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建立了基于特征和知识的自由锻CAPP系统模型 ,论述了特征、基于知识的工艺决策等有关问题。通过总结几年来开发该系统的经验 ,从系统原理、专家系统等方面探讨了该系统的开发研制 ,并简单介绍了该系统的主要功能和特色 相似文献
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BACKGROUND, AIM AND SCOPE: Conjoint analysis and the related choice-modelling methods have been used for many years in marketing research to evaluate consumer behaviour and preferences for different kinds of product attributes. Recently, the number of applications in environmental science and management has started to grow. Conjoint analysis is found in many different forms, and the environmental studies evaluated in this review display the same range of methods as in other fields. The key characteristic of all these methods is that trade-offs are evaluated by jointly considering a number of important attributes. MAIN FEATURES: This paper is a review of the literature on environmental applications of conjoint analysis and assesses in which environmental area conjoint analysis has been most successful. The method and the design of the studies are reviewed as well. RESULTS: A total of 84 studies were found, dealing with environmental issues that were evaluated by conjoint analysis. The studies concern agriculture, ecosystem management, energy, environmental evaluation, forestry, land management, pollution, products, recreation, environmental risk analysis and waste management. DISCUSSION: Choice experiments seem to have a comparatively stronger position in environmental studies than elsewhere. Most of the environmental applications are related to natural resource management. This is somewhat surprising, but a number of reports have appeared also on product evaluation, which could be a key application area in the future. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to marketing and transportation, the number of environmental conjoint studies is rather small but increasing, and the method has proven to work effectively in eliciting preferences on environmental issues. In environmental issues, experimenters often use choice experiments, especially concerning ecosystem management and environmental evaluations. When it comes to evaluating preferences concerning agriculture, forestry, energy and products, a more traditional approach of conjoint analysis is favoured. RECOMMENDATIONS AND PERSPECTIVES: Two new areas of application are identified in this review--environmental communication and expert elicitation. Conjoint analysis can thus be developed into a useful instrument for environmental risk analysis and communication, both of which are necessary for an efficient approach to risk governance. 相似文献
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Traditional agriculture benefits a rich diversity of plants and animals. The winter-flooded rice fields in the Qinling Mountains, China, are the last refuge for the endangered Asian crested ibis (Nipponia nippon), and intensive efforts have been made to protect this anthropogenic habitat. Analyses of multi-temporal satellite data indicate that winter-flooded rice fields have been continuously reduced across the current range of crested ibis during the past two decades. The rate of loss of these fields in the core-protected areas has unexpectedly increased to a higher level than that in non-protected areas in the past decade. The best fit (R2 = 0.87) numerical response model of the crested ibis population shows that a reduction of winter-flooded rice fields decreases population growth and predicts that the population growth will be constrained by the decline of traditional winter-flooded rice fields in the coming decades. Our findings suggest that the decline of traditional rice farming is likely to continue to pose a threat to the long-term survival and recovery of the crested ibis population in China.
Electronic supplementary material
The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s13280-015-0649-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. 相似文献7.
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Jim CY 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2006,116(1-3):53-80
Urban trees serve important environmental, social and economic functions, but similar to other natural endowments they are
not customarily depicted in monetary terms. The needs to augment protection, funding and community support for urban greening
call for proper valuation. Heritage trees (HTs), the cream of urban-tree stock, deserve special attention. Existing assessment
methods do not give justice to outstanding trees in compact cities deficient in high-caliber greenery, and to their social-cultural-historical
importance. They artificially separate evaluation from valuation, which should be a natural progression from the former. Review
of tree valuation methods suggested the formula approach to be more suitable than contingent valuation and hedonic pricing,
and provided hints on their strengths and weaknesses. This study develops an alternative formulaic expert method (FEM) that
integrates evaluation and valuation, maximizes objectivity, broadly encompasses the key tree, tree-environment and tree-human
traits, and accords realistic monetary value to HTs. Six primary criteria (dimension, species, tree, condition, location,
and outstanding consideration) branched into 45 secondary criteria, each allocated numerical marks. Each primary criterion
was standardized to carry equal weight, and a tree's maximum aggregate score is capped at 100. A Monetary Assignment Factor
(MAF) to consign dollar value to each score unit was derived from three-year average per m2 sale price of medium-sized residential flats. The applicability of FEM was tested on selected HTs in compact Hong Kong. The
aggregate score of a tree multiplied by MAF yielded monetary value, which was on average 66 times higher than the result from
the commonly-adopted Council of Tree and Landscape Appraisers method. The computed tree values could be publicized together
with multiple tree benefits to raise understanding and awareness and rally support to protect HTs. The property-linked FEM
could be flexibly applied to other cities, especially to assess HTs in compact developing cities. 相似文献
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Michael Ahlheim Benchaphun Ekasingh Jirawan Kitchaicharoen Andreas Neef Chapika Sangkapitux 《Journal of Environmental Planning and Management》2010,53(2):163-182
Although contingent valuation is the dominant technique for the valuation of public projects, especially in the environmental sector, the high costs of contingent valuation surveys prevent the use of this method for the assessment of relatively small projects. The reason for this cost problem is that typically only contingent valuation studies which are based on face-to-face interviews are accepted as leading to valid results. Particularly in countries with high wages, face-to-face surveys are extremely costly considering that for a valid contingent valuation study a minimum of 1000 completed face-to-face interviews is required. This paper tries a rehabilitation of mail surveys as low-budget substitutes for costly face-to-face surveys. Based on an empirical contingent valuation study in Northern Thailand, it is shown that the validity of mail surveys can be improved significantly if so-called Citizen Expert Groups are employed for a thorough survey design. 相似文献
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How to Constrain Multi‐Objective Calibrations of the SWAT Model Using Water Balance Components
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Matthias Pfannerstill Katrin Bieger Björn Guse David D. Bosch Nicola Fohrer Jeffrey G. Arnold 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2017,53(3):532-546
Accurate discharge simulation is one of the most common objectives of hydrological modeling studies. However, a good simulation of discharge is not necessarily the result of a realistic simulation of hydrological processes within the catchment. We propose an evaluation framework that considers both discharge and water balance components as evaluation criteria for calibration of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). In this study, we integrated average annual values of surface runoff, groundwater flow, and evapotranspiration in the model evaluation procedure to constrain the selection of good model runs for the Little River Experimental Watershed in Georgia, United States. For evaluating water balance and discharge dynamics, the Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and percent bias (PBIAS) were used. In addition, the ratio of root mean square error and standard deviation of measured data (RSR) was calculated for individual segments of the flow duration curve to identify the best model runs in terms of discharge magnitude. Our results indicate that good statistics for discharge do not guarantee realistic simulations of individual water balance components. Therefore, we recommend constraining the ranges of water balance components to achieve a more realistic simulation of the entire hydrological system, even if tradeoffs between good statistics for discharge simulations and reasonable amounts of the water balance components are unavoidable. Editor's note : This paper is part of the featured series on SWAT Applications for Emerging Hydrologic and Water Quality Challenges. See the February 2017 issue for the introduction and background to the series. 相似文献