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滇东地区未来数年M≥6.0地震的统计预测
引用本文:邰通辉.滇东地区未来数年M≥6.0地震的统计预测[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2002,22(3):22-25.
作者姓名:邰通辉
作者单位:贵阳地震台,贵州,贵阳,550025
摘    要:从全概率公式出发 ,运用古登堡公式对滇东地区震级频度关系、地震活动性及地震复发周期进行了统计分析 ,认为该地区未来 3~ 4年内有发生M≥ 6.0地震的可能性

关 键 词:滇东地区  地震活动  统计分析
文章编号:1003-868X(2002)03-0022-04
修稿时间:2001年8月15日

Statistical forecasting of M≥6.0 earthquakes in East Yunnan Province for the coming several years
TAI Tong-hui.Statistical forecasting of M≥6.0 earthquakes in East Yunnan Province for the coming several years[J].Journal of Disaster Prevent and Mitigation Eng,2002,22(3):22-25.
Authors:TAI Tong-hui
Abstract:Statistical analysis is made of the magnitude-frequency relation,of the seismic activity and the earthquake recurrence period for the East Yunnan Province on the basis of Gutenberg-Richter relation as well as the formula of total probability. As a result, it is believed that an earthquake of M ≥6.0 is likely to occur in this area in the future 3~4 years.
Keywords:East Yunnan Province  seismic activity  statistical analysis
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