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This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an European-wide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The project aimed at improving the framing of climate policy analysis through the parallel use of various existing integrated assessment models. It provides a comprehensive examination of the link between uncertainty regarding damages and inertia in economic systems. Results show that the Kyoto targets and timing are consistent with the precautionary principle but offers little insurance for longer-term climate protection. Flexibility mechanisms offer potentials for cooperation with developing countries, and are necessary to tap the environmental and economic benefits of joint carbon and sulfur emissions abatement.  相似文献   
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Femtosecond time-resolved coherent anti-Stokes Raman spectroscopy (CARS) is applied in order to prepare and monitor laser-induced vibrational coherences (wave packets) of different samples mainly in its electronic ground state but also in excited states. The time evolution of these wave packets gives information on the dynamics of molecular vibrations. In a first example the femtosecond (fs) CARS transients of iodine are investigated. By changing the relative delay between the applied laser pulses of this non-degenerated four-wave mixing technique, both the wavepacket motion on the electronically excited and the ground states can be detected as oscillations in the coherent anti-Stokes signal. Second we report on selective excitation of the vibrational modes in the electronic ground state of polymers of diacetylene by means of a femtosecond time-resolved CARS scheme. This selectivity is achieved by varying the phase shape (chirp) and the relative delay between the exciting laser pulses.  相似文献   
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The paper reviews base year emission inventories, driving forces, and long-term scenarios of sulfur emissions as background material for developing a new set of IPCC emissions scenarios. The paper concludes that future sulfur emission trends will be spatially heterogeneous (decline in OECD countries, rapid increase particularly in Asia) and therefore cannot be modeled at a global scale only. In view of ecosystems and food production impacts future sulfur emissions will need to be increasingly controlled also outside OECD countries. As a result, future sulfur emissions are likely to remain significantly below the values projected in the previous IPCC IS92 high emissions scenarios.  相似文献   
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The present understanding of the physics and technology problems of confining a hot plasma ring by magnetic fields and of heating it to such temperatures that thermonuclear fusions between deuterium and tritium nuclei provide the energy required to maintain this temperature seems to allow to predict the possibility of a self-sustaining thermonuclear reactor. Imbedding this chance into world energy scenarios for the next fifty years, it is shown that fusion reactors of a type of which each may supply about ten slow fission reactors with fissionable material may play a critical rôle by drastically reducing the number of required fast fission breeder reactors.  相似文献   
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