特殊调蓄水制度加速了澎溪河下游、低水位高程消落带沉积物中IMOF-N向水体的释放. 相似文献