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城中村改造中的村自主项目风险管理研究
引用本文:郝玉龙,万培祥.城中村改造中的村自主项目风险管理研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2010,20(6).
作者姓名:郝玉龙  万培祥
作者单位:1. 北京大学,光华管理学院,北京,100871;北华航天工业学院,廊坊,065000
2. 中国海洋大学经济学院,青岛,266100
基金项目:河北省社会科学基金资助 
摘    要:以东五里村为例,对城中村改造中村自主项目风险管理进行研究,在项目风险识别的基础上,运用层次分析法对项目中可能出现的风险因素进行量化分析。研究表明:政策风险、融资风险、文化风险和拆迁风险是影响城中村改造中村自主项目的主要因素,其中拆迁风险和融资风险在四者中所占的比重较大,在制定风险管理政策时要给予重点关注。

关 键 词:城中村  村自主项目  风险管理  融资风险  拆迁风险  层次分析法(AHP)

Study on Risk Management of Urban Village Transform Dominated by Village Collective
HAO Yu-long,WAN Pei-xiang.Study on Risk Management of Urban Village Transform Dominated by Village Collective[J].China Safety Science Journal,2010,20(6).
Authors:HAO Yu-long  WAN Pei-xiang
Abstract:Taking Dongwuli village as an example,this paper makes a research on risk management of village-dominated project in renovation of urban-village.Analytic Hierarchy Process method is used to evaluate the importance degrees of the risk factors based on risk identification.It shows that policy risk,financing risk,cultural risk and removal risk are the main factors which can influence project result.And the decision-maker should pay more attention to financing risk and removal risk,because they are more important than other risk factors.
Keywords:urban village  urban village transform dominated by village collective  risk management  financial risk  removal risk  analytic hierarchy process(AHP)
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