Regional crop yield, water consumption and water use efficiency and their responses to climate change in the North China Plain

The North China Plain (NCP) is one of the most important regions for food production in China, with its agricultural system being significantly affected by the undergoing climate change and vulnerable with water stress. In this study, the Vegetation Interface Processes (VIP) model is used to evaluate crop yield, water consumption (ET), and water use efficiency (WUE) of a winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.)–summer maize (Zea mays L.) double cropping system in the NCP from 1951 to 2006. Their responses to future climate scenarios of 21st century projected by the GCM (HadCM3) with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emission Scenario (IPCC SRES) A2 and B1 emissions are investigated. The results show a rapid enhancement of crop yield in the past 56 years, accompanying with slight increment of ET and noticeable improvement of WUE. There exist spatial patterns of crop yield stemmed mainly from soil quality and irrigation facilities. For climate change impacts, it is found that winter wheat yield will significantly increase with the maximum increment in A2 occurring in 2070s with a value of 19%, whereas the maximum in B1 being 13% in 2060s. Its ET is slightly intensified, which is less than 6%, under both A2 and B1 scenarios, giving rise to the improvement of WUE by 10% and 7% under A2 and B1 scenarios, respectively. Comparatively, summer maize yield will gently decline by 15% for A2 and 12% for B1 scenario, respectively. Its ET is obviously increasing since 2050s with over 10% relative change, leading to a lower WUE with more than 25% relative change under both scenarios in 2090s. Therefore, possible adaptation countermeasures should be developed to mitigate the negative effects of climate change for the sustainable development of agro-ecosystems in the NCP.     

熔融还原炼铁工艺环保可行性初步研究——以广州珠江钢铁为例

熔融还原炼铁技术是目前国内外高度重视的新一代炼铁技术,Corex和Hlsmelt是其中的代表工艺。文章就炼铁工艺在技术、环境、经济等方面有不同的要求而提出可行性判别指标,对Corex、HIsmelt与传统高炉工艺进行各判别指标的对比分析,并结合广州珠江钢铁有限责任公司现址建设炼铁项目这一实例从定性和定量的角度判别三种工艺的优劣,从而指出,对于珠钢现址,Corex和H／smelt比高炉技术更适应环保要求,更利于珠钢的未来发展,其中HIsmelt最具优势和竞争力。     

GIS技术在化学事故应急指挥系统中的应用研究

以地理信息系统（简称GIS）的技术特点为基础,结合应急指挥系统中的功能需求,探讨化学事故应急指挥系统GIS平台能够实现的功能,以及为实现这些功能而构建的数据库的建设。将GIS技术应用在化学事故应急指挥系统中,能够迅速、直观地了解事故装置和设备情况,获得有关信息,进行事故模拟。对提高事故处理速度,缩短反应时间,减少事故损失具有重要意义。     

乡镇环境规划指标体系研究——以扬州市瓜洲镇为例

从经济发展、生态环境、社会进步三方面构建乡镇环境规划指标体系,并引入“可持续发展度”、“因子贡献度”、“指标偏离度”、“制约度”,对瓜洲镇的现状进行了综合评价,对限制瓜洲镇可持续发展的因素进行识别。研究结果表明：规划基准年（2006年）瓜洲镇的可持续发展度为0.759,处于较强可持续发展阶段;影响瓜洲镇可持续发展的制约因素主要集中于环境质量及污染物治理方面（占36.75%）,其次为经济结构方面（占25.65%）,接着为发展支持（占24.21%）、生态环境与资源利用（占9.42%）、生活质量（占2.62%）、经济效益（占1.34%）。     

化工园区企业环境适宜度评价研究初探

本研究在阐明化工园区企业环境适宜度评价研究目的的基础上,根据化工园区的特点,采用层次分析法,构建了由经济、物质消耗、污染物排放、管理、社会、辅助6个领域、24个分项、96个单项评价因子组成的评价指标体系,并在具体的规划环评工作实践中确定了各级评价指标、评价指标计算数学模式以及评价结果综合评级方法,为化工园区企业环境综合整治提供了技术依据。本指标体系基本上涵盖了化工区企业与环境关联的主要方面,可以比较全面、客观地对化工园区企业的环境适宜度作出评判。     

基于重要度的系统可靠性分配方法

将系统的可靠性分配理论与故障树分析方法相结合,提出按故障树中各个基本事件(元件)的重要度大小进行可靠性分配的新方法.该方法可靠度的分配过程分两步:首先按可靠性再分配原理将系统的可靠度分配到各个最小割集;然后将需要调整可靠度的最小割集看成一个子系统,将最小割集的可靠度按基本事件重要度的大小分配到各个基本事件,即所谓二次分配模型.该方法不仅适用于仅有串、并联的简单系统,而且能够解决具有桥联结构的复杂系统的可靠性分配问题.     

气象灾害系统组成及评估理论体系探讨

结合国内外相关领域的研究情况,对气象灾害、孕灾环境、致灾因子和承灾体等重要概念下了较明确的定义,介绍了孕灾环境危险度这一度量孕灾环境灾害风险的概念,并对承灾体脆弱性、致灾因子强度等用以评估气象灾害的重要参数进行了初步研究,指出灾情是成灾后气象灾害系统的综合状态.最后建立了较完整的气象灾害评估理论体系.     

Review on water leakage control in distribution networks and the associated environmental benefits

Water supply is the primary element of an urban system. Due to rapid urbanization and water scarcity, maintaining a stable and safe water supply has become a challenge to many cities, whereas a large amount of water is lost from the pipes of distribution systems. Water leakage is not only a waste of water resources, but also incurs great socio-economic costs. This article presents a comprehensive review on the potential water leakage control approaches and specifically discusses the benefits of each to environmental conservation. It is concluded that water leakage could be further reduced by improving leakage detection capability through a combination of predictive modeling and monitoring instruments, optimizing pipe maintenance strategy, and developing an instant pressure regulation system. The environment could benefit from these actions because of water savings and the reduction of energy consumption as well as greenhouse gas emissions.     

多介质土壤滤层系统(MSL)与潜流式人工湿地技术处理海水养殖废水的效能比较

为探索经济可行的海水养殖废水处理技术,选取南美白对虾海水养殖废水,对比研究了多介质土壤滤层(multi-soillayer,MSL)系统和4种不同植物配置潜流式人工湿地(大米草型、芦苇型、香蒲型和无植物型)在400 L·(m2·d)-1水力负荷下的废水处理效果.结果表明,MSL对化学需氧量(COD)、总磷(TP)、总氮(TN)、氨氮(NH+4-N)和硝态氮(NO-3-N)的平均去除率分别为80.38%±2.14%、68.14%±3.51%、40.79%±3.10%、42.68%±2.90%和54.19%±5.15%,均高于其他4种不同植物配置的潜流式人工湿地的处理效果.4种人工湿地系统对各污染物的去除率从高到低依次为:大米草型>芦苇型>香蒲型>无植物型.     

宝鸡市人水和谐评价研究

以宝鸡市为例建立区域人水和谐评价指标体系及评价模型。在阐述人水和谐内涵的基础上,构建宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系。根据对立统一可变模糊集理论及合作博弈思想,建立基于合作博弈权重的可变模糊集模型,评价人水复合系统的综合发展水平;以水系统和人类系统的综合发展水平为基础,采用协调性指数模型揭示两系统间的相互协调关系,由人水系统的信息熵得到人水复合系统的协调度,以此建立信息熵协调度模型,评价人水复合系统协调度;以人水复合系统综合发展水平和协调度为基础,综合评价人水复合系统的和谐度。应用此模型对宝鸡市2001—2010 年的人水和谐程度进行评价,和谐度在0.631~0.833 之间。与模糊物元评价模型结果对比分析,评价结果基本一致,表明文中模型有效可行,结果可靠。通过对宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系和评价模型研究,以期为人水和谐的深入研究提供一种实用可操作的定量评价方法。