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Serge I. P. Stalpers André R. van Amstel Rob B. Dellink Ivo Mulder Saskia E. Werners Carolien Kroeze 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(4):359-378
This article discusses an approach for identification and evaluation of short-term greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction
options in firms. The approach is based on lessons learnt from a project using Participatory Integrated Assessment (PIA) and
builds on the idea that effective public climate policy for firms requires options that have support from stakeholders and
are practically feasible. Scenarios are used to provide a link with short-term policy developments and a model assists to
communicate quantitative effects of options to participating stakeholders. Our approach can be seen as a first step towards
a framework that meets the need for more systematic approaches to PIAs identifying effective public policies for short-term
GHG emission reduction options in firms. In order to identify effective options for non-carbon dioxide GHG emission reductions,
our approach has been applied to Dutch dairy farms, after which it has been refined. The case study suggests that our approach
can provide balance between practical, context specific issues and scientific-theoretical aspects, thereby avoiding common
pitfalls of participatory research projects to focus too much on either theory or practical issues.
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Serge I. P. StalpersEmail: |
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Silke Gabbert Martin van Ittersum Carolien Kroeze Serge Stalpers Frank Ewert Johanna Alkan Olsson 《Regional Environmental Change》2010,10(2):131-143
Integrated Assessment (IA) models aim at providing information- and decision-support to complex problems. This paper argues
that uncertainty analysis in IA models should be user-driven in order to strengthen science–policy interaction. We suggest
an approach to uncertainty analysis that starts with investigating model users’ demands for uncertainty information. These
demands are called “uncertainty information needs”. Identifying model users’ uncertainty information needs allows focusing the analysis on those uncertainties which users
consider relevant and meaningful. As an illustrative example, we discuss the case of examining users’ uncertainty information
needs in the SEAMLESS Integrated Framework (SEAMLESS-IF), an IA model chain for assessing and comparing alternative agricultural
and environmental policy options. The most important user group of SEAMLESS-IF are policy experts at the European and national
level. Uncertainty information needs of this user group were examined in an interactive process during the development of
SEAMLESS-IF and by using a questionnaire. Results indicate that users’ information requirements differed from the uncertainty
categories considered most relevant by model developers. In particular, policy experts called for addressing a broader set
of uncertainty sources (e.g. model structure and technical model setup). The findings highlight that investigating users’
uncertainty information needs is an essential step towards creating confidence in an IA model and its outcomes. This alone,
however, may not be sufficient for effectively implementing a user-oriented uncertainty analysis in such models. As the case
study illustrates, it requires to include uncertainty analysis into user participation from the outset of the IA modelling
process. 相似文献
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The aim of this study is to understand the ‘reconciliation process’ between model results and user needs in Participatory Integrated Assessments. This process is analyzed for the Delft Dialogue, a project in which scientists and UNFCCC delegates used the IMAGE model to assess the consequences of different climate policy proposals. The Delft Dialogue consisted of five iterations in which model results were presented and requests for new analyses were prioritized. These requests were diverse, changed over time and linked long-term model projections with short-term policy targets. We conclude that two factors played an essential role in the reconciliation process in the Delft Dialogue: (1) user requests were identified in iterative interactions and guided the selection of model analyses and (2) model analyses were co-produced by participants and modelers. This Dialogue shows that reconciliation processes can be facilitated through a transparent, interactive and iterative process where user needs are elicited to guide the choice for model analyses. 相似文献
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