Forecasting China’s primary energy demand based on an improved AI model

An improved energy demand forecasting model is built based on the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach and an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) to obtain credible energy demand forecasting results. The ARDL bounds analysis is first employed to select the appropriate input variables of the energy demand model. After the existence of a cointegration relationship in the model is confirmed, the AGA is then employed to optimize the coefficients of both linear and quadratic forms with gross domestic product, economic structure, urbanization, and technological progress as the input variables. On the basis of historical annual data from 1985 to 2015, the simulation results indicate that the proposed model has greater accuracy and reliability than conventional optimization methods. The predicted results of the proposed model also demonstrate that China will demand approximately 4.9, 5.6, and 6.1 billion standard tons of coal equivalent in 2020, 2025, and 2030, respectively.     

磁絮凝处理废水工艺条件的响应曲面法优化研究

以聚硅硫酸铁(PFSS)为絮凝剂、磁流体为磁种,采用磁絮凝法处理模拟废水。在正交实验基础上,利用Matlab软件进行响应曲面分析,研究磁絮凝法处理模拟废水的各因素间具有的交互作用关系。回归拟合结果表明最佳工艺条件为:PFSS加入量36.8g/L,模拟废水pH7.4,磁种加入量14.7mg/L,搅拌转速266r/min。在最佳工艺条件下进行实验,TP去除率为97.70%。     

Green research and development activities and SO2 intensity: an analysis for China

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Carrying out domestic research and development (R&D) activities can improve environmental performance. However, extant studies have not...     

一体式膜曝气生物膜反应器实现部分亚硝化-厌氧氨氧化耦合生物除磷

针对我国城市生活污水碳氮比低、处理成本高及氮磷同步去除存在碳源竞争等问题,构建了一体式膜曝气生物膜反应器（Membrane aerated biofilm reactor, MABR）,分别采用纯生物膜系统和生物膜-絮体污泥复合系统,逐步实现了部分亚硝化-厌氧氨氧化与生物除磷工艺在单一反应器中的耦合及低碳氮比城市生活污水中氮、磷的高效去除.结果表明,第1阶段（纯生物膜系统）,在进水中仅含有氨氮的条件下, 部分亚硝化-厌氧氨氧化工艺的NH₄⁺-N和TN去除率分别为65.39%和50.67%.第2阶段（生物膜-絮体污泥复合系统）,进水中增加了有机物,在COD/TN为3的条件下,TN和PO₄^3--P的去除率分别达到89.90%和70.42%,实现了氮和磷的同步高效去除.微生物群落分析结果表明,反应器内存在大量的变形菌门（Proteobacteria）和拟杆菌门（Bacteroidota）,其中,Proteobacteria在生物膜和絮体污泥均有分布,而Bacteroidota主要分布于絮体污泥;反应器内还检测到了Candidatus Kuenenia、Candidatus Jettenia和Candidatus Brocadia 3种厌氧氨氧化菌,且 Candidatus Brocadia为优势菌属,其在生物膜上的丰度达到了3.23%;此外,Candidatus Competibacter、Defluviicoccus等聚糖菌和聚磷菌Candidatus Accumulibacter、Dechloromonas在反应器内均有大量富集,共同构成了该生物膜-絮体污泥复合系统,实现了低碳氮比城市生活污水的同步脱氮除磷.     

河北平原土壤重金属人为污染的富集因子分析

在环境地球化学研究中,自然异常与人为异常往往同时存在,因此要判断环境污染状况,从自然异常中分离人为异常是十分重要的。文章根据重金属元素的环境地球化学行为,采用富集因子来判别河北平原表层土壤中重金属的人为污染情况。以4 km^2为一个评价单元,选择Zr为标准化元素,分别以河北太行山区岩石平均值及该评价单元所对应的深层土壤样品的分析值为地球化学背景,计算得到了河北平原表层土壤中重金属元素的两组富集因子值,分别用EF和CEF表示。结果表明,除As、Ni外,其它重金属元素的EF和CEF分布特征基本一致。按CEF计算结果,该区表层土壤约有50%的区域（约40 000 km^2）发生了1级轻微的重金属污染;As、Cr、Cu、Ni、Pb、Zn约有1%～5%的少部分区域发生了2级中度以上重金属污染;Cd、Hg达到2级中度污染的面积为河北平原总面积的14.7%和49.6%,达到3级显著污染级别以上分别为1.1%（880 km^2）和12.6%（10 080 km^2）。重金属污染主要分布在工矿区（如冀东北部地区的铁矿集区、白洋淀及周边的小冶炼厂集中区）、污灌区（如唐海县的Cd异常、石家庄及其南部的河两岸的多金属异常）、大中城镇（Hg异常）。河北平原的实例研究表明,应用富集因子可有效区分重金属污染的自然影响和人为影响。     

A passive air sampler for characterizing the vertical concentration profile of gaseous phase polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in near soil surface air

Air-soil exchange is an important process governing the fate of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). A novel passive air sampler was designed and tested for measuring the vertical concentration profile of 4 low molecular weight PAHs in gaseous phase (PAH_LMW4) in near soil surface air. Air at various heights from 5 to 520 mm above the ground was sampled by polyurethane foam disks held in down-faced cartridges. The samplers were tested at three sites: A: an extremely contaminated site, B: a site near A, and C: a background site on a university campus. Vertical concentration gradients were revealed for PAH_LMW4 within a thin layer close to soil surface at the three sites. PAH concentrations either decreased (Site A) or increased (Sites B and C) with height, suggesting either deposition to or evaporation from soils. The sampler is a useful tool for investigating air-soil exchange of gaseous phase semi-volatile organic chemicals.     

近水平层状砂泥岩互层边坡悬臂梁崩塌机理研究——以志丹县牛沟川河流塌岸为例

志丹县的河流岸坡常表现为坡脚泥岩凹进、 坡体砂岩凸出的悬臂梁形式,崩塌灾害时有发生.以志丹县"牛沟川河流塌岸"为对象,研究了近水平层状砂泥岩互层边坡悬臂梁崩塌的破坏机理.经现场调查,塌岸边坡破坏类型为悬臂梁式崩塌,悬臂梁危岩体的主要成因为河流的长期侧向侵蚀作用及砂泥岩互层的长期差异风化作用;在现场调查基础上,考虑自重、...     

热效应对焦煤甲烷解吸迟滞特征的影响研究*

为揭示煤中甲烷气体的储运机制,选取井下煤样研究不同温度条件下甲烷气体的等温吸附解吸实验。基于Langmuir模型、等量吸附热计算模型和解吸迟滞系数对实验数据进行分析,研究煤中甲烷气体解吸迟滞现象的热力学特征。结果表明:随温度升高,Langmuir模型得到的吸附常数均呈下降趋势;甲烷解吸迟滞现象明显,迟滞程度随温度升高缓慢下降;受解吸迟滞效应影响,相邻温度区间内吸附曲线的等量吸附热较为相近,不同温度区间内解吸曲线的等量吸附热高于吸附曲线,差异显著;解吸迟滞现象影响煤层甲烷含量预测的准确性,并且解吸曲线的热力学特征规律性较差。     

大气中氟化物和二氧化硫对连云港市郊果树、蔬菜的影响

通过植物监测,对连云港市郊局部地区果树、蔬菜等连年来品质产量下降的原因进行研究。结果发现大气中氟化物(HF)含量高,局部以化工为主的地区污染较为突出,已对果树、蔬菜造成直接危害。此外,二氧化硫(SO_2)及其复合污染也存在一定影响。