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人工神经网络在沿海区域环境复杂系统预测中的应用
引用本文:石纯,过仲阳,许世远.人工神经网络在沿海区域环境复杂系统预测中的应用[J].环境污染与防治,2002,24(5):300-302,308.
作者姓名:石纯  过仲阳  许世远
作者单位:华东师范大学地理系、教育部城市与环境开放实验室,上海,200062
基金项目:上海市教育委员会重点学科基金资助项目 ( N o.B980 30 2 ),英国驻沪总领事馆文化教育处高校联合学术研究资助项目 ( SH A /992 /SAL )
摘    要:针对复杂系统的非线性特征,分析了应用人工神经网络技术实现可持续发展复杂系统预测的可能性,并以上海市和崇明县为例建立沿海区域预测模型,取得了较好的预测结果,为可持续发展复杂系统的预测研究探索了一种新的可能方法。

关 键 词:人工神经网络  沿海区域环境  复杂系统  环境预测

Application of artificial neural network in the sustainable development predication model in coastal area
Shi Chun,Guo Zhongyang,Xu Shiyuan. Dept. of Geography,Urban and Environmental Open Laboratory,the Ministry of Education,East China Normal University,Shanghai.Application of artificial neural network in the sustainable development predication model in coastal area[J].Environmental Pollution & Control,2002,24(5):300-302,308.
Authors:Shi Chun  Guo Zhongyang  Xu Shiyuan Dept of Geography  Urban and Environmental Open Laboratory  the Ministry of Education  East China Normal University  Shanghai
Institution:Shi Chun,Guo Zhongyang,Xu Shiyuan. Dept. of Geography,Urban and Environmental Open Laboratory,the Ministry of Education,East China Normal University,Shanghai,200062
Abstract:The feasibility of using artificial neural network to realize the adjustment and control of the complex system of sustainable development was discussed according its nonlinear feature. The metropolitan Shanghai and the island Chongming were selected as an example of the coastal area to set up sustainable development prediction \{model,\} from which reliable prediction results were achieved. Thus a new and possible approach was explored for the prediction of the complex system of sustainable development.
Keywords:Complex system\ Artificial neural network\ Coastal area
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