海水浴场中粪便污染指示细菌的浓度预测模型研究进展

构建粪便污染指示细菌的浓度预测模型有助于保障海水浴场水质安全，避免因传统的病原微生物监测方法造成时间滞后，可及时给予公众健康指导，为海水浴场管理提供技术支撑。本文基于国内外海水浴场水质中粪便污染指示细菌的浓度预测模型技术发展现状，综合评述了模型构建方法，归纳了各种模型的特点、应用范围以及在实际应用中的优缺点，分析了在构建我国海水浴场粪便污染指示细菌的浓度预测模型中所面临的困难及存在的差距，对模型的发展趋势进行了展望，为我国开展海水浴场中粪便污染指示细菌的浓度预测提供参考。

Overview on indicator bacterial concentration prediction model of bathing beaches

It will help to ensure the safety of the bathing water quality and avoid the time-lag of the traditional monitoring method using a concentration prediction model for fecal indicator bacteria (FIB). And it also can provide the health guidance and technical supporting to the public and beach manager in timely. Based on the technical development status of the indicator bacterial concentration prediction model of bathing beaches, the model construction methods were comprehensively reviewed in this paper, and the characteristics, application scopes, advantages and disadvantages of various models were also summarized. In addition, the difficulties and bottleneck in constructing the indicator bacterial concentration prediction model in bathing beaches of China were analyzed. Finally, the development trend of the model was prospected, which will provide a valuable reference for administrative department of China.