国际铁矿石定价机制改变与我国铁矿石进口量变化的实证分析

随着我国对外贸易和国内钢铁企业的发展,我国铁矿石进口量大幅上升,已成为全球最大的铁矿石消费国。与此同时,国际铁矿石巨头摒弃长期协议定价机制,单方面推行季度、 指数等定价模式。为了认识国际铁矿石定价机制改变对我国铁矿石进口的影响,论文基于铁矿石进口量、 铁矿石价格、 国内原矿产量等统计指标的月度数据,通过定性分析与Granger因果检验,综合判断国际铁矿石定价机制改变与铁矿石进口量变化之间的关系。结果表明:近两年我国铁矿石进口量的短期波动频繁;国际铁矿石定价机制改变引起的铁矿石价格震荡是导致我国铁矿石进口量波动的主要动因;结合国内外形势判断,未来一段时期内我国铁矿石进口量的短期波动还会持续。     

加速环境制度变革 推动经济社会科学发展

党的十八大以科学发展观为指导,提出了推进生态文明、建设美丽中国的战略任务,生态文明是我党创造性地回答经济发展与资源环境关系问题所取得的最新理论成果,为统筹人与自然和谐发展指明了前进方向。改革开放的中国,社会经济高速发     

太湖湖心区的痕量金属历史沉积过程研究

以太湖湖心区的沉积物为研究对象,解析了湖心区痕量金属的沉积通量年变化,探明了湖心区痕量金属的历史沉积情况.结果表明:湖心区各样点沉积物的沉积速率从1950年以前的(0.032±0.023)g·cm-2·a-1缓慢递增到1980前后的(0.076±0.030)g·cm-2·a-1,1980年后突增明显,在2000年后达到(0.185±0.132)g·cm-2·a-1.湖心区沉积物中8种痕量金属(钒、铬、镍、铜、锌、砷、镉和铅)的含量年变化没有明显递增趋势,在20世纪80年代(对应沉积柱4~9 cm深度处)前后相差不大(变幅小于20%).但8种金属元素的沉积通量随时间推进而递增,与1980年前相比,金属沉积通量在1980年后突增倍数达到11倍以上.金属沉积通量与沉积物的沉积速率显著正相关,并与20世纪20年代以来太湖流域社会经济发展形势相一致.1980年后8种痕量金属沉积总量在湖心区西部最大,而沉积物沉积速率对湖心区南部的痕量金属沉积总量贡献最大.通过金属沉积通量可以更全面地研究太湖重金属的历史沉积过程和人为活动的干扰效应.     

Environmental effects of shipping imports from China and their economic valuation: the case of metallic valve components

This paper aims to consider the total cost, including polluting environmental emissions, of imports from China to Europe of five valve components in aluminium, steel and iron. These are compared with locally produced alternatives to investigate whether internalising such external costs affects their price competitiveness. Seaborne trade represents 90% of international trade and is growing faster than the world’s economy, but marine pollution emissions are not reflected in market prices. Chinese aluminium, iron and steel production are about 2.5 times more polluting than their European counterparts, but this is also not reflected in prices. In this paper both types of extra emissions are calculated, valued and added to the cost of the components analysed, for comparison with locally produced alternatives. The locally produced components generally remain uncompetitive with Chinese imports for all likely values of external cost, except for heavy aluminium components under high external cost assumptions. The Chinese iron components analysed are simply too low in cost for European (in this case Spanish) equivalents to be competitive even allowing for environmental costs; while the stainless steel ones are so small and light that transport cost, even including externalities, is not significant. While these specific results are of limited generalizability, they provide insight into an issue of considerable and growing importance. Some suggestions are offered for further research.     

浅谈国际原油价格暴跌对进口废塑料行业的影响及建议

作为资源的重要补充,近年来国内塑料加工行业对进口废塑料的需求市场不断扩大,但作为原油的下游产品,因原油价格波动带来的经营影响和环保风险不容忽视。为有效规避风险,提升行业竞争力,在源头控制、行业转型、通关便利等方面提供可行性建议。     

我国稀土进出口量与价格关联度状况分析

稀土是我国五大优势矿产资源之一,在我国国民经济建设中具有重要的战略意义.近年来,我国稀土矿产品进出口贸易逐年增长,而进出口价格却呈现较大幅度的波动趋势.从对我国稀土进出口总量、进出口价格走势的分析入手,利用灰色关联度模型评估稀土出口总量分别对出口价格、进口价格、进口总量的相关程度,提出了我国稀土贸易的相关建议.     

Estimation of regional physical imports and exports of EW-MFA in China using monetary input-output tables

Given the statistical gaps in material flow among provinces in China, a method was introduced to estimate regional physical imports and exports (RPIE), which includes international and interregional imports/exports. This method uses provincial monetary inputoutput tables (MIOT) and international trade statistics. A coefficient matrix representing correlations between monetary value and physical mass for years 2000–2009 was obtained based on a detailed commodity classification and 22 material production sectors in MIOT. With the coefficient matrix as reference, RPIE was measured. Pilot calculation of both regional physical trade balance and domestic material consumption, as well as a brief analysis of these methods, were conducted using 2002 data.