基于有序Logistic回归的水库移民住房感知实证研究

针对水利工程移民的住房感知问题和住房感知等级为定序变量的特点,基于有序logistic回归分析理论,构建移民住房感知的有序logistic回归模型,并针对浯溪口水利枢纽工程移民进行实证研究。主要结论如下:1施肥种类、最高教育水平和家庭年收入对移民住房感知存在显著正向作用,水源种类对移民住房感知存在显著负向作用。2施肥种类要素分析表明,当地移民生活对农业生产依赖性较高,且移民对区域交通状态改变预期是导致其住房感知差异化的主要因素。3最高教育水平要素分析表明,教育程度越高,移民住房感知越高。4水源要素分析表明,移民对水源的获取难度和成本的预期越差,其住房感知越差。5家庭年收入要素分析表明,家庭年收入越高,移民对未来的预期越好,其住房感知越高,经济发展是解决移民问题的基础。

EMPIRICAL RESEARCH OF HOUSING PERCEPTIONS OF RESERVOIR IMMIGRANT BASED ON ORDERLY LOGISTIC REGRESSION

Aiming at the problem of housing perceptions of hydraulic engineering immigrants and considering factor that level of housing perceptions is ordinal variable,this paper established orderly Logistic regression model of immigrants housing perception based on the theory of orderly Logistic regression and carried out empirical researches on WUXIKOU hydraulic engineer immigrants.The main results are as follows:1.fertilization type,highest level of education,and household income has significantly positive effects on immigrants housing perception rates.However,the type of water resource has a negative influence on immigrants housing perception rates.2.Fertilization type factor analysis showed that the local immigration life highly dependent on agricultural production.Rregional traffic status changes in expectations are the main factors that lead to immigrant housing perception differentiation.3.Highest level of education factor analysis showed that immigrant housing perception increased with increased level of education.4.Type of water resource factor analysis showed that the worse the migration of water sources and the cost of the expected,the worse the perception of housing.5.Household income factor analysis showed that the higher the household income,the better the future expectations of immigrants and the higher the housing perception.Economic development is the fundamental way of solving the immigration problem.