Uncertainty Models for Estimates of Physical Characteristics of River Segments Over Large Areas

Spatially comprehensive estimates of the physical characteristics of river segments over large areas are required in many large‐scale analyses of river systems and for the management of multiple basins. Remote sensing and modeling are often used to estimate river characteristics over large areas, but the uncertainties associated with these estimates and their dependence on the physical characteristics of the segments and their catchments are seldom quantified. Using test data with varying degrees of independence, we derived analytical models of the uncertainty associated with estimates of upstream catchment area (CA), segment slope, and mean annual discharge for all river segments of a digital representation of the hydrographic network of France. Although there were strong relationships between our test data and estimates at the scale of France, there were also large relative local uncertainties, which varied with the physical characteristics of the segments and their catchments. Discharge and CA were relatively uncertain where discharge was low and catchments were small. Discharge uncertainty also increased in catchments with large rainfall events and low minimum temperature. The uncertainty of segment slope was strongly related to segment length. Our uncertainty models were consistent across large regions of France, suggesting some degree of generality. Their analytical formulation should facilitate their use in large‐scale ecological studies and simulation models.     

Seasonal trend of ambient PCDD/Fs in Tianjin City, northern China using active sampling strategy

The spatial concentrations, seasonal trends, profiles and congener pairs of ambient polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs) and polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) were investigated within a seasonally active sampling scheme during Jun 2008 and Jan 2009 in Tianjin City, northern China. The PCDD/F concentrations ranged 14.2-172 fg I-TEQ/m³ (average 69.3 fg I-TEQ/m³) in summer and (89.8-1.01) × 10³ fg I-TEQ/m³ (average 509 fg I-TEQ/m³) in winter, respectively, except for the E-waste dismantling site where much higher values were observed (1.04 × 10³ fg I-TEQ/m³ in summer and 7.123 × 10³ fg I-TEQ/m³ in winter). The results indicated a significantly seasonal trend with higher TEQ values in winter as compared with summer, which could be related to increased emission sources and seasonal variations of the atmospheric boundary layer height. 2,3,4,7,8-PeCDF was the dominant contributor to the total PCDD/F toxic equivalents, and 2,3,7,8-TCDD was detected at almost all the sampling sites in winter. Most of the similarly substituted PCDD/F congener pairs exhibited high correlations, suggesting that they might have similar environmental fate or sources. But different seasonal and spatial distributions of PCDD/F concentrations indicated that the emission sources might be intermittent.     

污水处理厂不同工艺的污泥脱水效能分析及其影响因素研究

污泥脱水是污泥减量的主要手段,直接影响到后续污泥处理处置.本研究以北京某大型污水处理厂A2/O工艺和A2/O-MBR工艺污泥脱水为对象,基于2013年全年的运行数据,分析不同工艺的污泥脱水效果、絮凝剂投配率、污泥脱水电耗和污泥脱水成本,并通过冗余分析(RDA)研究了不同污水处理工艺污泥脱水性能的影响因素.结果表明,污泥脱水性能和絮凝剂投配率均呈现季节性变化特征,冬季污泥较难脱水,絮凝剂消耗大.A2/O-MBR工艺的脱水污泥含水率年均值为(81.92±1.64)%,A2/O工艺为(82.56±1.35)%,污泥脱水絮凝剂消耗(以DS计,下同)分别为(8.70±7.25)kg·t-1和(7.42±2.96)kg·t-1,电耗(以DS计,下同)分别为331.82 k W·h·t-1和121.57 k W·h·t-1.A2/O-MBR工艺的污泥脱水絮凝剂成本(以DS计,下同)为204.76元·t-1,用电成本为231.61元·t-1;A2/O工艺的污泥脱水絮凝剂成本为175.00元·t-1,用电成本为84.86元·t-1.RDA分析表明,水温等季节性因素引起污泥有机质变化是影响污泥脱水性能的关键因素之一,此外,污泥龄也与污泥脱水性能有一定相关性.     

常州夏冬季PM2.5中无机组分昼夜变化特征与来源解析

为探讨常州大气气溶胶中无机组分的昼夜变化特征,在夏冬两季分别连续采集1个月的PM2.5样品,对比分析了11种水溶性离子和13种重金属元素的昼夜特征和来源.结果表明,夏冬两季PM2.5平均质量浓度白天高于夜间,水溶性离子占比夜间稍高于白天.冬季水溶性离子占PM2.5的比例(44%~45%)高于夏季(31%~36%),而重金属元素呈现相反的季节性特征(冬季白天3.03%,夜间2.29%;夏季白天4.40%,夜间4.51%).SO_4~(2-)、NO_3~-、NH_4~+是主要的二次离子,占总水溶性离子77%~85%,说明常州市大气污染呈二次污染为主的复合污染特征.夏季强太阳辐射的光化学反应导致白天SO_4~(2-)占比(49.0%)稍高于夜间(41.1%),而白天高温NH_4NO_3分解,使NO_3~-浓度白天(1.98μg·m-3)远低于夜间(5.10μg·m-3).NH_4~+与SO_4~(2-)、NO_3~-之间好的线性相关性及预测NH_4~+与实测NH_4~+的比值接近1,表明NH_4~+主要以(NH4)2SO4,NH_4NO_3和NH4Cl形态存在.离子平衡表明夏季颗粒物呈弱碱性,冬季呈中性.Fe、Al和Zn这3种重金属元素占比最大,Fe和Al元素白天占比明显高于夜间,Zn正好相反.无机组分相关性及主成分分析表明,无机组分都来自二次生成、扬尘和交通等排放源,表现一定的季节性和昼夜变化特征.     

2012~2013年间北京市PM2.5中水溶性离子时空分布规律及相关性分析

2012年8月~2013年7月,在北京市包括城市背景、城区、郊区以及边界传输点在内的9个监测点位进行大气细颗粒物PM2.5样品的采集与分析,共获得486个有效样本及9种水溶性离子的质量浓度.观测期间9种水溶性离子总质量浓度为60.5μg·m-3,浓度水平高低顺序分别为NO-3SO2-4NH+-4Cl-Na+K+Ca2+F-Mg2+;其中SO2-4、NO-3和NH+4(三者简称SNA)占全部所测水溶性离子的88%;NO-3是全年波动范围最大的二次离子.对所测阴、阳离子相关性研究发现,阴、阳离子总体相关性良好,春、冬季阴、阳离子相关性要好于夏、秋季.对不同颗粒质量级别中的水溶性离子研究发现,SNA积累活跃,相对于SO2-4的积累,NO-3和NH+4在二次离子的形成过程中占据主导地位;NO-3是重污染过程累积效应比较明显且贡献相对较高的二次离子.     

铜仁土壤-水稻重金属积累效应与安全种植区划

铜仁市有色金属矿业活动频繁,为了解贵州省铜仁地区土壤-水稻重金属积累与迁移转化状况,开展水稻安全种植区划,共采集水田土壤和相应稻米样品230组,并测试重金属和土壤理化性质等.通过单因子指数法对稻米样品进行评价,并结合土壤环境质量和食品污染物限量提出安全种植区划方法.结果表明:①水田土壤pH在4.4～7.9之间,ω(As)、ω(Cd)、ω(Cu)、ω(Hg)、ω(Ni)和ω(Zn)平均值分别为 12.94、0.343、30.53、3.869、30.32和 110.0 mg-kg-1,其中 As、Cd、Hg 和 Zn与环境质量农用地土壤污染风险管控标准中的筛选值相比,超标11.7％、10.9％、53.0％和3.04％.②稻米中ω(As)、ω(Cd)、ω(Cu)、ω(Hg)、ω(Ni)和 a(Zn)的表征值为0.056、0.017、1.445、0.010、0.215和 17.59 mg·kg-1;与国家食品安全标准(GB 2762-2017)相比,稻米样品中As、Cd和Hg含量超标达15.7％、3.04％和19.1％.其As超标点位主要集中分布于松桃县,Hg主要分布于碧江和万山区.③稻米富集系数大小顺序为:Zn＞Cd＞Cu＞Hg＞As=Ni,稻米对于Zn的吸收富集能力最强.④研究区大部分区域均属于优先保护类,安全利用类集中分布在铜仁东部,严格管控类零星分布于碧江区、万山区和江口县等地.结果表明,铜仁市部分地区土壤存在重金属污染,同时水稻的安全种植也存在一定风险.     

崇明东滩不同部位的季节性沉积研究

2002年4月至2003年4月，通过对崇明东滩南部、中部和北部的标志桩观测以及实地观测分析，发现崇明东滩在一年中不同季节冲淤变化过程存在很大差异：春季到夏季，南部以冲刷为主，中部和北部以淤积为主；夏季到秋季，南部和中部以淤积为主，北部表现为冲刷；秋季到冬季，南部、中部和北部都以冲刷为主；头一年冬季到次年春季，南部和北部以淤积为主，中部则表现为冲刷。在同一观测路线上，不同季节高、中、低潮滩冲淤也存在一定差异。通过对沉积物粒度、水体含沙量等指标的测试，并借助潮差等资料，探究了影响潮滩季节性沉积的因素，发现潮滩季节性沉积与潮滩基础地貌、水体含沙量、水动力、潮流等有密切关系；但在不同部位不同季节，各因素对潮滩冲淤影响程度各不相同。     

基于GIS和SPSS的湖北省可持续农业发展能力研究

本文基于可持续农业发展内涵构建其能力评价指标体系 ,应用GIS技术、因子分析模型和模糊数学方法对湖北省可持续农业发展能力进行了评价与聚类分区 ,并对影响湖北省可持续农业发展能力的主因子和各分区作了简要评述。旨在揭示湖北可持续农业发展存在的问题及其地域分异规律 ,为政府农业决策提供参考依据。