| 基于网络分析和联系熵的煤与瓦斯突出预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 念其锋,施式亮,李润求.基于网络分析和联系熵的煤与瓦斯突出预测研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014(2):22-27. |
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| 作者姓名： | 念其锋 施式亮 李润求 |
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| 作者单位： | 中南大学资源与安全工程学院;湖南科技大学计算机科学与工程学院;湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(51274100);湖南省教育厅科研资助项目(10C0690);煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室资助项目(201002) |
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| 摘 要： | 以煤与瓦斯突出预控为目的,将网络分析法和联系熵理论相耦合,建立了煤与瓦斯突出预测的ANP-CE模型。该模型运用网络分析法建立了煤与瓦斯突出预测指标网络模型并计算预测指标权重分布,划分了突出危险性等级及其相应的指标临界值,确定了各危险等级的联系熵范围。结合工程实例,预测结果与工程实际情况相符,表明了该预测模型在计算预测指标权重分布和煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测上具有可行性和合理性,为煤与瓦斯突出预测方法提供了一种新的途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 煤与瓦斯突出预测 网络分析法 联系熵 ANP-CE模型 |
Study on coal and gas outburst prediction based on analytic network process and connection entropy |
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| NIAN Qi-feng;SHI Shi-liang;LI Run-qiu.Study on coal and gas outburst prediction based on analytic network process and connection entropy[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014(2):22-27. |
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| Authors: | NIAN Qi-feng;SHI Shi-liang;LI Run-qiu |
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| Institution: | NIAN Qi-feng;SHI Shi-liang;LI Run-qiu;School of Resource & Safety Engineering,Central Southern University;School of Computer Science & Engineering,Hunan University of Science & Technology;Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Safe Mining Techniques of Coal Mines,Hunan University of Science & Technology; |
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| Abstract: | Based on analytic network process and connection entropy theories, the ANP-CE prediction model for coal and gas outburst was established. The network computing model for prediction indexes of coal and gas outburst was built, and its weight distribution was calculated. The risk classes and their corresponding critical values were divided, and the ranges of connection entropy for each risk class were determined. Combining with practical work, the prediction results were matched with the fact, which showed that the prediction model has the feasibility and rationality for computing the weight distribution and forecasting on coal and gas outburst, and it provides a new way and method for the prediction of coal and gas outburst in coal mines. |
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| Keywords: | coal and gas outburst prediction analytic network process connection entropy ANP-CE model |
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