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71.
城市防灾设施建设是一项复杂的系统工程,是典型的上下游供应链长、协调关系多、投资周期长、不确定性和风险程度高的项目.应用供应链管理的理论,结合我国城市防灾设施建设项目的特点,分析了城市防灾设施建设供应链管理的概念与意义,提出了城市防灾设施建设供应链管理的基本模式和特征,并针对我国城市防灾设施建设管理的现状,阐述了我国城市防灾设施建设中政府、有关企业与社会机构等方面实施供应链管理的战略任务. 相似文献
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73.
基于GIS的长江中下游地区洪灾风险分区及评价 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
国内外近几年的发展表明,在所有可能避免和减轻自然灾害的措施中,最简单有效的方法就是通过在科学研究基础上进行风险区划,将自然灾害管理提高到风险管理的水平.在长江流域数字化地图的基础上,选取不同重复期(20,50,100年),及包括1870年历史洪水和1931,1935,1954,1991,1995,1996,1998,1999和2002年共10次洪水,借助Arcview地理信息系统的空间分析和叠加功能,对长江中下游地区的洪水灾害危险性进行了初步评价.首先参考洪水灾害淹没图和相关历史文献记录资料,构建10次洪水受灾县(市)分布图;其次对这10次洪水受灾县(市)分布图进行叠加,得到长江中下游地区洪涝灾害风险性评价图.分析表明:长江中下游地区洪水风险的分布是有规律的,而且具有明显的地理意义.有4个明显的高危风险区,分别是洞庭湖、鄱阳湖两湖平原的湖滨地区和公安以下的长江中游河段的沿江一带,尤其是荆江河段以及两江相夹地势低洼的江汉平原;沿高危风险区外侧为高风险地区,重点在汉江下游、资、沅、澧水、清江流域、皖沿江地区以及太湖流域的部分地区;沿长江于高危风险和高风险地区两侧分别为风险较小地区;其他地区对于洪水灾害而言则为安全地区.评价结果与长江中下游的实际情况基本吻合. 相似文献
74.
洪涝灾害评价的威布尔模型 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
首次将威布尔分布用于淮河流域水灾成灾面积研究,揭示了淮河流域洪涝灾害成灾面积形成的 内在规律,进而利用河南、安徽、江苏和山东4省的各自灾度对淮河流域的灾害风险建立了线性回归模型.实证分析表明,本方法切实可行,特别适用于大样本计算. 相似文献
75.
中国水灾社会脆弱性评估方法的改进与应用--以长沙地区为例 总被引:17,自引:2,他引:17
中国是洪水灾害发生频繁的国家之一,研究水灾脆弱性对中国的灾害风险管理有重要的意义.但是,合理评估脆弱性尤其是社会脆弱性却面临着极大的挑战.论文对评估社会脆弱性指数的研究现状进行了分析,指出了传统评估方法存在的问题,并尝试改进Hoovering评估模式.选择湘江流域的长沙地区为研究区,应用改进模型对研究区进行了社会脆弱性指数的评估.结果表明,长沙地区社会脆弱性从1980年至2000年基本处于下降趋势,但是在2002年和2003年增长迅速.2003年,长沙5区4县中社会脆弱性指数最大的是开福区,其次是长沙县,而宁乡县的社会脆弱性指数最低. 相似文献
76.
77.
Public Perception of Flood Hazard in the Niger Delta,Nigeria 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Summary Our study had the aim of understanding how floodplain dwellers regard the risk of flooding. About 500 questionnaires were
administered to landowners in the selected settlements in the study area using systematic random sampling. The results of
analysis show, among other things, that the population regards most important the causes of floods as heavy, prolonged rainfall
and river overflow. Nevertheless, they have little knowledge of the frequency of severe floods, and flood alleviation schemes.
Most flood victims do not get compensation or relief during flood disaster, and the reason why they remain in the study area
is influenced by their occupations, especially fishing, subsistence agriculture, and the presence of crude oil in the region
which has attracted many migrants who cannot afford the high cost of accommodation and are therefore forced to live in vulnerable
areas of the floodplain. Finally, the study concludes that flood control in the region needs the cooperation of government,
community efforts and an enlightenment programmes through environmental education and mass media. 相似文献
78.
Lee Benda Marwan A. Hassan Michael Church Christine L. May 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2005,41(4):835-851
Headwater streams comprise 60 to 80 percent of the cumulative length of river networks. In hilly to mountainous terrain, they reflect a mix of hillslope and channel processes because of their close proximity to sediment source areas. Their morphology is an assemblage of residual soils, landslide deposits, wood, boulders, thin patches of poorly sorted alluvium, and stretches of bedrock. Longitudinal profiles of these channels are strongly influenced by steps created by sediment deposits, large wood, and boulders. Due to the combination of small drainage area, stepped shallow gradient, large roughness elements, and cohesive sediments, headwater streams typically transport little sediment or coarse wood debris by fluvial processes. Consequently, headwaters act as sediment reservoirs for periods spanning decades to centuries. The accumulated sediment and wood may be episodically evacuated by debris flows, debris floods, or gully erosion and transported to larger channels. In mountain environments, these processes deliver significant amounts of materials that form riverine habitats in larger channels. In managed steepland forests, accelerated rates of landslides and debris flows resulting from the harvest of headwater forests have the potential to seriously impact the morphology of headwater streams and downstream resources. 相似文献
79.
Timothy N. McPherson Steven J. Burian Michael K. Stenstrom H.J. Turin Michael J. Brown I.H. Suffet 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2005,41(4):959-969
Effective watershed management requires an accurate assessment of the pollutant loads from the associated point and nonpoint sources. The importance of wet weather flow (WWF) pollutant loads is well known, but in semi‐arid regions where urbanization is significant the pollutant load in dry weather flow (DWF) may also be important. This research compares the relative contributions of potential contaminants discharged in DWF and WWF from the Ballona Creek Watershed in Los Angeles, California. Models to predict DWF and WWF loads of total suspended solids, biochemical oxygen demand, nitrate‐nitrogen, nitrite‐nitrogen, ammonia‐nitrogen, total Kjeldahl nitrogen, and total phosphorus from the Ballona Creek Watershed for six water years dating from 1991 to 1996 were developed. The contaminants studied were selected based on data availability and their potential importance in the degradation of Ballona Creek and Santa Monica Bay beneficial uses. Wet weather flow was found to contribute approximately 75 percent to 90 percent of the total annual flow volume discharged by the Ballona Creek Watershed. Pollutant loads are also predominantly due to WWF, but during the dry season, DWF is a more significant contributor. Wet weather flow accounts for 67 to 98 percent of the annual load of the constituents studied. During the dry season, however, the portion attributable to DWF increases to greater than 40 percent for all constituents except biochemical oxygen demand and total suspended solids. When individual catchments within the watershed are considered, the DWF pollutant load from the largest catchment is similar to the WWF pollutant load in two other major catchments. This research indicates WWF is the most significant source of nonpoint source pollution load on an annual basis, but management of the effects of the nonpoint source pollutant load should consider the seasonal importance of DWF. 相似文献
80.