On the Use of MRF/AVN Global Information to Improve the Operational Air Quality Model OPANA

Operational air quality models have become an important tool to assist the decision makers in European Environmental Offices at different levels: cities, regional and state. Because of the important advance on computing capabilities during the last few years the possibility of incorporating the complex research and academic mesoscale air quality models under routine operational basis has become a reality. OPANA model is the operational version of the research model ANA (Atmospheric mesoscale Numerical pollution model for regional and urban Areas). This model is a limited area model (mesoscale beta) and the capability to extend the prediction horizon is limited unless proper boundary conditions are provided during long simulations. In this contribution we show how AVN/MRF (NOAA) vertical numerical meteorological soundings are incorporated to the OPANA system by using JAVA technology. This new feature helps to keep the air quality model into medium power workstations and the performance is improved accordingly. This technology avoids running mesoscale models over larger areas (continental scale) to accordingly increase the forecasting temporal horizon.     

Identification and spatial patterns of coastal water pollution sources based on GIS and chemometric approach

Comprehensive and joint applications of GIS and chemometric approach were applied in identification and spatial patterns of coastal water pollution sources with a large data set （5 years （2000-2004）, 17 parameters） obtained through coastal water monitoring of Southern Water Control Zone in Hong Kong. According to cluster analysis the pollution degree was significantly different between September-next May （the 1st period） and June-August （the 2nd period）. Based on these results, four potential pollution sources, such as organic/eutrophication pollution, natural pollution, mineral/anthropic pollution and fecal pollution were identified by factor analysis/principal component analysis. Then the factor scores of each monitoring site were analyzed using inverse distance weighting method, and the results indicated degree of the influence by various potential pollution sources differed among the monitoring sites. This study indicated that hybrid approach was useful and effective for identification of coastal water pollution source and spatial patterns.     

矿岩可崩性的可拓聚类预测研究

将可拓工程方法与聚类分析相结合,以矿岩的可崩性等级和影响因子构造经典域物元和节域物元,应用物元理论和可拓集合中的关联函数,建立了可拓聚类预测的简单物元模型.通过与RQD法,RMR法,MRMR法以及Q系统分级法的矿岩可崩性分级评价结果相比较,可拓聚类预测方法所获得的结果与其他评价方法的结果具有一致性,说明该方法的可行性.可拓聚类预测结果具有不仅反映事物从属级别的绝对性,而且还能反映其相对性的优点.     

城市环境质量多级模糊综合评价

文章将模糊聚类与层次分析相结合,提出了城市环境质量多级模糊综合评价法,并将该方法应用于宣州市环境质量综合评价,结果表明,该方法克服了综合指数法受人为因素影响大的缺点,较好地反映了环境质量分级界限的模糊性,并且较好地解决了权值分配问题,使评价结论更合理,可靠,是一种有价值的城市环境质量综合评价方法。     

青蒿试管苗开花及用花器官为外植体诱导丛生芽生产青蒿素

将培养于MS培养基上5wk的青蒿试管苗置于光周期13,光强6000lx,温度为26℃（昼）和22℃（夜）的条件下,成功地诱导其开花,利用不同发育阶段的花蕾和花器官为外植体诱导丛生芽,发现不同浓度（ρ）的6－BA对丛生芽的诱导率和青蒿素的生物合成有重要影响。结果表明：以花蕾为外植体诱导丛生芽的最佳培养基是：MS附加4.0mg L^-1的6－BA和0.05mg L^-1的NAA;但当ρ（6－BA）在0－0.5mg L^-1之间时,有利于青蒿素的合成ρ（6－BA）=0.5-4mg L^-1时抑制青蒿素的生命合成,丛生芽中促进青蒿素合成的最佳ρ（6－BA）为0.5mg L^-1,用HPLC法测定发现用此法得到的丛生芽青蒿素的含量比直接利用叶片诱导的丛生芽青蒿素含量高1倍。     

大气降水化学的统计学分析——以浙江省金华市为例

运用相关分析、因子分析和聚类分析等统计学方法,对2004-2005年间浙江省金华市的大气降水化学组成和分布特征进行了分析.结果表明,SO2-4,NH 4,Ca2 ,NO-3和H 是降水的主要离子,降水的pH值、电导率及离子组分均呈明显的正偏态分布,降水样品以低离子含量的样本为主.降水中水溶性离子主要分为4类,SO2-4,NH 4,NO-3,Ca2 和F-主要来自人为活动的贡献,K 和Mg2 主要来自土壤、沙尘等地壳来源,Na 和Cl-属于典型的海盐性成分,H 则反映了各种离子中和作用对降水酸度的综合影响.     

工业化水平区域差异与中国能源消费

在对30个省区工业化水平进行了聚类分析的基础上，描述了工业化水平的区域差异。通过对中国煤炭、石油两类非可再生能源的消费在区域工业增长中的判别分析，探讨了区域工业化水平对能源消费水平的影响。这种影响以工业能源密度为动因，促成了区域工业化水平与能源消费总量水平的一致性和差异性。研究结果表明：工业能源密度的降低和能源效率的改进有利于工业化水平提高。     

出口贸易可持续发展:理论内涵、评价模型及经验研究

在人文贸易主义价值取向逐渐兴起的背景下，对外贸易可持续发展观越来越受到关注。选择以出口贸易可持续发展作为研究对象，在对出口贸易可持续发展内涵进行理论阐释的基础上尝试建立测度一国出口贸易可持续发展水平的指标体系和评价模型，最后对中国出口贸易可持续发展水平进行经验研究。结果显示1985-2003年中国出口可持续发展水平大致呈现出曲折缓慢上升趋势，通过灰色聚类可将各年份出口贸易可持续发展水平划分为优、良、中、劣四等。在多数年份中国出口社会经济效益的获取要以同期环境质量下降和资源过度消耗作为代价，且中国出口规模的持续加速上升并未带来出口经济效益水平的提升，这主要源于出口贸易条件的恶化，因此需警惕在中国出现“贫困化出口增长”问题。     

Mesoscale circulation in the surface layer off the southern and western Sardinia Island in 2000-2002

Five oceanographic cruises were organized in the Sardinian Sea and Channel in May 2000, March 2001, September 2001, May 2002, and November 2002 to study the characterization of the water masses, Atlantic Water (AW) and Winter Intermediate Water (WIW), and their mesoscale variability. In the Sardinian Channel, an Algerian anticyclonic Eddy (AE) was observed in May 2000, along the Tunisian coast. This induced a greater minimum salinity in a wider and deeper layer than in November 2002, when no AE was observed. Some WIW was observed below it; nevertheless, no link could be established between AEs and WIW occurrences. In the Sardinian Sea, two AEs were observed during spring 2000, and a further two during spring 2002. One AE strongly influenced shelf circulation, in contrast to the other three that were off the continental slope. In the same area, during the end of September 2001, a vertical salinity inversion occurred in the first 30-50 m of depth over the whole sampling field, and a W-NW wind induced a coastal upwelling over the western Sardinian coast (south of 41° N). This upwelling increased the salinity from ∼20 to 30 m below the surface to the surface and, thereby led to a lower salinity close to the coast than offshore. This was in contrast to a classical upwelling. Consequently, in the Sardinian Sea, the general circulation, mainly driven by AEs, can meet the coastal wind-driven circulation.     

上海市传统产业结构的演进与重构--基于经济社会转型背景下的可持续发展新思路

上海市目前正处于由国内经济中心建设阶段向国际大都市建设阶段转型的关键时期，为确保上海市顺利实现阶段转型。要以全新的思路重组上海的传统产业以适应上述变局。以产业重组理论为指导，以国际大都市建设为目标，在产业结构重构战略上，坚持以第三产业和新兴制造业快速增长为核心；在产业的空间发展战略上，坚持以产业高度和技术优势引领长江三角洲地区加快一体化步伐，瞄准国际产业结构新高，积极参与东亚城市体系的产业分工；在重点产业选择上，优先发展新经济产业簇群、流量经济产业簇群和都市型产业簇群等3大产业簇群。为实现上述构想，在分析了上海市产业结构的演变及其表现特征的基础上，将上海市的产业划分为5大类，分别提出了不同的优化重组方案。