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ERIC N. POWELL JOHN M. KLINCK EILEEN E. HOFMANN MARGARET A. McMANUS 《Environmental management》2003,31(1):0100-0121
A hydrodynamic–oyster population model was developed to assess the effect of changes in freshwater inflow on oyster populations
in Galveston Bay, Texas, USA. The population model includes the effects of environmental conditions, predators, and the oyster
parasite, Perkinsus marinus, on oyster populations. The hydrodynamic model includes the effects of wind stress, river runoff, tides, and oceanic exchange
on the circulation of the bay. Simulations were run for low, mean, and high freshwater inflow conditions under the present
(1993) hydrology and predicted hydrologies for 2024 and 2049 that include both changes in total freshwater inflow and diversions
of freshwater from one primary drainage basin to another.
Freshwater diversion to supply the Houston metropolitan area is predicted to negatively impact oyster production in Galveston
Bay. Fecundity and larval survivorship both decline. Mortality from Perkinsus marinus increases, but to a lesser extent. A larger negative impact in 2049 relative to 2024 originates from the larger drop in fecundity
under that hydrology. Changes in recruitment and mortality, resulting in lowered oyster abundance, occur because the bay volume
available for mixing freshwater input from the San Jacinto and Buffalo Bayou drainage basins that drain metropolitan Houston
is small in comparison to the volume of Trinity Bay that presently receives the bulk of the bay's freshwater inflow. A smaller
volume for mixing results in salinities that decline more rapidly and to a greater extent under conditions of high freshwater
discharge.
Thus, the decline in oyster abundance results from a disequilibrium between geography and salinity brought about by freshwater
diversion. Although the bay hydrology shifts, available hard substrate does not. The simulations stress the fact that it is
not just the well-appreciated reduction in freshwater inflow that can result in decreased oyster production. Changing the
location of freshwater inflow can also significantly impact the bay environment, even if the total amount of freshwater inflow
does not change. 相似文献
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By the end of 1991, less than half the amount of relief food requested for North Sudan at the beginning of the year had been delivered. Despite ample evidence of social and economic stress and high rates of child malnutrition, many donors felt that relief needs had been exaggerated, and were unwilling to accept that relief assistance was urgently needed. The feeble response of the main food aid donors is explained initially by the politics of relief in 1990/91, which seriously delayed the launch of the relief operation. These problems were compounded by an oversimplified understanding of famine among some sections of the relief community, and by the orientation of the international relief system to crisis indicators. Toward the end of 1991, donors argued that despite the shortfall in relief assistance there had been no deaths from starvation, and therefore local people had 'coped' better than expected. This paper challenges that view by arguing that excess deaths did occur, but went unnoticed and unremarked. Local people's 'coping strategies', which supposedly 'saved the day', actually had very negative and sometimes fatal consequences. 相似文献
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KATE A. HARDWICK PEGGY FIEDLER LYNDON C. LEE BRUCE PAVLIK RICHARD J. HOBBS JAMES ARONSON MARTIN BIDARTONDO ERIC BLACK DAVID COATES MATTHEW I. DAWS KINGSLEY DIXON STEPHEN ELLIOTT KERN EWING GEORGE GANN DAVID GIBBONS JOACHIM GRATZFELD MARTIN HAMILTON DAVID HARDMAN JIM HARRIS PAT M. HOLMES MEIRION JONES DAVID MABBERLEY ANDREW MACKENZIE CARLOS MAGDALENA ROBERT MARRS WILLIAM MILLIKEN ANTHONY MILLS EIMEAR NIC LUGHADHA MARGARET RAMSAY PAUL SMITH NIGEL TAYLOR CLARE TRIVEDI MICHAEL WAY OLIVER WHALEY STEPHEN D. HOPPER 《Conservation biology》2011,25(2):265-275
Abstract: Many of the skills and resources associated with botanic gardens and arboreta, including plant taxonomy, horticulture, and seed bank management, are fundamental to ecological restoration efforts, yet few of the world's botanic gardens are involved in the science or practice of restoration. Thus, we examined the potential role of botanic gardens in these emerging fields. We believe a reorientation of certain existing institutional strengths, such as plant‐based research and knowledge transfer, would enable many more botanic gardens worldwide to provide effective science‐based support to restoration efforts. We recommend botanic gardens widen research to include ecosystems as well as species, increase involvement in practical restoration projects and training practitioners, and serve as information hubs for data archiving and exchange. 相似文献
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MARISKA WEIJERMAN C. MARK EAKIN PAUL MCELHANY MARGARET W. MILLER MATT PATTERSON GREGORY A. PINIAK MATTHEW J. DUNLAP CHARLES BIRKELAND 《Conservation biology》2013,27(6):1169-1178
Many marine invertebrate species facing potential extinction have uncertain taxonomies and poorly known demographic and ecological traits. Uncertainties are compounded when potential extinction drivers are climate and ocean changes whose effects on even widespread and abundant species are only partially understood. The U.S. Endangered Species Act mandates conservation management decisions founded on the extinction risk to species based on the best available science at the time of consideration—requiring prompt action rather than awaiting better information. We developed an expert‐opinion threat‐based approach that entails a structured voting system to assess extinction risk from climate and ocean changes and other threats to 82 coral species for which population status and threat response information was limited. Such methods are urgently needed because constrained budgets and manpower will continue to hinder the availability of desired data for many potentially vulnerable marine species. Significant species‐specific information gaps and uncertainties precluded quantitative assessments of habitat loss or population declines and necessitated increased reliance on demographic characteristics and threat vulnerabilities at genus or family levels. Adapting some methods (e.g., a structured voting system) used during other assessments and developing some new approaches (e.g., integrated assessment of threats and demographic characteristics), we rated the importance of threats contributing to coral extinction risk and assessed those threats against population status and trend information to evaluate each species’ extinction risk over the 21st century. This qualitative assessment resulted in a ranking with an uncertainty range for each species according to their estimated likelihood of extinction. We offer guidance on approaches for future biological extinction risk assessments, especially in cases of data‐limited species likely to be affected by global‐scale threats. Incorporación del Cambio Climático y Oceánico en Estudios de Riesgo de Extinción para 82 Especies de Coral 相似文献
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JEREMY S. BROOKS MARGARET A. FRANZEN CHRISTOPHER M. HOLMES† MARK N. GROTE‡ MONIQUE BORGERHOFF MULDER‡§ 《Conservation biology》2006,20(5):1528-1538
Abstract: Evaluations of the success of different conservation strategies are still in their infancy. We used four different measures of project outcomes—ecological, economic, attitudinal, and behavioral—to test hypotheses derived from the assumptions that underlie contemporary conservation solutions. Our hypotheses concerned the effects of natural resource utilization, market integration, decentralization, and community homogeneity on project success. We reviewed the conservation and development literature and used a specific protocol to extract and code the information in a sample of papers. Although our results are by no means conclusive and suffer from the paucity of high-quality data and independent monitoring (80% of the original sample of 124 projects provided inadequate information for use in this study), they show that permitted use of natural resources, market access, and greater community involvement in the conservation project are all important factors for a successful outcome. Without better monitoring schemes in place, it is still impossible to provide a systematic evaluation of how different strategies are best suited to different conservation challenges. 相似文献
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Abstract: The umbrella‐species concept, which suggests that conservation strategies designed for one species may benefit co‐occurring species, has been promoted as a framework for conservation planning. Nevertheless, there has been considerable variation in the outcome of empirical tests of this concept that has led researchers to question its value, so we used data from 15 published studies in a meta‐analysis to evaluate whether conservation of putative umbrella species also conserves co‐occurring species. We tested the effectiveness of putative umbrella species categorized by taxonomic group, taxonomic similarity to co‐occurring species, body size, generality of resource use, and trophic level to evaluate criteria proposed to guide the selection of umbrella species. We compared species richness and number of individuals (by species and higher taxonomic group) between sites with and without putative umbrella species to test whether more co‐occurring species were present in greater abundances when the area or resource needs of umbrella species were met. Species richness and abundance of co‐occurring species were consistently higher in sites where umbrella species were present than where they were not and for conservation schemes with avian than with mammalian umbrella species. There were no differences in species richness or species abundance with resource generalist or specialist umbrella species or based on taxonomic similarity of umbrella and co‐occurring species. Taxonomic group abundance was higher in across‐taxonomic umbrella species schemes than when umbrella species were of the same taxon as co‐occurring species. Co‐occurring species had similar, or higher, species richness with small‐bodied umbrella species relative to larger‐bodied umbrella species. The only significant difference among umbrella species categorized by trophic level was that species richness was higher with omnivorous than it was with carnivorous avian umbrella species. Our results suggest there is merit to the umbrella‐species concept for conservation, but they do not support the use of the criteria we used to identify umbrella species. 相似文献