A stochastic approach for risk analysis in vapor cloud explosion

A stochastic approach for evaluating the risk of vapor cloud explosions is proposed in this work. The proposed methodology aims to incorporate the effect of uncertainty into the risk analysis to produce a better overall view for the risk. Some stochastic variables are used to estimate the probability of vapor cloud explosions: frequency of the release, the probability of not having an immediate ignition, the probability of delayed ignition and the probability of a vapor cloud explosion given a delayed ignition, as well as different possible meteorological conditions. These stochastic variables are represented with probability distribution curves. Different curves for the frequencies of releases from process equipment types (steel process pipes, flanges, manual valves, actuated valves, etc.), different equipment diameters and different leak sizes are also used in this analysis. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to obtain the risk as a probability distribution using the Analytic Solver Platform. Then the risk distribution curve obtained by Monte Carlo simulation is used to estimate the probability of satisfying the risk tolerance criterion.     

人机工程学数据在产品设计中的应用

介绍和分析了确定产品类型、选择百分位数、产品尺寸修正量,并最终设定产品功能尺寸的思路和方法.结合实例,深入分析了人机工程学数据在产品设计中的应用方法.     

Influence of particle size on the aggregation behavior of nanoparticles: Role of structural hydration layer

More and more attention has been paid to the aggregation behavior of nanoparticles, but little research has been done on the effect of particle size. Therefore, this study systematically evaluated the aggregation behavior of nano-silica particles with diameter 130–480 nm at different initial particle concentration, pH, ionic strength, and ionic valence of electrolytes. The modified Smoluchowski theory failed to describe the aggregation kinetics for nano-silica particles with diameters less than 190 nm. Besides, ionic strength, cation species and pH all affected fast aggregation rate coefficients of 130 nm nanoparticles. Through incorporating structural hydration force into the modified Smoluchowski theory, it is found that the reason for all the anomalous aggregation behavior was the different structural hydration layer thickness of nanoparticles with various sizes. The thickness decreased with increasing of particle size, and remained basically unchanged for particles larger than 190 nm. Only when the distance at primary minimum was twice the thickness of structural hydration layer, the structural hydration force dominated, leading to the higher stability of nanoparticles. This study clearly clarified the unique aggregation mechanism of nanoparticles with smaller size, which provided reference for predicting transport and fate of nanoparticles and could help facilitate the evaluation of their environment risks.     

黄棕壤不同粒级组分对镉的吸附动力学与热力学研究

采用一次平衡法研究了黄棕壤不同粒级组分(粘粒≤2 μm、粉粒2～20 μm、细砂粒20～200 μm、粗砂粒200～2000 μm)对镉的吸附动力学与热力学,并采用拉格朗日假一级动力学方程、假二级动力学方程、颗粒内扩散模型对试验数据进行拟合.结果表明,2种温度下各粒级组分对镉的吸附均可分为快反应和慢反应2个阶段,0～15 min内为快反应阶段,吸附量达到饱和吸附量的95%以上,此后为慢反应阶段;随着温度由25℃升高到45℃,各组分对镉的饱和吸附量增加了4.86%～25.3%;各组分对镉的吸附动力学符合拉格朗日假二级动力学方程,吸附过程以化学吸附为主;二级动力学吸附速率常数表明,随着各组分粒级增大,吸附速率降低;在试验温度范围内随着温度升高,吸附速率加快;吸附过程的限速步骤为颗粒间扩散;各粒级组分对镉的吸附为吸热反应,反应能自发进行.     

Characterization of the Songhua River sediments and evaluation of their adsorption behavior for nitrobenzene

The explosion at a plant of the Jilin Petrochemical Corporation on 13 November,2005,and the spill of an estimated 100 t of toxic substances (nitrobenzene as the main component) into the Songhua River received worldwide attention.This study has focused on the adsorption behavior of nitrobenzene that spilled onto sediments along the Songhua River,which was one of the efforts to evaluate the fate of nitrobenzene after the spillage event.The organic carbon contents of these sediments along the Songhua River ...     

硫酸铵作为人工气溶胶模拟尘源的研究

硫酸盐、铵盐等水溶性无机盐粒子是大气气溶胶的重要组成部分,为进一步提高高效过滤器性能测试实验的精度,提出了过滤器测试标准要求外的新的人工尘气溶胶发生液（NH4）2SO4,并通过一系列实验,从相关性、粒谱分布、分散度等方面对其气溶胶粒子能否满足测试气溶胶的要求进行验证分析。实验结果表明,（NH4）2SO4和KCl间的相关系数R2为0.994 78,相关性很好;NaCl、KCl和（NH4）2SO4气溶胶的几何标准差分别为0.88、0.85和0.87,呈单分散且分散程度接近,可很好的满足测试气溶胶要求。还获得了可控参数喷气压力与发生溶液质量浓度对（NH4）2SO4气溶胶粒谱分布的影响规律：随喷气压力的增加,气溶胶粒子的粒径减小,分布集中;而随发生溶液质量浓度的增加,粒径增大,导致分散度增加。质量浓度和喷气压力对（NH4）2SO4和KCl气溶胶粒径和分散度作用规律的一致性进一步表明（NH4）2SO4作为测试气溶胶的可行性。     

粒径和底床地形对沉积物中有机磷释放的影响

主要研究了2种沉积物粒径（35 μm和130 μm）及底床微地形对沉积物中内源溶解性有机磷释放的影响。选取某浅水湖泊沉积物为研究对象,对其人工污染溶解性有机磷,利用室内循环直流水槽顶盖驱动流模拟风生流,考察静态和风生流作用下,不同粒径沉积物及底床微地形对溶解性有机磷释放的影响。实验结果表明：在20 cm·s-1及38 cm·s-1 2种驱动流速条件下,35 μm粒径沉积物实验组中沉积物有机磷释放速率均大于130 μm实验组。对于35 μm粒径沉积物实验组,在20 cm·s-1驱动水流扰动下,沉积物有机磷的平衡释放量为0.44 mg·L-1,在38 cm·s-1驱动水流扰动下为0.49 mg·L-1;对于130 μm粒径沉积物实验组,在20 cm·s-1和38 cm·s-1 2种扰动下的沉积物有机磷平衡释放量分别为0.29 mg·L-1、0.30 mg·L-1;驱动流速的提高促使达到平衡状态时的释放量提高,小粒径沉积物,提高驱动流速更利于平衡释放量的提高,且高驱动流速缩短达到释放平衡所需的时间。在底床微地形（对地形的描述采用y=0.1sin2πx）实验中发现,静态条件下,波峰处上覆水有机磷浓度首先逐渐降低至0.18 mg·L-1,其后升高至0.40 mg·L-1并达到平衡,而波谷处则不断上升至极大值0.87 mg·L-1,其后下降至0.77 mg·L-1并达到平衡;而在20 cm·s-1的驱动水流扰动下,波峰波谷处上覆水有机磷浓度变化较为一致,均逐渐增长至极大值0.39 mg·L-1和0.45 mg·L-1后达到平衡状态。此外,在静态和动态条件下,波谷处上覆水中有机磷含量始终高于波峰处。     

细微泥沙粒径对活性污泥产率的影响及其计算公式

针对我国城镇污水处理厂进水SS/BOD5值普遍偏高,在取消初沉池后出现泥沙淤积、污泥浓度提高和污泥MLVSS/MLSS(f)值下降等问题,利用实验室SBR研究了不同粒径的细微泥沙对活性污泥产率的影响,并在对国内外现有污泥产率公式进行具体分析的基础上,提出了对于污泥产率公式的优化方法,并借此推导出f值的预测表达式。结果表明:当在进水中分别掺入体积平均粒径为19.8、72和118.6 μm的细微泥沙300 mg/L时,在系统运行36 d后,污泥浓度从启动初期的3 450分别提高至7 898、5 389和3 742 mg/L,MLVSS/MLSS则从0.67分别下降为0.33、0.48和0.59;活性污泥产率由0.498分别提升至1.257、0.813和0.575 kg MLSS/kg BOD5,利用悬浮系数ω对ATV污泥产率公式进行优化修正,计算值与实测值的相对误差分别由修正前的46.1%、125.8%和219.3%降至修正后的8.4%、8.9%和3.5%,所得的产率更贴近实际;通过修正后的ATV产率公式建立f值的预测表达式,计算值与实测值的相对误差分别为18.3%、12.6%和4.4%。     

活性污泥中细微沙浓度的预测模型

悬浮在污泥混合液中的细微沙会导致活性污泥混合液挥发性悬浮固体与混合液悬浮固体比值（ratio of mixed liquor volatile suspended solids to mixed liquor suspended solids,MLVSS/MLSS）降低。通过向生化池进水中连续投加体积平均粒径分别为14、33、50、66和107 μm的石英砂,研究不同粒径细微沙对活性污泥MLVSS/MLSS的影响,探讨不同粒径细微沙的悬浮特性,构建活性污泥中细微沙浓度的预测模型,以为污水厂运行调控提供理论基础。研究结果表明,细微沙粒径越小,悬浮比（悬浮在污泥混合液中的细微沙占生化池进水中细微沙总量的比例）越大,悬浮比与细微沙粒径呈显著的相关关系。通过预测模型得到的细微沙浓度的预测值与实测值差异较小,说明构建的活性污泥中细微沙浓度的预测模型是合理的。污水厂可在维持活性污泥MLVSS稳定的条件下,结合活性污泥中细微沙的浓度,调控污泥MLSS,保证污水处理系统的稳定运行。     

三峡水库入库溪流中麦氏花翅蜉(蜉蝣目:四节蜉科)的生活史研究

开展水生昆虫生长过程研究对掌握研究区域水生生物的生物学特征和研究区域生态环境状况等均具有重要作用,可为构建和完善研究区域河流生态环境保护体系提供科学参考。于2017年逐月对香溪河库湾入库支流(螃蟹溪)中的一种水生昆虫——麦氏花翅蜉(Baetiella macani)的种群进行了研究,基于大小频率法、幼虫期有效积温条件进行了生活史性状分析和验证。结果显示:麦氏花翅蜉为三化性昆虫,包含一个冬季世代和两个夏季世代。冬季世代幼虫的发育历期为3~4个月,所需有效积温为1 286 ℃;夏季世代幼虫的发育历期为1~2个月,所需有效积温为757 ℃。研究结果丰富了中国地区水生昆虫的生活史性状信息,并首次呈现了花翅蜉属的生活史特征。