Improving Conservation of Florida Manatees (Trichechus manatus latirostris): Conceptualization and Contributions Toward a Regional Warm-Water Network Management Strategy for Sustainable Winter Habitat

We used southwestern Florida as a case study to lay the groundwork for an intended and organized decision-making process for managing warm-water habitat needed by endangered manatees to survive winters in Florida. Scientists and managers have prioritized (a) projecting how the network of warm-water sites will change over the next 50 years as warmed industrial discharges may expire and as flows of natural springs are reduced through redirection of water for human uses, and (b) mitigating such changes to prevent undue consequences to manatees. Given the complexities introduced by manatee ecology; agency organizational structure; shifting public demands; fluctuating resource availability; and managing within interacting cultural, social, political, and environmental contexts, it was clear that a structured decision process was needed. To help promote such a process, we collected information relevant to future decisions including maps of known and suspected warm-water sites and prototyped a characterization of sites and networks. We propose steps that would lead to models that might serve as core tools in manatee/warm-water decision-making, and we summarized topics relevant for informed decision-making (e.g., manatee spatial cognition, risk of cold-stress morbidity and mortality, and human dimensions). A major impetus behind this effort is to ensure proactively that robust modeling tools are available well in advance of the anticipated need for a critical management decision.     

Generality of Models that Predict the Distribution of Species: Conservation Activity and Reduction of Model Transferability for a Threatened Bustard

Abstract:  Predictive models can help clarify the distribution of poorly known species but should display strong transferability when applied to independent data. Nevertheless, model transferability for threatened tropical species is poorly studied. We built models predicting the incidence of the critically endangered Bengal Florican ( Houbaropsis bengalensis ) within the Tonle Sap (TLS) floodplain, Cambodia. Separate models were constructed with soil, land-use, and landscape data and species incidence sampled over the entire floodplain (12,000 km²) and from the Kompong Thom (KT) province (4000 km²). In each case, the probability of Bengal Florican presence within randomly selected 1 × 1 km squares was modeled by binary logistic regression with multimodel inference. We assessed the transferability of the KT model by comparing predictions with observed incidence elsewhere in the floodplain. In terms of standard model-validation statistics, the KT model showed good spatial transferability. Nevertheless, it overpredicted florican presence outside the KT calibration region, classifying 491 km² as suitable habitat compared with 237 km² predicted as suitable by the TLS model. This resulted from higher species incidence within the calibration region, probably owing to a program of conservation education and enforcement that has reduced persecution there. Because both research and conservation activity frequently focus on areas with higher density, such effects could be widespread, reducing transferability of predictive distribution models.     

Suitable Housing Placement: A GIS-Based Approach

The intent of this paper is to operationalize some aspects of local sustainability in a suitable development scenario and to compare its energy-use and environmental impacts to trend development. After a discussion of suburban sprawl, local sustainability, and the current state of the Pennypack Creek Watershed in the Philadelphia metro region, these residential location scenarios are presented. The latter were created using geographic information systems software and are based on projections from the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission. The impacts of the scenarios on energy use, air emissions, greenhouse gas emissions, water quality, and biological integrity were estimated with very few data, and the effect on the value of generic ecosystem services was assessed. The suitable development scenario was 29% better in terms of energy use and air and greenhouse gas emissions, 2.4% worse on water quality, and 2.6% better with respect to biological integrity. Given its net beneficial results, recommendations for policies to engender suitable development are made, and an outline of an implementation plan is proposed. Thoughts regarding refinements of the present work and the applicability of the methods used here to other watersheds conclude the work.     

南北极大气气溶胶单颗粒成分特点研究

运用定量电子探针微区分析技术(EPMA)分别测定了采自北极新奥尔松地区(78?55′N、11?56′E)和南极乔治王岛(62?13′S、58?47′W)极昼天气下PM10大气颗粒物样品.结果表明,北极和南极大气颗粒物化学成分存在很大差异,表现出各自不同的特点.北极的颗粒类型中,“反应的海盐”和“矿物尘”分别占颗粒总数的44%和27%,“新鲜海盐”所占的比例不到10%,“反应的海盐”中以含硝酸盐的颗粒为主,反映了外来物质或人为污染对该地气溶胶影响较大;南极的颗粒类型中,“新鲜海盐”占总数的74%左右,“反应的海盐”占19%,反应的海盐全部含硫酸盐、未发现含硝酸盐的颗粒,推测与海盐反应的含硫物质来源于海洋浮游生物代谢过程产生的二甲硫醚(DMS)及其降解产物,而与人为污染无关.     

畜禽源氨气排放因子估算方法研究

畜禽养殖过程中产生的氨气(NH_3)在人为源NH_3排放中所占的比重较大,对二次气溶胶的形成起重要作用.由于我国畜禽饲养品种多样,各地气候条件和饲养规模存在较大差异,且影响NH_3排放的因素复杂多变,因此,获得准确的畜禽NH_3排放因子较为困难.本文以山西省太原市及其周边地区典型猪场、鸡场、牛场、羊场为实验场所,以杜洛克猪与长白猪的杂交猪、海兰褐蛋鸡、白羽肉鸡、杜泊羊与晋中绵羊的杂交羊、中国黑白花奶牛、金色阿奎丹与西门塔尔杂交肉牛为研究对象,通过3种方法估算它们的NH_3排放因子.结果表明:基于日粮成分和氮代谢沉积率的粗蛋白估算法过程简单、计算便捷、适合所有种类的畜禽,但未考虑NH_3挥发过程中的吸收转化及施肥利用,因而误差较大;基于排泄物含氮率和NH_3挥发率的物质流法涉及粪肥管理的不同阶段,全面考虑了NH_3产生、损失的全过程,与实际情况接近,但参数较多、周期较长、计算过程复杂;基于畜禽舍内NH_3浓度的直接测量法数据来源可靠、参数少,但只能用于相对封闭的环境,不适合牛场和羊场等敞开或半敞开的圈舍,且该方法没有考虑粪尿离开畜禽舍以后的储藏、还田过程,计算结果偏小.通过3种方法的互相印证和比对,猪、奶牛、肉牛、羊、蛋鸡、肉鸡6种实验动物的NH_3排放因子分别为6.90、36.53、22.99、3.94、0.54、0.46 kg·头(只)~(-1)·a~(-1).本研究可以为我国畜禽源NH_3排放因子的本地化测定提供一定的参考,并为准确估算畜禽NH_3排放量、做好农业源NH_3排放清单编制和污染防治工作提供参考.     

Lessons from an Evaluation of a Boater Outreach Program for Manatee Protection

Watercraft collisions account for 25–30% of manatee deaths annually in Florida. Education and outreach interventions for boaters are strategies for reducing manatee mortality. We evaluated the effectiveness of the Manatee Watch program by surveying primary boat users whose boats were approached by Manatee Watch. We compared the attitudes, knowledge, and behavioral intentions of boaters who received Manatee Watch materials with a control group of boaters observed by the Florida Marine Research Institute in Tampa Bay during 1999–2001. Results of the 51-item telephone survey with 499 boaters indicated that the Manatee Watch intervention had little effect on boater’s attitudes, knowledge, and behaviors regarding manatees. However, individual attitude scores were positively correlated with safe boating behaviors in shallow waters including maintaining a slower speed and watching out for manatees. Overall knowledge about manatees was correlated with one manatee-safe boating behavior. To improve efficacy, educators should (a) incorporate evaluation into the planning stages of program development; (b) target messages to influence boaters’ attitudes toward manatees and ecosystem health, and their feelings of ownership and empowerment; (c) facilitate active participation of the boaters; and (d) increase the duration and variety of intervention.