| 美国加州南岸地区空气质量预报系统运行管理与借鉴 |
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| 引用本文： | 姚玉刚,董澄澄,张仁泉,邹强,张晓华,缪青,魏恒,顾钧.美国加州南岸地区空气质量预报系统运行管理与借鉴[J].中国环境监测,2017,33(6):10-16. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姚玉刚 董澄澄 张仁泉 邹强 张晓华 缪青 魏恒 顾钧 |
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| 作者单位： | 苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,美国塔夫茨大学弗莱彻法律外交学院, 马萨诸塞州 梅德福 02155,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004,苏州市环境监测中心, 江苏省环境保护空气复合污染监测重点实验室, 江苏 苏州 215004 |
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| 基金项目： | 苏州市科技支撑计划（社会发展） "苏州市复合污染物源解析、预警及控制技术研究" （SS201417） |
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| 摘 要： | 借鉴美国加州南岸空气质量预报经验,特别是其运行管理模式对于现阶段中国城市环境空气质量预测预报具有极高的参考价值。简要介绍了加州南岸空气质量管理局(SCAQMD)空气质量预报业务流程、技术方法、信息发布方式和预报效果评估策略。建议从4个方面借鉴SCAQMD经验:(1)建立相对完善的空气质量预报体系,分层级自上而下指导预报工作;(2)选择合适的空气质量预报方法,综合统筹成本-效益评估工作;(3)评估预报效果进而提高预报准确率;(4)在优化空气质量预报能力的基础上,有序开展预警协同控制工作。
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| 关 键 词： | 加州南岸 空气质量预报 运行管理 |
| 收稿时间： | 2016/6/29 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2016/11/28 0:00:00 |
Operation Management and Reference of Air Quality Forecasting Program in South Coast Air Quality Management District |
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| YAO Yugang,DONG Chengcheng,ZHANG Renquan,ZOU Qiang,ZHANG Xiaohu,MIAO Qing,WEI Heng and GU Jun.Operation Management and Reference of Air Quality Forecasting Program in South Coast Air Quality Management District[J].Environmental Monitoring in China,2017,33(6):10-16. |
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| Authors: | YAO Yugang DONG Chengcheng ZHANG Renquan ZOU Qiang ZHANG Xiaohu MIAO Qing WEI Heng and GU Jun |
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| Institution: | Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China,The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, Medford MA 02155, USA,Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China,Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China,Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China,Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China,Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China and Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Combined Pollution Monitoring, Environmental Protection Department of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou Environmental Monitor Center, Suzhou 215004, China |
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| Abstract: | The experience of South Coast Air Quality Management District in California (SCAQMD), especially the operation and management model, is of great value to China in predicting urban ambient air quality. In this paper we briefly introduced SCAQMD in the below areas:the air quality forecasting processes, technical methods, and the way of information release and results evaluation. We suggested to learn the experience of SCAQMD from four aspects. To establish a relatively perfect air quality forecast system, establish a "top-down" model to guidance for forecasting. To select the appropriate air quality forecasting method, synthesis considering cost-benefit evaluation effect. To evaluate the forecast results and improve the forecast accuracy. To optimize the air quality forecasting capability, carry out the early warning work orderly. |
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| Keywords: | south coast of California air quality forecast operation management |
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