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Accurate trend estimates are necessary for understanding which species are declining and which are most in need of conservation action. Imperfect species detection may result in unreliable trend estimates because this may lead to the overestimation of declines. Because many management decisions are based on population trend estimates, such biases could have severe consequences for conservation policy. We used an occupancy‐modeling framework to estimate detectability and calculate nationwide population trends for 14 Swiss amphibian species both accounting for and ignoring imperfect detection. Through the application of International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List criteria to the different trend estimates, we assessed whether ignoring imperfect detection could affect conservation policy. Imperfect detection occurred for all species and detection varied substantially among species, which led to the overestimation of population declines when detectability was ignored. Consequently, accounting for imperfect detection lowered the red‐list risk category for 5 of the 14 species assessed. We demonstrate that failing to consider species detectability can have serious consequences for species management and that occupancy modeling provides a flexible framework to account for observation bias and improve assessments of conservation status. A problem inherent to most historical records is that they contain presence‐only data from which only relative declines can be estimated. A move toward the routine recording of nonobservation and absence data is essential if conservation practitioners are to move beyond this toward accurate population trend estimation.  相似文献   
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The development of criteria for the comparative assessment of technologies and substances beyond the toxicological approach and the development of an integrated pattern of criteria is still at the beginning. The criteria presented here for integrating the precautionary principle into the substance and technology assessment have to be further operationlised and completed, in the same way as the criteria which have been discussed and developed within the framework of
  • - the poisoning and pollutant paradigm
  • - the equilibrium paradigm
  • - the sustainability and “Mitwelt” paradigm
  • - the energy and the general technology assessment debate.
  • The resolution of the criteria has to be improved and their range (which is certainly limited) has to be explored more precisely. The application of the criteria should never occur mechanically. Technology assessment and substance assessment are not only scientific, but essentially social and, hence, discursive processes. It is not so much the assessment of individual substances which should be in the center of the debate, but rather the comparative assessment of competing techniques, substances and substancerelated development pathways (see vonGleich andRubik, 1966 as a first approach to assess the environmental effects of old and new materials). According to the example of the energy strategies, only the development of competing strategies in the substance field could create the necessary prerequisites for a broad public discourse and thus for a democratisation of the basic substancerelated policy decisions. This discourse is a duty which science and economy have toward society.  相似文献   
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    Ohne Zusammenfassung Online First: 27. 03. 2002 ‚Sustainable Substitution of Hazardous Substances‚; Projektbeschreibung unter wwwoekopolde oder wwwfh-hamburgdelpers/gleich_von bzw. www.uni-hamburgde/kooperationssteI1e-hh. Das Vorhaben wird vom Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF) im F?rderschwerpunkt ‚Rahmenbedingungen für Innovationen zum nachhaitigen Wirtschaften’ (RIW) gef?rdert und von der GSF als Projekttr?ger betreut (FkZ. O7Riw4).  相似文献   
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    Zusammenfassung  Die Erarbeitung von Kriterien zur vergleichenden Bewertung von Technologien und Stoffen über den toxikologischen Ansatz hinaus und die Entwicklung eines integrierten Kriterienrasters stehen erst am Anfang. Die hier vorgestellten Kriterien aus der Technikanalyse zur Integration des Vorsorgeprinzips in die Stoffund Technikbewertung müssen weiter operationalisiert und vervollst?ndigt werden, ebenso wie die bisher im Rahmen
    –  - des Vergiftungs- bzw. Schadstoffparadigmas
    –  - des Gleichgewichtsparadigmas
    –  - des Nachhaltigkeits- und Mitweltparadigmas
    –  - der Energie-bzw. der allgemeinen Technikbewertungsdebatte diskutierten und entwickelten Kriterien. Ihre Trennsch?rfe mu? verbessert und ihre (sicher begrenzte) Reichweite mu? genauer ausgelotet werden.
    Die Anwendung der Kriterien sollte nie “mechanisch” erfolgen. Technikbewertung und Stoffbewertung sind nicht nur wissenschaftliche, sondern ganz wesentlich gesellschaftliche und damit diskursive Prozesse. Dabei sollte weniger die Bewertung einzelner Stoffe oder Techniken im Zentrum stehen, sondern eher die vergleichende Bewertung konkurrierender Techniken, Stoffe bzw. stofflich-technischer Entwicklungspfade (vgl. z.B. als ersten Ansatz zur Bewertung von Umweltwirkungen alter und neuer Werkstoffe vonGleich undRubik, 1996). Erst die Erarbeitung konkurrierender Entwicklungspfade auch im stofflichtechnischen Bereich nach dem Vorbild der Energiepfade würde die notwendigen Voraussetzungen für einen breiten ?ffentlichen Diskurs schaffen und damit für die Demokratisierung zumindest der grundlegenden technologie- und stoffpolitischen Richtungsentscheidungen. Wissenschaft und Wirtschaft haben diesbezüglich eine Bringschuld gegenüber der Gesellschaft.   相似文献   
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    Protecting our water resources in terms of quality and quantity is considered one of the big challenges of the twenty-first century, which requires global and multidisciplinary solutions. A specific threat to water resources, in particular, is the increased occurrence and frequency of flood events due to climate change which has significant environmental and socioeconomic impacts. In addition to climate change, flooding (or subsequent erosion and run-off) may be exacerbated by, or result from, land use activities, obstruction of waterways, or urbanization of floodplains, as well as mining and other anthropogenic activities that alter natural flow regimes. Climate change and other anthropogenic induced flood events threaten the quantity of water as well as the quality of ecosystems and associated aquatic life. The quality of water can be significantly reduced through the unintentional distribution of pollutants, damage of infrastructure, and distribution of sediments and suspended materials during flood events. To understand and predict how flood events and associated distribution of pollutants may impact ecosystem and human health, as well as infrastructure, large-scale interdisciplinary collaborative efforts are required, which involve ecotoxicologists, hydrologists, chemists, geoscientists, water engineers, and socioeconomists. The research network “project house water” consists of a number of experts from a wide range of disciplines and was established to improve our current understanding of flood events and associated societal and environmental impacts. The concept of project house and similar seed fund and boost fund projects was established by the RWTH Aachen University within the framework of the German excellence initiative with support of the German research foundation (DFG) to promote and fund interdisciplinary research projects and provide a platform for scientists to collaborate on innovative, challenging research. Project house water consists of six proof-of-concept studies in very diverse and interdisciplinary areas of research (ecotoxicology, water, and chemical process engineering, geography, sociology, economy). The goal is to promote and foster high-quality research in the areas of water research and flood-risk assessments that combine and build off-laboratory experiments with modeling, monitoring, and surveys, as well as the use of applied methods and techniques across a variety of disciplines.  相似文献   
    9.
    Phosphate recycling from sewage sludge can be achieved by heavy metal removal from sewage sludge ash (SSA) producing a fertilizer product: mixing SSA with chloride and treating this mixture (eventually after granulation) in a rotary kiln at 1000 ± 100 °C leads to the formation of volatile heavy metal compounds that evaporate and to P-phases with high bio-availability. Due to economical and ecological reasons, it is necessary to reduce the energy consumption of this technology. Generally, fluidized bed reactors are characterized by high heat and mass transfer and thus promise the saving of energy. Therefore, a rotary reactor and a fluidized bed reactor (both laboratory-scale and operated in batch mode) are used for the treatment of granulates containing SSA and CaCl2. Treatment temperature, residence time and - in case of the fluidized bed reactor - superficial velocity are varied between 800 and 900 °C, 10 and 30 min and 3.4 and 4.6 m s−1. Cd and Pb can be removed well (>95 %) in all experiments. Cu removal ranges from 25% to 84%, for Zn 75-90% are realized. The amount of heavy metals removed increases with increasing temperature and residence time which is most pronounced for Cu.In the pellet, three major reactions occur: formation of HCl and Cl2 from CaCl2; diffusion and reaction of these gases with heavy metal compounds; side reactions from heavy metal compounds with matrix material. Although, heat and mass transfer are higher in the fluidized bed reactor, Pb and Zn removal is slightly better in the rotary reactor. This is due the accelerated migration of formed HCl and Cl2 out of the pellets into the reactor atmosphere. Cu is apparently limited by the diffusion of its chloride thus the removal is higher in the fluidized bed unit.  相似文献   
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