| 居民风险承受能力评价模型及实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王瑶,万玉秋,钱新,李雷,盛金保. 居民风险承受能力评价模型及实证分析[J]. 环境科学与技术, 2009, 32(1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 王瑶 万玉秋 钱新 李雷 盛金保 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京大学环境学院;污染控制与资源化管理国家重点实验室,江苏,南京,210093;南京大学环境学院;南京水利科学研究院,江苏,南京,210093 |
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| 摘 要： | 提高公众的风险承受能力对防灾减灾战略的成功有着重要的作用。在定义了风险承受能力地内涵的基础上,建立风险承受能力的评价指标体系,构建了风险承受能力各个因子的影响模型。以安徽省沙河集水库下游居民为调查对象,进行了风险承受能力大小的调查。研究表明风险承受能力的主要影响因素包括风险认识、安全倾向、个人风险心理和个人避险能力,它们之间是一个相互制约的循环模型,其制约的关系可以使个体的安全倾向、风险认识、风险心理不致过高也不致过低,有利于风险承受能力的提高。
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| 关 键 词： | 风险承受能力 指标体系 评价模型 模型拟合 |
Construction and Empirical Analysis of an Evaluating Model of Risk Rearing Capacity |
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| WANG Yao,WAN Yu-qiu,QIAN Xin,LI Lei,SHENG Jin-bao. Construction and Empirical Analysis of an Evaluating Model of Risk Rearing Capacity[J]. Environmental Science and Technology, 2009, 32(1) |
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| Authors: | WANG Yao WAN Yu-qiu QIAN Xin LI Lei SHENG Jin-bao |
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| Affiliation: | 1.School of Environment;Nanjing University;Nanjing 210093;China;2.State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse;3.Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute;China |
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| Abstract: | Improving risk bearing capability of the public is very important for success of reducing and avoiding disaster.Connotation of risk bearing capability and evaluating index system of risk bearing capability was defined.Based on the index system,main factor influence model of risk bearing was built.A questionnaire was done in downstream region of Shaheji Dam in Anhui Province.Results showed that main factors of risk bearing capability included risk cognition,safety trend,risk psychology and risk avoiding abil... |
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| Keywords: | risk bearing capability index system evaluating model model simulation |
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