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中国环境污染的库兹涅茨曲线检验——基于1997~2006年的面板数据的实证分析
引用本文:黄耀磷,农彦彦,吴玉鸣. 中国环境污染的库兹涅茨曲线检验——基于1997~2006年的面板数据的实证分析[J]. 四川环境, 2009, 28(5): 107-114
作者姓名:黄耀磷  农彦彦  吴玉鸣
作者单位:广西师范大学经济管理学院,广西,桂林,541004
基金项目:广西科学基金项目"广西岩溶区城镇化与资源环境时空耦合协调机制研究",广西高校人文社会科学重点建设基地--西南城市与区域发展研究中心资助的系列研究成果之三 
摘    要:选取我国1997~2006年间省际大气污染、污水和固体废弃物(“三废”)等环境质量指标的面板数据,对中国经济发展与环境污染关系进行了库兹涅茨曲线检验。实证分析表明,在时间区间内经济增长对环境质量有缓慢的改善作用,其他因素对“三废”指标的作用并不确定。发展指标与环境指标更多地呈现N或倒N型曲线关系,环境库兹涅茨曲线在中国省级层面面板数据层面并不成立。

关 键 词:环境污染  经济发展  EKC曲线

Environmental Kuznets Curve Test in China: Positive Analysis Based on Panel Data from 1997 to 2006
HUANG Yao-lin,NONG Yan-yan,WU Yu-ming. Environmental Kuznets Curve Test in China: Positive Analysis Based on Panel Data from 1997 to 2006[J]. Sichuan Environment, 2009, 28(5): 107-114
Authors:HUANG Yao-lin  NONG Yan-yan  WU Yu-ming
Affiliation:( Economics & Management School of Guangxi Normal University, Guilin, Guangxi 541004, China)
Abstract:Inter-provincial panel data concerning air pollution, sewage and solid wastes are cited for Kuznets curve to the relation between economic growth and environmental pollution in China during 1997 -2006. The positive analysis shows that economic growth has slow improving effect on the environmental quality, while the effect of factors else are uncertain during the time. The relationship between indicators of economic development and environment mostly appears curves of N-type or inverted N-type. Therefore, a Kuznets curve is false for the inter-provincial panel data of China.
Keywords:Environmental pollution  economic growth  Environmental Kuznets Curve
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