Climatic Change, Wildfire, and Conservation

Abstract:  Climatic variability is a dominant factor affecting large wildfires in the western United States, an observation supported by palaeoecological data on charcoal in lake sediments and reconstructions from fire-scarred trees. Although current fire management focuses on fuel reductions to bring fuel loadings back to their historical ranges, at the regional scale extreme fire weather is still the dominant influence on area burned and fire severity. Current forecasting tools are limited to short-term predictions of fire weather, but increased understanding of large-scale oceanic and atmospheric patterns in the Pacific Ocean (e.g., El Niño Southern Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation) may improve our ability to predict climatic variability at seasonal to annual leads. Associations between these quasi-periodic patterns and fire occurrence, though evident in some regions, have been difficult to establish in others. Increased temperature in the future will likely extend fire seasons throughout the western United States, with more fires occurring earlier and later than is currently typical, and will increase the total area burned in some regions. If climatic change increases the amplitude and duration of extreme fire weather, we can expect significant changes in the distribution and abundance of dominant plant species in some ecosystems, which would thus affect habitat of some sensitive plant and animal species. Some species that are sensitive to fire may decline, whereas the distribution and abundance of species favored by fire may be enhanced. The effects of climatic change will partially depend on the extent to which resource management modifies vegetation structure and fuels.     

Simple Spatial Modeling Tool for Prioritizing Prescribed Burning Activities at the Landscape Scale

Abstract:   Resources for prescribed fire are frequently insufficient to manage public lands for all conservation and resource management objectives, necessitating prioritization of the application of fire across the landscape within any given year. Defining tradeoffs when applying prescribed fire to large landscapes is problematic not only because of the complexity of weighing competing management objectives at the landscape scale, but also because of the difficult nature of independently applying need-to-burn criteria to large areas. We present a case study of a simple modeling process implemented at Eglin Air Force Base in the Florida Panhandle (U.S.A.) to prioritize the application of prescribed fire. In a workshop setting, managers and biologists identified key conservation criteria and landscape management objectives that drive the application of prescribed fire. Remote sensing and other spatial data were developed to directly or indirectly represent all these criteria. Using geographic information system software, managers and biologists weighted each criterion according to its relative contribution to overall burn prioritization, and individual values for the criterion were scored according to how they influence the need to burn. Subsequently, this process has been validated and modified through ecological monitoring. This modeling process has also been applied to the 77,400-ha Blackwater River State Forest, public land adjacent to Eglin Air Force Base, demonstrating its applicability to lands with varying management priorities. The advantages of this model-based approach for prioritizing prescribed fire include the reliance on accessible, inexpensive software, the development of spatially explicit management objectives, the ease of transferability, and clearly stated assumptions about management that may be tested and reviewed through monitoring and public comment.     

锅炉温控炉拱的设计及燃烧技术性能

论述了将小型链条炉排工业锅炉的炉拱设计成在运行中可以全量调节的结构,以适应燃用多种煤种的需要,并减少与固定拱操作有关的意外伤亡事故。这项技术有创新性,适用性和推广价值     

煤矿自燃火灾治理关键技术的研究与应用

介绍了使用同位素测氡法探测煤矿自燃火源位置的原理及应用效果。实践证明,该方法是解决煤矿自燃火灾治理难题的关键技术,由于投资少,精度高,软件处理直观可靠,它有重要推广价值     

雷管空中爆炸压力分布的理论计算

在对８＃ 雷管装药进行简化处理的基础上,其空中爆炸一定范围内的压力场分布可通过理论计算求得。近场参数可用自相似方法求解,而非近场参数又可用ＭａｃＣｏｒｍ ａｃｋ 两步格式对偏微分方程进行数值求解。将获得的压力场与实测结果进行比较,两者基本一致     

Experimental Investigation on The Igniting Fire Sources in Wildland Fire

试图通过试验,研究从林火点火源的红外辐射谱特性确定火焰性质的方法。为此,研制了模拟试验台,可以同时测定各特征火焰区的红外辐射谱和平均温度。用普朗克定律和维恩位移定律对试验数据进行了处理。对三种典型的引火源（烟头、树枝和纸）进行研究的结果表明：引火源的辐射特征波长在１．１－２．１ｕｍ,３．８－４．０ｕｍ,７．８－８．２ｕｍ波段内分布,此波长与各火焰区的特征温度存在对应关系。辐射温度随波长变化。在短波长处较低,此结果与将火焰辐射处理成黑体辐射时的普朗克定律大致相符     

秸秆成型燃料锅炉污染物排放规律试验研究

根据锅炉烟尘测试方法(GB 5468-91)及锅炉大气污染物排放标准(GB 13271-2001),在不同风门的工况下,分别对设计的双层炉排秸秆成型燃料锅炉污染物排放规律进行试验.试验表明,在较好工况下,双层炉排锅炉排烟中CO等中间产物及烟尘含量低于单层炉排锅炉,其排烟中CO、NOx、SO2和烟尘浓度等指标远远低于燃煤锅炉,符合国家关于工业锅炉大气污染物排放标准要求,有较好环保效益.     

南方林区2000~2016年林火释放污染物动态变化研究

以南方林区为研究区域,基于林业统计年鉴和MODIS卫星火点数据,结合相关文献中不同林型各类污染物的排放因子数据,估算2000~2016年间研究区域各省森林生物质燃烧及污染物排放总量,并分析其时空变化情况.结果表明,南方林区森林火灾总体呈先升后降的趋势,林火空间分布较为分散.2000~2016年南方林区森林生物质燃烧总量4.79×10⁴kt.其中,温带常绿针叶林、温带常绿阔叶林、温带落叶阔叶林、热带常绿阔叶林和灌木的燃烧比例分别为65.24%,17.45%,1.55%,1.10%和14.66%.CO、CO₂、NO_x、CH₄、VOCs和PM_2.5等主要污染物的排放总量均值依次为3.73×10³,5.87×10⁴,48.05,347.27,358.54和365.06kt.此外,各类污染物的时空分布差异性明显：福建、广东、广西全省,海南西部,以及江西和湖南南部是各类污染物网格排放高值区;江西和湖北各类污染物的排放呈显著下降,福建NO_x、VOCs和PM_2.5,以及广东CH₄和VOCs下降趋势显著,其余省份各类污染物排放下降但不显著.林火释放污染物占工业粉尘比例呈波动性上升,表明该地区森林火灾对大气环境的影响程度逐渐增加.     

火灾情况下某单洞双层盾构隧道人员疏散分析

对于火灾情况下单洞双层超大断面双层盾构隧道人员疏散问题,在现有的规范中,没有相关条文说明给出明确要求。主要针对火灾情况下某单洞双层盾构隧道人员疏散进行分析,对我国某水下盾构隧道开展了火灾情况下人员疏散的模拟研究。利用Pathfinder模拟疏散软件,通过模拟计算获得该双层盾构隧道发生一起火灾情况下人员逃生所需的时间,验证其疏散通道的疏散能力,以及疏散楼梯尺寸、疏散逃生洞口间距的有效性。在模拟中,将火源设置在隧道的下层,人员从隧道下层往上层疏散。结果表明,基于隧道内疏散楼梯最大的有效宽度,当疏散逃生洞口间距设置为36m时,方可将人员疏散至未失火层隧道的时间控制在6 min以内,从而满足"6 min原则"要求。