| 汕头市降雨量的概率分布模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 任晓崧.汕头市降雨量的概率分布模型[J].灾害学,1999,14(1):11-16. |
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| 作者姓名： | 任晓崧 |
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| 作者单位： | 同济大学结构理论研究所!上海２０００９２ |
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| 摘 要： | 根据汕头市实测的年最大日降雨量资料，采用极值Ⅰ型、极值Ⅱ型、极值Ⅲ型和Ｗｅｉｂｕｌｌ分布等四种极值分布模型模拟，从而确定了年的最大日降雨量的概率模型．并根据年的各时段的最大降雨量仪器记录产生概率模型，建立各时段降雨量之间的相互关系，得到汕头市降雨量的概率分布模型，作为汕头市内涝分析的依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 最大降雨量 极值分布 概率分布模型 广东汕头 |
PROBABILISTIC DISTRIBUTION MODEL OFRAINFALL IN SHANTOU CITY |
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| Ren Xiaosong.PROBABILISTIC DISTRIBUTION MODEL OFRAINFALL IN SHANTOU CITY[J].Journal of Catastrophology,1999,14(1):11-16. |
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| Authors: | Ren Xiaosong |
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| Abstract: | According to annual maximum daily rainfall record in Shantou city,four extreme asymptotic distribution models, named Extreme type i, Extreme type 11Extreme type ill and Weibull type are used to create the probability model of annualmaximum daily rainfall. By analysis of the probabilistic distribution model ofinstrumental records of maximum rainfall in different seasons, the relation of differentseasons is hence established' Moreover, the model of rainfall record in Shantou City isdetermined as basis for water--logging analysis. |
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| Keywords: | Maximum rainfall Extreme asymptotic distribution Probabilisticdistribution model Shantou of Guangdong |
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