Probabilistic risk assessment for long-range atmospheric transport of radionuclides |
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Authors: | Lauritzen Bent Baklanov Alexander Mahura Alexander Mikkelsen Torben Sørensen Jens H |
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Institution: | Ris? National Laboratory, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark. bent.lauritzen@risoe.dk |
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Abstract: | A simplified means of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for long-range atmospheric transport based on a K-diffusion model is presented. In a case study, model parameters are estimated by comparing with the results of long-range atmospheric dispersion model calculations using one-year numerical weather prediction model data. It is found that the estimated ensemble mean provides a reasonable first approximation to the total dry and wet deposition from the one-year continuous release. |
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