台南温泉井流量异常与南黄海地震关系初析

江苏省东台市台南温泉井１３年来共有三个时段的流量有较大幅度的异常都对应了南黄海一平方度内发生的４次４６～６３级地震。本文对该井的地质构造条件、观测方法、震前异常特征、干扰因素的排除、映震效能、异常机理、流量异常与地震三要素的关系等作了介绍和讨论。     

Rockburst hazard determination by using computed tomography technology in deep workface

The rockburst in mines results from the dynamic load coupled with static one in coal seams around workface zones, so it is essential to learn the stress distribution of the coal and surrounding rock for determination of rockburst risk areas. The relationship between the elastic wave velocity and stress applied on coal sample was investigated systematically by laboratory testing, theoretically analysis, as well as on-site observation, and a positive correlation between them under uniaxial compression was put forward. Furthermore, it is drawn that the anomaly of elastic wave velocity reflects the stress changes: the positive anomaly ascertains the stress concentration while the negative anomaly estimates the mining destress and weaken degree, and corresponding assessment criterions and parameters were established respectively. The hazard areas and degree of an island longwall face 16302C were forecasted before coal winning based on the elastic wave anomaly distribution rules using active tremor velocity inversion, monitoring results of mining shocks during exploitation indicate that the consistency between locations of big tremors and where forecasted by computed tomography (CT) exceed 80%. The successful application of this technology achieved remarkable economic and social benefits for disaster control in rockburst mines.     

A comparative study of prenatal ultrasound findings and post-mortem examination in a tertiary referral centre

This retrospective study compares the findings of prenatal ultrasound, performed in a tertiary fetal medicine centre, with the results of post-mortem examination in pregnancies complicated by suspected fetal abnormality that results in fetal loss. The study was carried out over a year at a teaching hospital, Fetal Medicine Centre and Regional Centre for Perinatal Pathology. Results were directly compared and the level of agreement between the ultrasound and post-mortem findings described. These were classified as having complete agreement; major agreement or major disagreement. The group of cases with major agreement between findings was further divided into those with significant, or minor, additional findings at post-mortem examination. Over the 12-month period, 153 ultrasound cases were identified, of which 47 were also examined by autopsy and were thus suitable for comparison in this study (30.7%). Complete agreement between ultrasound and post-mortem findings was found in 22 cases (46.8%). In 24 cases (51.1%), major agreement between ultrasound and post-mortem findings was seen. Of these, 11 had minor additional findings at post-mortem examination and 13 were found to have significant additional findings at post-mortem (27.7%), adding to the eventual diagnosis. In 12.8% of cases, post-mortem examination provided a definitive diagnosis. Only in one case was there complete discordance in the findings of the ultrasound examination and the autopsy (2.1%). No major disagreement between ultrasound and post-mortem findings was seen in 98% of cases. This study confirms the accuracy of prenatal ultrasound diagnosis in specialist centres, whilst emphasising the continuing importance of post-mortem examination in cases of fetal malformation to refine and, in some cases, define the diagnosis. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

江苏省地震前兆观测台网的数字化建设及存在的问题

简要介绍了江苏数字地震前兆台网的概况及其技术特点，列出了目前存在的问题，并对其中一些问题提出了改善建议。     

南黄海6.1级地震前江苏地电台站地电阻率异常分析

南黄海海域６．１级地震发生前，对海安台Ｎ３０°Ｗ、Ｎ７０°Ｗ、Ｎ６０°Ｅ三组测向和南京台ＥＷ向测向地电阻率负异常时段进行了３１日低通滑动平均滤波计算，发现异常突出，并超过二倍中误差，经分析认为对地电阻率所出现的中长期异常时段，不能轻易否定，必须不断跟踪分析     

南黄海6.1级地震的地磁异常特征

研究认为：虽然此次南黄海６．１级地震距江苏地磁台网较远，但南通台的Ｆ２１测值在震前仍有历时约２２个月的信度较高的异常，同时存在幅相法异常，然而希望据此做出准确的地震三要素的预报难度仍是较大的     

南黄海6.1级地震及其前兆的分析与思考

对南黄海６．１级地震序列和主震震源参数进行了初步推算和分析。对该次地震前的长期和中短期地震学前兆异常的分析预报作了总结，提出了长中短结合和注意异常指标的独立性及抓时空强异常综合分析的预报思路     

华北中部早涝成因的分析研究

本文对北京等华北中部5站1956至1985年旱涝成因进行了分析讨论.结果表明,区域性旱涝主要是在海洋和局地土壤热状况异常作用下产生的.对华北中部而言,冬季黑潮海温与局地地温变化是引起汛期旱涝变异最重要的原因.前期下垫面热源异常对后期旱涝影响往往是通过累积的异常加热造成环流形势和系统的异常而实现的.海温与地温影响降水的机制不同,前者的影响是大尺度的,而后者的影响只是区域性的.当海温异常造成的大尺度环流变化与局地热状况都有利于降水时.洪涝更容易发生,反之易旱.     

苍山5．2级地震前安徽省观测到的地震前兆

汇集了１９９５年９月２０日山东苍山５．２级地震前安徽省所属各观测项目记录到的地震前兆数据变化，并初步分析了震前难以做出预报的原因