高层官员地震应急演练中应急决策行为的质性分析

为了研究高层官员在非常规突发事件应对中的决策行为，通过地震应急演练，从决策建议的影响、决策对象的选择与优先级排序等方面对决策样本进行质性分析。应用NVivo12软件对某次高层官员参与的特大地震应急决策演练中采集的45份决策样本，在结构化处理的基础上确定编码标准，遍历样本并对应急决策编码，得到观测数据并进行分析。研究结果表明，演练中的高层官员决策行为有以下3方面特征:受决策建议影响明显；在灾情、舆情以及基础设施等方面有自主决策；不同层级间对决策权重排序存在显著差异。

Qualitative analysis on emergency decision making behavior of senior officials in earthquake emergency drill

In order to study the decision making behavior of senior officials in the response of unconventional emergencies, the qualitative analysis of decision making samples was carried out through the earthquake emergency drill from the aspects of the impact of decision making recommendations, the selection of decision making objects and the priority ranking. By using the NVivo12 software, 45 decision making samples collected from an emergency decision making drill of great earthquake with the participation of senior officials were analyzed. The coding standard was determined on the basis of structured processing, then the code of emergency decision making was traversed through the samples, and the observed data were obtained and analyzed. It was preliminarily found that the decision making behavior of senior officials in the drill had the following characteristics, namely the obvious influence by the decision making recommendations, the autonomous decision making in the aspects of disaster situation, public opinion and infrastructure, and the significant differences in the ranking of decision making weights among different levels.