APPLICATION OF GREY MODEL AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS TO FLOOD FORECASTING1

The main focus of this study was to compare the Grey model and several artificial neural network (ANN) models for real time flood forecasting, including a comparison of the models for various lead times (ranging from one to six hours). For hydrological applications, the Grey model has the advantage that it can easily be used in forecasting without assuming that forecast storm events exhibit the same stochastic characteristics as the storm events themselves. The major advantage of an ANN in rainfall‐runoff modeling is that there is no requirement for any prior assumptions regarding the processes involved. The Grey model and three ANN models were applied to a 2,509 km² watershed in the Republic of Korea to compare the results for real time flood forecasting with from one to six hours of lead time. The fifth‐order Grey model and the ANN models with the optimal network architectures, represented by ANN1004 (34 input nodes, 21 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), ANN1010 (40 input nodes, 25 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), and ANN1004T (14 input nodes, 21 hidden nodes, and 1 output node), were adopted to evaluate the effects of time lags and differences between area mean and point rainfall. The Grey model and the ANN models, which provided reliable forecasts with one to six hours of lead time, were calibrated and their datasets validated. The results showed that the Grey model and the ANN1010 model achieved the highest level of performance in forecasting runoff for one to six lead hours. The ANN model architectures (ANN1004 and ANN1010) that used point rainfall data performed better than the model that used mean rainfall data (ANN1004T) in the real time forecasting. The selected models thus appear to be a useful tool for flood forecasting in Korea.     

控制稻田甲烷排放的农业耕作条件的研究

在1990—1992年期间中国环境科学研究院观测了北京地区洼里乡的稻田中甲烷的排放情况。其间农田中施用了有机堆肥和几种化学肥料,以观察化学肥料和有机肥料对甲烷排放的影响。结果显示,在通常的农业耕作条件下本地区甲烷排放水平为17.6mg/m~2·h,并且在整个生长期中间有两个排放高峰,高峰期甲烷排放量占全年排放总量的65％以上,试验结果还显示有机肥料具有增加甲烷排放的作用;化学肥料,如硫胺、尿素等,在其有效作用期间,有抑制甲烷排放的作用,间歇灌溉是有效控制甲烷排放的方法之一。     

Effects of NO,NO<Subscript>2</Subscript>, CO and SO<Subscript>2</Subscript> on NO oxidation over Pt/TiO<Subscript>2</Subscript> for hybrid fast SCR process

The selective catalytic reduction (SCR) rate of NO with N-containing reducing agents can be enhanced considerably by converting part of NO into NO₂. The enhanced reaction rate is more pronounced even at lower temperatures by using an equimolar mixture of NO and NO₂ (fast SCR reaction). The oxidation characteristics of NO over catalyst Pt/TiO₂ have been determined in a fixed bed reactor (8 mm-ID) with different concentrations of oxygen, nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide in the presence of 8% water. The conversion of NO to NO₂ increases with increasing oxygen (O₂) concentration from 3 to 12%, but it levels off at higher O₂ concentrations. The NO conversion to NO₂ decreases with increasing NO concentration and it also decreases by an addition of NO₂ in the feed stream. Therefore, the oxidation of NO over Pt/TiO₂ catalyst could be auto-inhibited by the reaction product of NO₂. The effects of CO and SO₂ on NO oxidation characteristics have also been determined. In fact, the presence of SO₂ significantly suppresses oxidation of NO but due to the less stability of sulfate on anatase structure in TiO₂, it becomes less significant. On the other hand, the presence of CO increases NO oxidation significantly due to the auto-inhibition effect by CO. Moreover, the effect of SO₂/CO on NO oxidation has also been determined and it was observed that NO oxidation decreases with the increase in SO₂/CO ratio.     

模拟酸雨条件下降尘中Cu,Pb,Zn,Cr各形态的溶出和转化研究

本文用Ｔｅｓｓｌｅｒ方法，研究了模拟酸雨条件下，降尘中Ｃｕ，Ｐｂ，Ｚｎ，Ｃｒ各形态的溶出和相互转化。试验表明：（１）降尘中Ｃｕ，Ｃｒ的溶出量随酸雨酸度的增大而增加；Ｐｂ，Ｚｎ没分别在ＰＨ＝３．５和ＰＨ＝４．５时溶出量最大，溶出的金属多源于可交换态和碳酸盐结合态，说明这两种形态的稳定性较差。（２）在模拟酸雨条件下，Ｃｕ，Ｐｂ，Ｚｎ，Ｃｒ各形态的含量发生了较大变化；Ｃｕ从其优势形态有机结合态向可交换态     

水生毒理联合效应相加指数法

在水体中往往是多种污染物共存，它们彼此相互影响，产生协同、加合或拮抗作用。本文以联合效应相加指数法研究污染物对水生生物的毒性作用。     

Volatile Organic Compounds in Ambient Air at Four Residential Locations in Seoul, Korea

To investigate the environmental behavior of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in urban areas, their concentrations were measured at four urban monitoring sites (namely, N, S, E, and W) in Seoul, Korea (February to December 2009). A total of 27 compounds were quantified that consist of four chemical groups: aromatic (AR), halogenated aromatic, halogenated paraffin, and halogenated olefin. Results were evaluated by focusing on these four functional groups just mentioned and their summation term as total VOC (TVOC) along with several individual species (mainly AR species, that is, benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene). The highest concentration of chemical groups was found from AR (71.1±42.1?ppbC), while that for individual species confirmed the dominance of toluene (7.48±3.88?ppb). The analysis of spatial distribution indicated that high TVOC levels were recorded at sites N and W, while it was not so significant such as S and E in terms of TVOC budget. Seasonal variation of these VOCs was characterized by the peak values in December to reflect the combined effects of pronounced source activities and meteorological conditions. Analysis of spatial variations in VOC levels between the four urban sites indicated that their distributions are tightly affected by local source processes in each area.     

Comparisons of human risk assessment models for heavy metal contamination within abandoned metal mine areas in Korea

Environmental Geochemistry and Health - This study was initiated to develop a model specialized to conduct human risk assessments (HRAs) of abandoned metal mine areas in Korea. The Korean guideline...     

生物技术在废水处理中的应用

近年来我国排放的废水日益增多。造成的危害也直来越大。采用生物学方法处理废水具有许多明显的优点。介绍了一些生物学方法在废水处理中的应用进展情况。     

Understanding the effects of the system parameters of an ultrasonic cutting fluid application system for micro-machining

Tool wear in micro-milling poses a serious limitation to increased production rate, and atomized cutting fluids have been shown to be quite effective in increasing tool life in micro-milling operations. A new compact cutting fluid application system has been designed and developed based on ultrasonic atomization. In order to understand the effects of the system input parameters on system performance, two performance measures have been defined in terms of spray characteristics and experiments have been performed to evaluate the system according to the defined performance measures. Based on the experimental results, the system parameters can be adjusted to obtain the desired spray characteristics, and areas of improvement on the design have been identified.     

Probing system for measurement of micro-scale components

The need for quality control of the complex micro-structure has been growing due to increased production of parts with complex 3D micro-scale features. However, wide use of 3D metrology of miniature parts is difficult due to the lack of cost-effective and precise probing system at the micro-scale. This paper introduces a new probing system using a wire-based probe and acoustic emission (AE)-based sensing method. The design of the probing system allows the size of the probe to be varied relatively easily. Repeatability of less than 1 μm has been achieved with the proposed probing system.