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Hydrologic modelling for Lake Basaka: development and application of a conceptual water budget model
Megersa O. Dinka Willibald Loiskandl Julius M. Ndambuki 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2014,186(9):5363-5379
Quantification of fluxes of water into and out of terminal lakes like Basaka has fundamental challenges. This is due to the fact that accurate measurement and quantification of most of the parameters of a lake’s hydrologic cycle are difficult. Furthermore, quantitative understanding of the hydrologic systems and hence, the data-intensive modelling is difficult in developing countries like Ethiopia due to limitation of sufficient recorded data. Therefore, formulation of a conceptual water balance model is extremely important as it presents a convenient analytical tool with simplified assumptions to simulate the magnitude of unknown fluxes. In the current study, a conceptual lake water balance model was systematically formulated, solved, calibrated, and validated successfully. Then, the surface water and groundwater interaction was quantified, and a mathematical relationship developed. The overall agreement between the observed and simulated lake stage at monthly time step was confirmed based on the standard performance parameters (R 2, MAE, RMSE, E f). The result showed that hydrological water balance of the lake is dominated by the groundwater (GW) component. The net GW flux in recent period (post-2000s) accounts about 56 % of the total water inflow. Hence, GW plays a leading role in the hydrodynamics and existence of Lake Basaka and is mostly responsible for the expansion of the lake. Thus, identification of the potential sources/causes for the GW flux plays a leading role in order to limit the further expansion of the lake. Measurement of GW movement and exchange in the area is a high priority for future research. 相似文献
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Long-term effects of clear-cutting and selective cutting on soil methane fluxes in a temperate spruce forest in southern Germany 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Wu X Brüggemann N Gasche R Papen H Willibald G Butterbach-Bahl K 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2011,159(10):2467-2475
Based on multi-year measurements of CH4 exchange in sub-daily resolution we show that clear-cutting of a forest in Southern Germany increased soil temperature and moisture and decreased CH4 uptake. CH4 uptake in the first year after clear-cutting (−4.5 ± 0.2 μg C m−2 h−1) was three times lower than during the pre-harvest period (−14.2 ± 1.3 μg C m−2 h−1). In contrast, selective cutting did not significantly reduce CH4 uptake. Annual mean uptake rates were −1.18 kg C ha−1 yr−1 (spruce control), −1.16 kg C ha−1 yr−1 (selective cut site) and −0.44 kg C ha−1 yr−1 (clear-cut site), respectively. Substantial seasonal and inter-annual variations in CH4 fluxes were observed as a result of significant variability of weather conditions, demonstrating the need for long-term measurements. Our findings imply that a stepwise selective cutting instead of clear-cutting may contribute to mitigating global warming by maintaining a high CH4 uptake capacity of the soil. 相似文献
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Willibald S 《Disasters》2006,30(3):316-339
This paper analyses the relevance and potential of cash transfers as part of the disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR) assistance packages provided to ex-combatants in transitions from war to peace. To this end, a theoretical framework is established that permits the identification of the advantages and disadvantages of using cash in DDR. Subsequently, an empirical analysis is carried out to compare selected theoretical assumptions on the use of cash with the reality of lessons learned from recent experience in Sierra Leone and other African countries. The study shows that some theoretical drawbacks commonly associated with the use of cash in DDR processes may indeed bear out in practice. At the same time, though, the paper argues that the utility of cash transfers in DDR is affected by a variety of factors that go far beyond the simple choice of employing cash, most notably decisions on payment location, eligibility criteria and targeting. 相似文献
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Anat Bernstein Eilon Adar Zeev Ronen Harald Lowag Willibald Stichler Rainer U. Meckenstock 《Journal of contaminant hydrology》2010,111(1-4):25-35
Isotope analysis was used to examine the extent of hexahydro-1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazine (RDX) biodegradation in groundwater along a ca. 1.35-km contamination plume. Biodegradation was proposed as a natural attenuating remediation method for the contaminated aquifer. By isotope analysis of RDX, the extent of biodegradation was found to reach up to 99.5% of the initial mass at a distance of 1.15–1.35 km down gradient from the contamination sources. A range of first-order biodegradation rates was calculated based on the degradation extents, with average half-life values ranging between 4.4 and 12.8 years for RDX biodegradation in the upper 15 m of the aquifer, assuming purely aerobic biodegradation, and between 10.9 and 31.2 years, assuming purely anaerobic biodegradation. Based on the geochemical data, an aerobic biodegradation pathway was suggested as the dominant attenuation process at the site. The calculated biodegradation rate was correlated with depth, showing decreasing degradation rates in deeper groundwater layers. Exceptionally low first-order kinetic constants were found in a borehole penetrating the bottom of the aquifer, with half life ranging between 85.0 to 161.5 years, assuming purely aerobic biodegradation, and between 207.5 and 394.3 years, assuming purely anaerobic biodegradation.The study showed that stable isotope fractionation analysis is a suitable tool to detect biodegradation of RDX in the environment. Our findings clearly indicated that RDX is naturally biodegraded in the contaminated aquifer. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first reported use of RDX isotope analysis to quantify its biodegradation in contaminated aquifers. 相似文献
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David Baguma Willibald Loiskandl 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2010,15(4):355-369
Rainwater harvesting (RWH) is practised to mitigate water shortages in both household chores and agricultural use. This paper
examines the relationship between adoption of household RWH technologies in rural Uganda (dependant variable), and the influence
of independent variables (household characteristics such as age or monthly cash income, household perception including attitude
or risk preference, and institutional and policy-assumed variables such as household’s contact with extension workers, RWH-subsidy
provision, information flow channels and local community financial sources) that potentially influence technological adoption.
Logistic regression techniques were used on a random sample of 224 respondents to ascertain the influence of variables on
adoption of household RWH technologies. Analyses of hypothesised relationships revealed that subsidy provision was statistically
significant for adoption of RWH technologies in rural Uganda. Overall, the paper suggests the consideration of household RWH
subsidies in form of hardware when promoting adoption of RWH technologies. Moreover, when subsidies in the form of RWH construction
materials are provided, the chances of having a RWH system installed seem more likely than when cash is provided owing to
the many options cash can be used to purchase. Furthermore, household subsidy provision will produce immediate improvement
in rural water supply, fostering the probability of adoption of rainwater technologies, a choice that can be made with regard
to the form or level of public subsidy received depending on institutional and policy interventions. 相似文献