Application of a checklist for quality assistance in environmental modelling to an energy model

Large, complex energy models present considerable challenges to develop and test. Uncertainty assessments of such models provide only partial guidance on the quality of the results. We have developed a model quality assistance checklist to aid in this purpose. The model checklist provides diagnostic output in the form of a set of pitfalls for the model application. The checklist is applied here to an energy model for the problem of assessing energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. Use of the checklist suggests that results on this issue are contingent on a number of assumptions that are highly value-laden. When these assumptions are held fixed, the model is deemed capable of producing moderately robust results of relevance to climate policy over the longer term. Checklist responses also indicate that a number of details critical to policy choices or outcomes on this issue are not captured in the model, and model results should therefore be supplemented with alternative analyses.     

北欧湖泊鱼类状况调查:酸化、富营养化和放养活动对现有鱼类品种组成的影响

1995～1997年间对挪威、瑞典和芬兰的3821个湖泊的鱼类种群状况做了评估.采用分层随机抽样从芬诺斯堪的亚(芬兰、挪威、瑞典、丹麦的总称)所有面积≥0.04km2的126482个湖泊中选择调查湖泊.分析了湖泊的水化学,湖内鱼类状况则从邮件调查问卷中获得.鱼类种群损失发生最为频繁的地区在挪威南部酸化最严重的地区,而在芬诺斯堪的亚东部最少.根据调查问卷,鳟(Salmotrutta)、拟鲤(Rutilus rutilus)、北极红点鲑(Salvelinus alpinus)和鲈鱼(Percafluviatilis)鱼群损失的数量估计超过10000条.这些品种的鱼群潜在地受低碱性湖水影响的数量超过11000条.大约有3300个湖泊显示出总磷高于25μg/L,品种以鲤科鱼为主,这在芬诺斯堪的亚东部、芬兰西南最为明显.这次调查并未显示出鱼类品种由于富营养化而灭绝.1/3的湖泊人工放养了至少一个新的鱼类品种,最常放养的品种有鳟、白鲑(Coregonus lavaretus s.1.)、北极红点鲑、虹鳟(Oncorhynchusmykiss)、梭鲈(Stizostedion lucioperca)、茴鱼(Thymallus thymallus)、狗鱼(Esox lucius)、欧鳊(Abramis brama)、丁 (Tinca tinca)和欧 (Phoxinus phoxinus).在芬诺斯堪的亚湖泊,这些品种的人工放养量估计超过52000群.因此,北欧湖泊现有鱼类品种的数量最近受放养的影响超过了因环境变化如酸化等而损失造成的影响.     

陆地生态系统的恢复--模拟全球变化所引起的酸性输入减少和海盐输入增加的影响

到2010年<哥德堡议定书>正式实施时,欧洲自20世纪70年代末以来已减少的酸化硫和氮释放量将进一步减少.这里我们论述了通过使用应用于3个大型"清洁雨"实验(即分别在挪威里斯达尔谢伊阿[Risdalsheia],瑞典耶德松[Gardsjon]以及丹麦克洛斯特海泽[Klosterhede]的所谓"屋顶实验")的酸化模型MAGIC讨论恢复酸化陆地生态系统的结果.<哥德堡议定书>的实施将启动通过重建盐基饱和恢复上述3处土壤的进程.恢复率较低,在今后30年中,盐基饱和增加不足5%.气候引发的风暴严重性的加剧将增加海盐输入生态系统的量.这将为土壤提供额外的碱阳离子,并使恢复速度翻一番,同时还将随着沉积的碱阳离子与存储在土壤中的酸性交换导致高海盐输入之后的强酸性脉动.因此,酸化集水区土壤和径流的进一步恢复将取决于酸沉积下降的数量和速率,在近岸系统的情况下,还取决于海盐输入事件的频率和强度.     

Echolocation calls of Poey’s flower bat (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Phyllonycteris poeyi</Emphasis>) unlike those of other phyllostomids

Unlike any other foraging phyllostomid bat studied to date, Poey’s flower bats (Phyllonycteris poeyi-Phyllostomidae) emit relatively long (up to 7.2 ms), intense, single-harmonic echolocation calls. These calls are readily detectable at distances of at least 15 m. Furthermore, the echolocation calls contain only the first harmonic, which is usually filtered out in the vocal tract of phyllostomids. The foraging echolocation calls of P. poeyi are more like search-phase echolocation calls of sympatric aerial-feeding bats (Molossidae, Vespertilionidae, Mormoopidae). Intense, long, narrowband, single-harmonic echolocation calls focus acoustic energy maximizing range and favoring detection, which may be particularly important for cruising bats, like P. poeyi, when flying in the open. Flying in enclosed spaces, P. poeyi emit short, low-intensity, frequency-modulated, multiharmonic echolocation calls typical of other phyllostomids. This is the first report of a phyllostomid species emitting long, intense, single-harmonic echolocation calls with most energy in the first harmonic.     

Production of new concrete with leather tannery waste used as partial replacement of the natural sand

Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management - Leather production is a technology that boosts the economy because of its versatility and durability. However, the wastes generated throughout the...     

Challenges in quantifying biosphere-atmosphere exchange of nitrogen species

Recent research in nitrogen exchange with the atmosphere has separated research communities according to N form. The integrated perspective needed to quantify the net effect of N on greenhouse-gas balance is being addressed by the NitroEurope Integrated Project (NEU). Recent advances have depended on improved methodologies, while ongoing challenges include gas-aerosol interactions, organic nitrogen and N(2) fluxes. The NEU strategy applies a 3-tier Flux Network together with a Manipulation Network of global-change experiments, linked by common protocols to facilitate model application. Substantial progress has been made in modelling N fluxes, especially for N(2)O, NO and bi-directional NH(3) exchange. Landscape analysis represents an emerging challenge to address the spatial interactions between farms, fields, ecosystems, catchments and air dispersion/deposition. European up-scaling of N fluxes is highly uncertain and a key priority is for better data on agricultural practices. Finally, attention is needed to develop N flux verification procedures to assess compliance with international protocols.