金塘岛群港区海洋交通资源承载力评价研究

本文从港区海洋交通资源承载力的概念出发，构建了包括港区航道资源承载力、锚地承载力、港区泊位承载力计算方法以及相应的预警标准的港区海洋交通资源承载力理论模型，并运用该模型对金塘岛群港区进行了实证研究。计算结果表明:未来航道资源不是港区海洋交通资源承载力的瓶颈因素，锚地资源将是港区交通物流经济发展的瓶颈因素，港区泊位难以满足港航物流经济发展的需要。基于本文研究得出3点结论:一是合理规划锚地资源，扩建及新建锚地，扩建码头以增加泊位数量，到2020年，至少需要新增6个泊位，优化配置现有的港区基础设施以使码头服务高效化；二是大力推进海铁联运发展，促进金塘岛群港区加快集疏运模式转型升级；三是积极推进"智慧港区"建设，有效提升金塘岛群港区综合服务能力。

Evaluation of JinTang islands port marine traffic resource carrying capacity

Based on concept and connotation of port traffic resource carrying capacity, the paper construct the port traffic resource carrying capacity theory model, which including the calculation method of port channel resource carrying capacity, anchorage capacity, berth capacity and early-warning standard.By using the carrying capacity theory model, example verification was carried out in JinTang islands port.Calculation result shows that by using the proposed model.Channel resources are not the bottleneck factors of port traffic resource carrying capacity in the future.Anchorage resources will be the bottleneck factors of port economic development in the future.The service strength of the port berth is difficult to meet the needs of seaport logistics economic development.According to the research of this paper, three suggestions are put forward.First, the space resources of JinTang islands should be optimized, in order to maximize the utilization of the space resources in the port area.Anchorage resources should be reasonably planned and built an extension.At least 6 new berths will be added to the port by 2020, and the existing port infrastructure should be optimized to make the terminal service more efficient.Second, the container sea-rail intermodal transport should be vigorously promoted, and transformation and upgrading of port transportation mode of JinTang islands should be promoted to accelerate.Third, intelligent-control ports construction should be actively promoted, in order to effectively enhance the JinTang islands port comprehensive service capacity.