航天器总装事故原因事件重要度分析

为解决传统安全性定量分析方法不能描述航天器总装这一复杂人-机-环系统的失效数据波动性和非严格逻辑关系的问题,结合生产实际,采用问卷调查的方法找出影响总装事故的风险因素,即导致事故的事件发生可能性、输入事件对输出事件的影响程度等。在验证调查数据的有效性之后,应用基于模糊数的模糊因果图(FCD),计算某航天器与支架车连接作业的事故风险可能性。提出原因事件重要度的计算方法。通过计算发现,人员注意力和发动机保护罩作用是导致发动机损伤的关键事件。与模糊事故树(FFT)、贝叶斯网络(BN)重要度计算结果对比表明,模糊重要度计算结果能反映事故发生可能性对原因事件发生可能性值的增减的敏感度。     

基于AGA-BP神经网络的采空区危险性评价

针对采空区危险性评价的影响因素众多且关系复杂的特点,提出了基于AGA-BP神经网络算法评价采空区危险性。将岩体结构、地质构造、岩石抗压强度等13个影响因子作为神经网络输入,采空区危险性等级作为输出,建立一个采空区危险性评价的BP神经网络模型;采用自适应遗传算法(AGA)对BP网络的初始权值和阈值进行全局寻优,将寻优结果回代入网络中进行训练并预测得出采空区危险性等级;利用其它智能算法与该预测结果做出比较,以验证AGA-BP算法的有效性及优越性。结果表明:该算法的优化效果明显,同时在训练时间与预测精度上较其它智能算法有突出的优势,是一种在采空区危险性评价方面值得推广的新方法。     

环境规制对城市生态技术扩散效率的影响研究

生态技术扩散是长江经济带生态文明建设的必要环节,也是企业履行环保责任的有效措施。本文以长江经济带110个地级及以上城市为研究对象,采用非径向方向距离函数对城市工业企业生态技术扩散效率进行测算,分别从整体和区域异质性角度实证分析环境规制对城市工业企业生态技术扩散效率的影响及内在机理。结果表明：长江经济带城市环境规制与生态技术扩散效率存在倒“U”形关系,环境规制对生态技术扩散效率还存在多重影响路径,外商直接投资和工业集聚在影响路径中分别起着中介作用,且外商直接投资和工业集聚的链式中介显著。在异质性分析中,发现环境规制、外商直接投资、工业集聚和生态技术扩散效率之间的关系因区域位置不同而存在差异性。为此,依据研究结论及环境规制实施现状提出相应的政策建议,实现长江经济带经济永续绿色发展目标。     

Five-wheel framework for system-based monitoring of heavy metal pollution in rivers

Sectorial approach for monitoring heavy metal pollution in rivers has failed to report realistic pollution status and associated ecological and human health risks. The increasing spread of heavy metals from different sources and emerging risks to human and environmental health call for reexamining heavy metal pollution monitoring frameworks. Also, the sources, spread, and load of heavy metals in the environment have changed significantly over time, requiring consequent modification in the monitoring frameworks. Therefore, studies on heavy metal monitoring in rivers conducted in the last decade were evaluated for experimental designs, research frameworks, and data presentations. Most studies (∼99%) (i) lacked inclusiveness of all environmental compartments; (ii) focused on “one pollutant – one/two compartment” or sometimes “one pollutant – one compartment – one effect” approach; and (iii) remained “data-rich but information poor.” An ecological approach with integrative system thinking is proposed to develop a holistic approach for monitoring river pollution. It is visualized that heavy metal monitoring, risk analyses, and water management must incorporate tracking pollutants in different environmental compartments of a river (water, sediment, and floodplain/bank soil) and consider correlating it with riverbank land use. The systems-based pollution monitoring and assessment studies will reveal the critical factors that drive heavy metals pollutant movement in ecosystems and associated potential risks to the environment, wildlife, and humans. Also, water quality and pollution indexing tools would help better communicate complex pollution data and associated risks among all stakeholders. Therefore, integrating systems approaches in scientific- and policy-based tools would help sustainably manage the health of rivers, wildlife, and humans.     

典型Pb/Zn矿区土壤重金属污染特征与Pb同位素源解析

以我国典型的铅锌矿区——湖南水口山铅锌矿区及其周围地区为研究对象,分析自然土壤(A层和C层)样品中不同重金属(Pb、Zn、Cr、Cu、Cd、Hg)的污染特征和Pb同位素组成.结果表明,受铅锌选矿和冶炼活动的影响,研究区域A层土壤明显受到重金属的污染,尤其是在中心区域(水口山矿区),土壤中Pb、Zn、Cr、Cu、Cd、Hg含量最高达3966.88、 2086.25、 135.31、 185.63、 56.15、 16.434 mg/kg;受原生地质环境的影响,C层土壤重金属含量虽然变化很大,但基本反映土壤背景值.土壤中不同重金属的潜在生态危害大小顺序为Cd>Hg>Pb>Cu>Zn=Cr.中心区域多重金属综合潜在生态危害明显高于周围区域,其34%、 33%、 11%、 22%的采样点分别属于轻微、中等、强和很强生态危害,而周围区域属于轻微、中等、强和很强生态危害的采样点比例分别为68%、 16%、 10%、 6%.与C层Pb同位素相比(²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁷Pb为1.168～1.246,²⁰⁸Pb/²⁰⁶Pb为2.014～2.130),由于人为Pb源的污染A层土壤中²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁷Pb值(1.166～1.226)低而²⁰⁸Pb/²⁰⁶Pb值(2.043～2.135)高.与铅锌选矿、冶炼废水和烟尘中Pb同位素比值对比表明,A层土壤铅污染主要来自于冶炼厂烟气粉尘的沉降.     

苏里格气田气井现状及钻井泥浆的成分、危害

随着苏里格气田天然气探明储量的增加,气田的开发力度逐渐加大,气田开发带给当地的生态环境问题也在凸显。本文介绍了苏里格气田的现状及钻井泥浆的成分及危害,为减少环境危害提供理论依据。     

农村生活污水深度处理适用技术

农村污水治理是改善农村人居环境的重要内容之一,介绍了3种适用于农村水质敏感地区的污水处理技术:间歇曝气活性污泥法、生态处理技术、膜生物法,并对3种污水处理技术的优缺点进行了比较分析.     

大庆市草原和湖泊生态保护建设研究

通过对大庆草甸草原和湖泊湿地发生发展自然生态过程的分析,以大庆生态环境的整体性特征为基础,提出草甸草原是大庆生态环境的基础,湖泊湿地是大庆生态环境的特色.以保护和恢复为主巩固草原生态基础地位,以生态重建为主突出湖泊湿地特色.对生态功能正常发挥的草原,以生态保护为主,对生态功能退化草原,以生态恢复为主.对油田生产区的草原,重视生态功能和景观效应.以生态重建为主突出湖泊湿地特色,通过地表水结构的调整增加生态系统的活力和生态服务功能.草甸草原和湖泊湿地的保护与利用要扬长补短、协同并进.     

Evaluation of ecological restoration success in mining‐degraded lands

This review article analyzes the importance of assessing the success of ecological restoration by using four indicators: assemblage of the plant and animal communities; enzyme activity; litter accumulation and decomposition; and the improvement of soil quality. These indicators can be used alone or in combinations. Even though the Society for Ecological Restoration International provided a primer containing nine attributes to use as standards for measuring ecological restoration, only three of these attributes could be easily applied due to their low costs and low time requirements. These three attributes include: diversity, vegetation structure, and ecological processes. This review article emphasizes that the criteria for the selection of the indicator species should be based upon: habitat types, abundance of species, ease of measuring, quantifying and interpreting the results, gradual enhancement with time and cost‐effectiveness, sensitivity, variability of response, size, residential status, and requirements of the area. Principal component analysis was applied to calculate the reclaimed mine soil quality index (RMSQI) and the forest soil quality index (FSQI) and the RMSQI value was compared with FSQI (optimum index value of reference ecosystem) to evaluate the restoration success. Available phosphorus, exchangeable magnesium, organic carbon, clay content, field moisture, available nitrogen, electrical conductivity, and pH are identified as the most influential parameters that regulate the health of reclaimed mine soil. Exchangeable calcium, magnesium, cation exchange capacity, sand, silt, clay content, field moisture, available phosphorus, and pH are the controlling properties for forest soil. The observed values of the above‐stated soil indicator properties were converted into a unitless score (0–1.00) and integrated into index calculations (RMSQI and FSQI). The contribution of each soil indicator properties on the calculated index was analyzed, which provides insight into the reason for the measured index. A higher RMSQI indicates better ecological restoration success. The calculated RMSQI was found to be 0.473 in the reclaimed dump, which is 6% lower than the reference ecosystem.     

Waste management from the perspective of circularity of materials

The purpose of the study was to analyze the social phenomenon of collecting animal carcasses from rural properties using the perspective of the ecological modernization theory. The results show that the success of the Recolhe pilot project is associated with users’ engagement in environmental awareness, environmental regulations, sanitary and environmental risk management, minimization of labor in rural properties, and municipal legal pressures.